There is a reason people using 'gut capping' to make -EV bets are referred to as 'coin flippers'. If you are fading them at -110 odds, you are counting on them hitting less than 47.62% of their bets. According to JJ's spreadsheet, he is hitting 48.76%. Theoretically you could have roughly broken even at -105 odds if you faded every one of his plays. There are better ways.
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sideloaded
SBR Hall of Famer
08-21-10
7561
#5
Originally posted by jgilmartin
There is a reason people using 'gut capping' to make -EV bets are referred to as 'coin flippers'. If you are fading them at -110 odds, you are counting on them hitting less than 47.62% of their bets. According to JJ's spreadsheet, he is hitting 48.76%. Theoretically you could have roughly broken even at -105 odds if you faded every one of his plays. There are better ways.
Check it again. Some sports they hit way below 47%. BTW I have no idea how this got in the think tank.
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Tech N9ne
Restricted User
06-24-11
5366
#6
Congrats on crawling out from under a rock
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sideloaded
SBR Hall of Famer
08-21-10
7561
#7
Originally posted by Tech N9ne
Congrats on crawling out from under a rock
No idea what you mean.
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Tech N9ne
Restricted User
06-24-11
5366
#8
You just now realize this ??
Common now
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sideloaded
SBR Hall of Famer
08-21-10
7561
#9
It was a joke thread, then some mod moved it into the think tank making me look like a retard.
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Tech N9ne
Restricted User
06-24-11
5366
#10
Ok I see
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#11
Someone figured it out a while ago but if u faded jj play for play through his spreadsheet you would be down money
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#12
Originally posted by sideloaded
Fading:
Brock Landers
JJgold
SamsNcharge
Why do you have a 89 chevy then you mother fukker??
I heard you park your fukkin car around the block when you go to restaurants because you do not want anyone to see you in that fukkin lemon Chevy
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sideloaded
SBR Hall of Famer
08-21-10
7561
#13
wtf I don't own a 89 chevy
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DrStale
SBR Hall of Famer
12-07-08
9692
#14
Originally posted by sideloaded
It was a joke thread, then some mod moved it into the think tank making me look like a retard.
Originally posted by Dark Horse
If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
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Avenger
SBR MVP
03-15-11
2119
#15
jj is not gold. his hockey plays are good.
Now Brock, he has the magic touch. dude is a wonder kid, human ATM machine.