Round Robin NFL Teaser

[iFrat]

Seems like there is a lot of value in a 2team round robin with these teams.


Team:
Dec 17 NFL [303] DALLAS -1-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [306] NY GIANTS -½-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [309] NEW ORLEANS -½-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [317] TENNESSEE -½-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [319] CINCINNATI -½-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [323] NEW ENGLAND -1½-110 (B+6)
Dec 18 NFL [328] ARIZONA -½-110 (B+6)

For a total of 21 plays. Payouts based of how many teams cover:

7: +2100
6: +840
5: -210
4: -1050
3: -1680
2: -2100
1: -2310

My question is what is the percentage of 4 or more teams covering?

[FourLengthsClear]

Approximately:

4 or more cover - 87%
5 or more cover - 65%
6 or more cover - 32%
All 7 cover - 8%

[milwaukee mike]

so a 68% chance of losing money

there is a lot more value teasing a -8 down to -2 than a -6 1/2 down to -1/2

pretty much every one of those teams has a decent shot at losing