streak for the cash... big juice on there

[ebbearsfb1]

sharks -205...

never seen one that on before on espn

[yisman]

I have. Many times.

[ebbearsfb1]

how does it usually turn out?

big juice wins?

[ehp6737]

how does it usually turn out?

big juice wins?

Nope. SM hits these underdogs atleast 50% IMO. I've made good money over time taking the ML dog in these types of props on SFTC. Especially during baseball season. streakmaster is very sharp

[ebbearsfb1]

thats what i thought...
usually there is a reason a large juice is on there..

same thing with spread if i see a + 6 or 7 on there.. usually a good idea to take the dog.. unless injury or something

[k13]

streak4cash is sharp

[yisman]

Underdogs do not hit anywhere near 50%, but betting big ML underdogs that are posted on SftC is profitable, I believe.

[ebbearsfb1]

yea thats what ehp said... sounds good have to check it out

[yisman]

yea thats what ehp said... sounds good have to check it out

No, ehp said underdogs hit at "at least 50", which is not true.

[ehp6737]

No, ehp said underdogs hit at "at least 50", which is not true.

Really? Can you show me where you're getting your supporting data? Because I was charting it for 4 months over the spring and summer and head to head dogs were hitting at 49.8%. And that's not covering a spread 49.8% of the time, that was winning outright, at +110 or better (I only used games where the dog was atleast +110). I was only betting +EV lines. So I'm basing it on a rather small sample size of only about 4 months, where as sftc has been around for a few years now, so maybe not 50% for the entire history of stfc but who knows. What i do know is it is a very profitable angle.

Tonight's a perfect example. Colo closed at about +175 and it looks like there going to win

[yisman]

Really? Can you show me where you're getting your supporting data? Because I was charting it for 4 months over the spring and summer and head to head dogs were hitting at 49.8%. And that's not covering a spread 49.8% of the time, that was winning outright, at +110 or better (I only used games where the dog was atleast +110). I was only betting +EV lines. So I'm basing it on a rather small sample size of only about 4 months, where as sftc has been around for a few years now, so maybe not 50% for the entire history of stfc but who knows. What i do know is it is a very profitable angle.

Uh, how is that "at least 50%"? Even your small sample size disagrees with your statement.

I have been playing SftC since the beginning and have been tracking various angles for a while now.

It is simply not true that underdogs win "at least 50%" of the time.

I agree that it's profitable. But you're exaggerating it.

[ebbearsfb1]

Well eph said 50% of the time on streak for the cash... in the above post

[yisman]

Right, and I'm telling you that's not true. Underdogs do not win 50% of the time on streak for the cash.

[ebbearsfb1]

Okay well if ur tracking what's the percents ya got?

[Preston09]

It was a close game. Shoulda been a dog winner!