Apricot Sinner Challenge: Go 5-2

jjgold · 01-05-12, 02:05 PM

Fade

Party wears that same Fukkin shirt every day

manny24 · 01-05-12, 03:04 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Fade

Party wears that same Fukkin shirt every day

you are up a nickel already...do you still plan to fade all plays?

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 03:07 PM

We are getting ahead of ourselves here. I said before the contest started going 5-2 on nba spread's is not realistic. The odds are against me here and I told people not tail as these are merely contest plays and I would not lay -110 or -105 on these plays.

ZetaPsi808 · 01-05-12, 03:18 PM

patty we are waiting for your next release thanks guy

Bcatswin · 01-05-12, 03:46 PM

Patty will crush today

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by Bcatswin

Patty will crush today

jjgold · 01-05-12, 05:19 PM

Originally posted by manny24

you are up a nickel already...do you still plan to fade all plays?

Why do you think I did this??

I wanted to make money

Of course I am fading all his plays

manny24 · 01-05-12, 08:43 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

Why do you think I did this??

I wanted to make money

Of course I am fading all his plays

o.k. but fwiw i heard this sinner guy is hung like a fukkin giraffe and when he's asked about his many successes in life replies, "i take on all comers and *** on all takers."...#hemadeitguy

ApricotSinner32 · 01-05-12, 09:04 PM

Gold may I do a 2nd half nba bet?

jjgold · 01-05-12, 09:10 PM

Originally posted by ApricotSinner32

Gold may I do a 2nd half nba bet?

NO..what kind of stunt are you trying to pull

I am reloading page every 2 minutes so I can fade your ext pick

JJ we busted Patty and I am happy, kid had some sort of following for a while, do whatever it takes to keep him down"

John Walker

manny24 · 01-06-12, 08:10 AM

jjgold · 01-06-12, 10:09 AM

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</td><td width="180"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="90%" align="center"><tbody><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>813</td><td colspan="2" align="left">HOU ROCKETS</td><td align="right">+8½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86060_8.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>814</td><td colspan="2" align="left">OKC THUNDER</td><td align="right">-8½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86060_-8.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>815</td><td colspan="2" align="left">CLE CAVALIERS</td><td align="right">+7-110<input name="text_" value="0_86061_7_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>816</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MIN TWOLVES</td><td align="right">-7-110<input name="text_" value="1_86061_-7_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>817</td><td colspan="2" align="left">DEN NUGGETS</td><td align="right">-4½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86062_-4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>818</td><td colspan="2" align="left">NO HORNETS</td><td align="right">+4½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86062_4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>819</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MEM GRIZZLIES</td><td align="right">+1½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86063_1.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 9:05 PM </td><td>820</td><td colspan="2" align="left">UT JAZZ</td><td align="right">-1½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86063_-1.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>821</td><td colspan="2" align="left">POR TRAIL BLAZERS</td></tr></tbody></table></td> <td bgcolor="#666666" width="85" align="center">
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jjgold · 01-06-12, 10:10 AM

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="90%" align="center"><tbody><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left"><table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="90%" align="center"><tbody><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
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</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>815</td><td colspan="2" align="left">CLE CAVALIERS</td><td align="right">+7-110<input name="text_" value="0_86061_7_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>816</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MIN TWOLVES</td><td align="right">-7-110<input name="text_" value="1_86061_-7_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>817</td><td colspan="2" align="left">DEN NUGGETS</td><td align="right">-4½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86062_-4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>818</td><td colspan="2" align="left">NO HORNETS</td><td align="right">+4½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86062_4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>819</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MEM GRIZZLIES</td><td align="right">+1½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86063_1.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 9:05 PM </td><td>820</td><td colspan="2" align="left">UT JAZZ</td><td align="right">-1½-110</td></tr></tbody></table> </td><td>
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</td><td align="left">Jan 06</td><td>809</td><td colspan="2" align="left">IND PACERS</td><td align="right">+6-110<input name="text_" value="0_86058_6_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 7:35 PM </td><td>810</td><td colspan="2" align="left">BOS CELTICS</td><td align="right">-6-110</td></tr></tbody></table></td><td align="left">
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manny24 · 01-06-12, 11:01 AM

no play yesterday limited games...12 options for today...common patty we are fukkin drooling here boss.

jjgold · 01-06-12, 11:03 AM

I only put a few games up tonight

Fuk him

ApricotSinner32 · 01-06-12, 11:53 PM

Being selective here. You said no 2h's so fuk you.

Br0nxer · 01-06-12, 11:55 PM

Originally posted by jjgold

NO..what kind of stunt are you trying to pull

I am reloading page every 2 minutes so I can fade your ext pick

JJ we busted Patty and I am happy, kid had some sort of following for a while, do whatever it takes to keep him down"

John Walker

jjgold · 01-06-12, 11:57 PM

Patty scared to bet

Everyone dying for his next pick

Patty hope it is tomorrow because everyone fading it

mrmarket · 01-07-12, 12:22 AM

prolong this misery of reality for a couple of page views JJ you sick fukk.

