Can someone please explain this LSU logic?

[WilliamWallace]

the spread opened at LSU -1.5

65% of the public is currently on LSU

but yet the spread has moved to LSU +2.5, I just don't get it.

http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-football-public-betting-chart

[griz]

bet LSU and then tomorrow u will get it

[john230]

Big hitters on the TIde. Roll Tide Roll.

[hydrosmak]

It's pretty simple when you think about the fact that the books want the money split 50/50 and rake the juice. They don't want to be favoring one team to win so they don't lose their asses.

[ksnooksk]

It's pretty simple when you think about the fact that the books want the money split 50/50 and rake the juice. They don't want to be favoring one team to win so they don't lose their asses.

Or they are convinced that Alabama wins this game and are trying to hit the jackpot. But, they must know that the sharp money has to come in on LSU at some point today.

But, 95% of the time your explanation is the truth.

[Chimneyfish]

It should be noted that in the first LSU/Bama matchup, the public was on LSU while the line continued to move up to LSU +7 some places.

[Deuce]

More public money on LSU, more sharp money and heavy hitters on Bama.

[Cuse0323]

who knows, all a mind fck. focus on who you think the better team is.

[ksnooksk]

who knows, all a mind fck. focus on who you think the better team is.

This is definitely the truth. Vegas is looking for angles to 50/50 the money. Its always a psychological battle with them.

[sandman0713]

It should be noted that in the first LSU/Bama matchup, the public was on LSU while the line continued to move up to LSU +7 some places.

yeah that was a sweet ml...got it when it was +6. i think that is one of only two times i took ml instead of points this season in ncaa football.

[chopperocker]

# of wager on each side and size of the wagers on each side are never equal. basically it is telling you that the majority small unit wagers are on LSU yet the large unit wagers are on Alabama. dont read into it cuz its not gonna tell you who will win or cover. if you want to analyze it for value obviously the play would be LSU plus points, but really this game should be a pass for a wiseguy. this is a true line with adjustments made based on the current action.

[WilliamWallace]

It's pretty simple when you think about the fact that the books want the money split 50/50 and rake the juice. They don't want to be favoring one team to win so they don't lose their asses.

To even out the money wouldn't they adjust spread to give bama points

[Chimneyfish]

dont read into it cuz its not gonna tell you who will win or cover. if you want to analyze it for value obviously the play would be LSU plus points, but really this game should be a pass for a wiseguy

[alexy]

Just fear from bettors and books balancing their money. No more explanation

[convick]

Money is equal on each side. Number of bets aren't the same.

[chopperocker]

............ and last. it is great thinking for you to question these things. never be against getting off a potential play, but never get sucked into one based on the market activity.

[sweethook]

it means that the big BOOK as now got to the refs and bama wins. -its paid for now so line moves easy. ive got the best team but i dam sure dont have the best coach. gl

[Dan Kelly]

I am going to see if either team gets the first 2 scores, and then take the points with an "In Game" bet. This has been working like crazy thruout the bowl games

super bowl box - www.ljnljn.com

[Pickem2win]

I am going to see if either team gets the first 2 scores, and then take the points with an "In Game" bet. This has been working like crazy thruout the bowl games

super bowl box - www.ljnljn.com

What site do you use?

[smoke a bowl]

I am going to see if either team gets the first 2 scores, and then take the points with an "In Game" bet. This has been working like crazy thruout the bowl games

super bowl box - www.ljnljn.com

Thats the plan huh pal?

[PD77]

I parlayed LSU and under the first game and will do it again tonight no matter how much bullshit I read about the "sharp" money being on Bama and the over.