How Do You Guys Handicap College Hoops??

[jjgold]

So many games

Where do you begin??

Do you just isolate one or two conferences??

Follow a few teams only??

Line movements only??

[mrmarket]

do what most do here. pay edward at ras and hope he isn't pounding the other side and/or in bonnie & clyde situation with business partner.

[tony_come]

Highly organize

[wtt0315]

flip a coin, close your eyes and pray.. just like field goal kickers

[griz]

look for good spots

example: big ten - mich state last night @ wisconsin was getting 6 points.

[wal66]

JJ, it is a very involved process, one I'm sure would cause what little hair you have left to be long gone after only a couple of nights.

I can share that there is a coin involved, a little Tebow'ing, one or two chickens may be sacrificed in the process and if it's a road team I like then you can be sure a call to Miss Cleo will be made. If I have lost 2 games in a row and I REALLY NEED a winner I have a friend who I pay to sleep in a tee pee and smoke coyote urine soaked wacky backy till a vision comes to him.

[minet123]

Focus on one small conference
MAAC

[BiffTFinancial]

compass, protractor and kenpom.com

[manchu]

I do a statistical analysis of every game and look for the mis matches.

[BIGDAY]

How'd UConn -2 pan out?

Conference Dogs at home will hit 55-60% this time of yesr. I like to get +5 to +7 pts.

[thetrinity]

pray to god this season. everything i try fails. dogs in the big conferences at home are usually good bets when we get to the last month.

[upscope]

So many games

Where do you begin??

Do you just isolate one or two conferences??

Follow a few teams only??

Line movements only??

[upscope]

Just do like College Over Under does & "run it 4x's".........Whatever that means

[shaunovery]

Mostly line movements and see if you hedge at half time

[Brock Landers]

focus on a few conferences only, stick with teams you have seen play

[jjgold]

Thanks Men

"JJ keep an eye on Lander's action"
John Walker

[MrShrink]

Just do the opposite of whatever Doug Gottlieb says.

[Dutchie]

just random feel from watching games, and some basic stats. used to use kenpom.com

[VegasInsider]

[flyingillini]

Just look at the lines and pick a side.

[milwaukee mike]

focus on teams you know

impossible to know 300+ teams and who is playing hurt/uninspired/etc

[billysink]

Statistical handicapping works well in college hoops. I wrote a simple program several years back that exposes weak lines. I have to wait until around Christmas until the stats have been developed enough to be accurate and I am done after the last game before conference tournaments. Stats become skewed or have less depth when neutral sites are involved. During the big dance I just put together a couple of office pools, get drunk and throw shit at my TV.

My stats come from KenPom and TeamRankings.com

You have to run them all to find that needle in the haystack. I do not make a ton of plays but my ROI is good.

I have started using the SBR spreadsheet this year. If you are looking for a play or two, have a look. I usually play them within a few hours of open and the lines on my selections do tend to move quite a bit; so play them early.

Case in point today's game. I played Tulsa +1 and it is now -2 or -2.5 depending on where you buy your groceries.

Good luck fella.

[warriorfan707]

JJ add me to skype


I will create a skype account just for you

call me

[warriorfan707]

JJ I will give you an introduction

Go to donbest.com

look at the teams home records/away records, ppg, shooting percentages, and defensive stats

look at power rankings of teams they have played against

look at trends, recent games, and historical meetings, ats the otherwise

factor all these into the equation

Keep an eye out for teams who are getting a bunch of points and their shooting percentages from the field, line and 3's are nearly equal or in some cases even better than their opponent

[warriorfan707]

JJ add me to skype

I will download skype just for you

call me

[Glitch]

http://www.teamrankings.com/ncb/stats/

[cadillac pete]

screen watch, bet late, right before tip off to avoid being head faked earlier in the day with bogus moves. Closer is the most efficient and telling number.

[BiffTFinancial]

Just do the opposite of whatever Doug Gottlieb says.

now that's a system with potential. what kind of coach's son can't shoot?

[naslax13]

just do whatever i do

[warriorfan707]

A can of Pledge?

wtf

[blackout31]

Kilo of Coke, Can of Pledge, and a Fortune Cookie. If you have to ask how it works, you obviously can't afford the stakes I'm playing at.

[milwaukee mike]

Kilo of Coke, Can of Pledge, and a Fortune Cookie. If you have to ask how it works, you obviously can't afford the stakes I'm playing at.

and yet those stakes don't involve sending $200 to a sportsbook

[Louisvillekid1]

specialize in one conference...

[Ch Br]

... bet late, right before tip off to avoid being head faked earlier in the day with bogus moves. Closer is the most efficient and telling number.

uhhhhhh, NOT EVEN CLOSE

a line is HIGHLY dependent on many many factors...

You cant just make a blanket comment and say the final number of a line is the most effecient and telling..

How can you even say something like that with a straight face ? ? ? ? ?

[Ch Br]

Kilo of Coke, Can of Pledge, and a Fortune Cookie. If you have to ask how it works, you obviously can't afford the stakes I'm playing at.

MAN you forgot the booze intake, so that youre drunk by 11am Est