Do you realize how much money is on this site?

Ace_of_Spades · 12-15-11, 07:36 PM

Ah Yeah!

Megatron · 12-15-11, 07:37 PM

someone post their plays. So we can all fade.

jgilmartin · 12-15-11, 08:05 PM

There is a reason people using 'gut capping' to make -EV bets are referred to as 'coin flippers'. If you are fading them at -110 odds, you are counting on them hitting less than 47.62% of their bets. According to JJ's spreadsheet, he is hitting 48.76%. Theoretically you could have roughly broken even at -105 odds if you faded every one of his plays. There are better ways.

sideloaded · 12-15-11, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by jgilmartin

There is a reason people using 'gut capping' to make -EV bets are referred to as 'coin flippers'. If you are fading them at -110 odds, you are counting on them hitting less than 47.62% of their bets. According to JJ's spreadsheet, he is hitting 48.76%. Theoretically you could have roughly broken even at -105 odds if you faded every one of his plays. There are better ways.

Check it again. Some sports they hit way below 47%. BTW I have no idea how this got in the think tank.

Tech N9ne · 12-15-11, 08:25 PM

Congrats on crawling out from under a rock

sideloaded · 12-15-11, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by Tech N9ne

Congrats on crawling out from under a rock

No idea what you mean.

Tech N9ne · 12-15-11, 08:28 PM

You just now realize this ??

Common now

sideloaded · 12-15-11, 08:29 PM

It was a joke thread, then some mod moved it into the think tank making me look like a retard.

Tech N9ne · 12-15-11, 08:31 PM

Ok I see

ebbearsfb1 · 12-15-11, 08:35 PM

Someone figured it out a while ago but if u faded jj play for play through his spreadsheet you would be down money

jjgold · 12-15-11, 10:39 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

Fading:

Brock Landers
JJgold
SamsNcharge

Why do you have a 89 chevy then you mother fukker??

I heard you park your fukkin car around the block when you go to restaurants because you do not want anyone to see you in that fukkin lemon Chevy

sideloaded · 12-15-11, 10:51 PM

wtf I don't own a 89 chevy

12-15-11, 10:54 PM

Originally posted by sideloaded

It was a joke thread, then some mod moved it into the think tank making me look like a retard.

Avenger · 12-15-11, 11:05 PM

jj is not gold. his hockey plays are good.

Now Brock, he has the magic touch. dude is a wonder kid, human ATM machine.