manny24 · 01-07-12, 09:45 AM

jjgold · 01-07-12, 09:48 AM

Manny ask Patty about his ripped up shirt

jjgold · 01-07-12, 01:15 PM

<table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="90%" align="center"><tbody><tr class="GameBanner" align="center"><td colspan="8">NBA - Jan 07</td></tr><tr class="GameBannerAuto" align="center"><td colspan="8">NBA</td></tr><tr class="GameBannerAuto" align="center"><td colspan="8">SATURDAY, JANUARY 7TH</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>501</td><td colspan="2" align="left">CHA BOBCATS</td><td align="right">+10-110<input name="text_" value="0_86180_10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 7:05 PM </td><td>502</td><td colspan="2" align="left">IND PACERS</td><td align="right">-10-110<input name="text_" value="1_86180_-10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>503</td><td colspan="2" align="left">CHI BULLS</td><td align="right">-6-110<input name="text_" value="0_86181_-6_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 7:05 PM </td><td>504</td><td colspan="2" align="left">ATL HAWKS</td><td align="right">+6-110<input name="text_" value="1_86181_6_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>505</td><td colspan="2" align="left">NY KNICKS</td><td align="right">-5-110<input name="text_" value="0_86182_-5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 7:35 PM </td><td>506</td><td colspan="2" align="left">DET PISTONS</td><td align="right">+5-110<input name="text_" value="1_86182_5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>507</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MIA HEAT</td><td align="right">-8½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86183_-8.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td><td align="left"> 7:35 PM </td><td>508</td><td colspan="2" align="left">NJ NETS</td><td align="right">+8½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86183_8.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>509</td><td colspan="2" align="left">TOR RAPTORS</td><td align="right">+10-110<input name="text_" value="0_86184_10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>510</td><td colspan="2" align="left">PHI 76ERS</td><td align="right">-10-110<input name="text_" value="1_86184_-10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>511</td><td colspan="2" align="left">OKC THUNDER</td><td align="right">-4½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86185_-4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 8:05 PM </td><td>512</td><td colspan="2" align="left">HOU ROCKETS</td><td align="right">+4½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86185_4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>513</td><td colspan="2" align="left">DEN NUGGETS</td><td align="right">+4½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86186_4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 8:35 PM </td><td>514</td><td colspan="2" align="left">SA SPURS</td><td align="right">-4½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86186_-4.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>515</td><td colspan="2" align="left">NO HORNETS</td><td align="right">+11½-110<input name="text_" value="0_86187_11.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
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</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 9:05 PM </td><td>516</td><td colspan="2" align="left">DAL MAVERICKS</td><td align="right">-11½-110<input name="text_" value="1_86187_-11.5_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>517</td><td colspan="2" align="left">MIL BUCKS</td><td align="right">+10-110<input name="text_" value="0_86188_10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameOdd"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 10:35 PM </td><td>518</td><td colspan="2" align="left">LA CLIPPERS</td><td align="right">-10-110<input name="text_" value="1_86188_-10_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left">Jan 07</td><td>519</td><td colspan="2" align="left">UT JAZZ</td><td align="right">+3-110<input name="text_" value="0_86189_3_-110" type="checkbox"></td><td align="right">
</td><td align="right">
</td></tr><tr class="TrGameEven"><td align="left">
</td><td align="left"> 10:35 PM </td><td>520</td><td colspan="2" align="left">GS WARRIORS</td><td align="right">-3-110<input name="text_" value="1_86189_-3_-110" type="checkbox"></td></tr></tbody></table>

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 05:59 PM

Nets +10 (Bet islands) is my 2nd play

jjgold · 01-07-12, 06:01 PM

Originally posted by ApricotSinner32

Nets +10 (Bet islands) is my 2nd play

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 06:07 PM

I know your plan. Hoping I do bad in a 7 game sample so you can convince the clueless on here that I am a bad handicapper. Business as usual.Have a good night sir.

jjgold · 01-07-12, 06:18 PM

You jumped line on me but I will let it go

Bet stands

Patty this was Walker's gig

I just listen to orders

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 10:05 PM

0-2

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 10:10 PM

All you do is pick dogs. You do that just to make other cappers think you are a sharp when you don't even have a clue what you doing. Pick 5 dogs, 3 hits, you're a genius.

Yet in not 1 of your plays, you explain why a play is good at +130. You just say you like it if at least +120. Care you explain where you get these numbers? Or you pulling numbers out of no where?

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 10:14 PM

I always make the minimum price to play a play at very conservatime. IE the true price that I believe is right might even be lower than what I post just to be sure. I am using brief estimates here.

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 10:17 PM

Care to show the math on how you arrived at that? You can use brief estimates of the numbers and just round it to 2 decimals.

Lets just use the example of Nets +10.

What was the EV of Nets +10? When is it negative? +9? +8.5?

jjgold · 01-07-12, 10:22 PM

Man I did this for a reason

I wanted guys to make money on Patty

The kid went sour

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 10:26 PM

Yes 2 play sample size tells the whole story. Carry on ace. Hope you're having a good butt worhip session tonight.

dynamite140 · 01-07-12, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by dynamite140

Care to show the math on how you arrived at that? You can use brief estimates of the numbers and just round it to 2 decimals.

Lets just use the example of Nets +10.

What was the EV of Nets +10? When is it negative? +9? +8.5?

Can you answer this question apricotsinner?

ApricotSinner32 · 01-07-12, 10:34 PM

I said I use brief estimates. I would definately give the the edge mathematically where I believe the nets were more likely to cover. How much more likely percentage wise? I do not know.... hence I would not make these picks at the -110 I would need atleast even money to be safe as I think it hits higher than 50% of the time but don't have a conclusive number for ya. Lets be honest nobody knows the exact percent to a .00000000000000003th. The key is that you are correct enough to profit at the lines you bet on avg. Hitting over 52% over a fairly decent sample for a year on dog prices.

mrmarket · 01-07-12, 10:37 PM

JJ spot him 4 points off the pinnacle number next time. maybe it will cover.