Might play Indiana +6 for at least 10U today

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Might play Indiana +6 for at least 10U today
    I realize that on paper this makes very little sense. And I'm a little concerned about this line opening at +4 pre-market. But this is college hoops -- home upsets, or at least close games, happen. I think most of us forget that because it's been pretty much business as usual in college hoops so far this season -- a lot of easy public wins.

    Kentucky is obviously the more physically gifted team, but they're playing their first true road game of the season with a lot of young, inexperienced kids. IU returns everyone, and has Zeller in the mix now as well. IU lost by 19 at Rupp last season, but this was a 1-point game at half and IU led with 9 minutes left. They were down 6 at the under 4 timeout. Kentucky pulled away with a huge closing run and a +30 free throw margin at home, and Liggins, Knight and Harrellson are all gone (their three leading scorers that day).

    Kentucky is definitely a Top-5 team, but they're far from invincible. Bloomington can be one of the toughest and loudest places in the nation to play. IU will have to be at their very best, but I think they can keep this game within two possessions and at the very least cover. Haven't locked anything in yet, but I'm tempted to go pretty big on the Hoosiers in this spot.

    Thoughts?
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    The other thing that concerns me, aside from where the line opened, is Kentucky's defense. It's been outstanding this season, and will continue to be. They're swarming and menacing on D, which can be a neutralizer on the road.

    IU, on the other hand, seems to have some gaping holes in their D -- at least from the few times I've watched them.
    Comment
    • ngates815
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-01-09
      • 13845

      #3
      Tough game to look at. Don't care too much for Kentucky -6.5 now (5dimes)

      Threw them on the ML to close out my open parlay.

      Then took Indiana in an open teaser right now when the line bumped to 6.5


      But like you said IU is a tough place to play, but not quite sure they have all the athletes to play, but Zeller has looked pretty darn good this year so far.
      Comment
      • Holtgetsback
        SBR MVP
        • 01-04-10
        • 4655

        #4
        You're insane.

        How you can you possibly talk yourself into a 10 U play on this?
        Comment
        • Holtgetsback
          SBR MVP
          • 01-04-10
          • 4655

          #5
          regardless, good luck.

          I'm an Indiana man myself. Would love to whoop the Wildcats ass.
          Comment
          • jjgold
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-20-05
            • 388179

            #6
            Kentucky always loaded
            Fast paced and they will bury you

            Slow game pace Indy has shot
            Comment
            • milwaukee mike
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-22-07
              • 26914

              #7
              1) indiana sucks and taking them praying for a cover is certainly not the best play on the board
              2) if you have to get opinions confirming indiana then how can that be a "10 unit play"

              "Kentucky is obviously the more physically gifted team"
              you said it all right there
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                Originally posted by Holtgetsback
                You're insane.

                How you can you possibly talk yourself into a 10 U play on this?
                I've been told that before.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                  1) indiana sucks and taking them praying for a cover is certainly not the best play on the board
                  2) if you have to get opinions confirming indiana then how can that be a "10 unit play"

                  "Kentucky is obviously the more physically gifted team"
                  you said it all right there
                  Indiana doesn't "suck."

                  I was just hoping for a discussion on the game -- not necessarily confirmation on the play.
                  Comment
                  • Puppy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-23-11
                    • 1994

                    #10
                    too many slow white guys. will be blasted with athleticism
                    Comment
                    • bobby heenan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-20-09
                      • 4120

                      #11
                      indiana doesnt suck...ive made quite a bit of money off them already this year

                      dunno how i feel about this spot though....well see just how far theyve come today....and how good of a coach crean is

                      obviously when yer looking at it....it looks like one of those classic "athletic" mismatches....but indiana isnt northwestern....this team has some ability and real talent.....so it could be interesting....might put a small play on the hoosiers.....but im more interested to see just how good they can be cause ive had them pegged as a major sleeper this year that could be a major problem for some teams....so well see...indiana can be potent offensively if the shots are dropping.....they can score....but well see if they can score on a team as gifted as kentucky
                      Comment
                      • milwaukee mike
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-22-07
                        • 26914

                        #12
                        yes indiana is better than the past 3 years where they were the worst in the big ten, but they still suck relative to kentucky.
                        what other team in a major conference is 8-0 and unranked?

                        i'm still pissed at crean for leaving a marquette team that has gone at least 10-6 every year in the big east to join an indiana team that has gone 1-17, 4-14, and 3-15 in the big 10.

                        terrific recruiter and i wanted him to bring another dwayne wade or even wes matthews to marquette
                        Comment
                        • tanner40
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 2129

                          #13
                          Gl Noco
                          Comment
                          • MoneyLineDawg
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-01-09
                            • 13253

                            #14
                            Will really find out if Indiana is for real here.....If you think they're the real deal you take the points and possibly small on the ML, if you think they're frauds then lay the points and Kentucky should blow the doors off on em

                            Simple as that, do you believe Indiana is any good?
                            Comment
                            • Djstucky
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-11
                              • 2993

                              #15
                              Kentucky -5 at 5 dimes??? This is a tough one to bet on...
                              Comment
                              • tony_come
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-31-10
                                • 21695

                                #16
                                Pass

                                why would anyone touch this game
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by MoneyLineDawg
                                  Simple as that, do you believe Indiana is any good?
                                  Yes, I do. Not Kentucky good, but it just takes one.
                                  Comment
                                  • Goat Milk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 25850

                                    #18
                                    did you put 10 units on it
                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      did you put 10 units on it
                                      Not yet.

                                      I'm in a tough spot, because I'm 4-0, +9U so far today. Not sure how much of that I want to lay on the line, because college hoops has been a struggle for me so far.
                                      Comment
                                      • bobby heenan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-20-09
                                        • 4120

                                        #20
                                        go 2 units man....its not a strong enough of a play imo...even though i like this indiana team
                                        Comment
                                        • Powderguy
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-18-09
                                          • 6939

                                          #21
                                          decide on something
                                          Comment
                                          • Brock Landers
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 06-30-08
                                            • 45359

                                            #22
                                            Indiana hasnt played a team with a pulse yet, Kentucky has twice
                                            Comment
                                            • sjm5122
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-08
                                              • 4213

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Brock Landers
                                              Indiana hasnt played a team with a pulse yet, Kentucky has twice
                                              sooooo you give your backing to kentucky???
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                5U on the Hoosiers at +6.5.

                                                I chickened out.
                                                Comment
                                                • bobby heenan
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-20-09
                                                  • 4120

                                                  #25
                                                  well i admire your spirit up 9 units....i probably woulda done 2 or 2.5 in your position....but different strokes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Brock Landers
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 06-30-08
                                                    • 45359

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by sjm5122
                                                    sooooo you give your backing to kentucky???
                                                    Yep
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bobby heenan
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-20-09
                                                      • 4120

                                                      #27
                                                      wild first 7 mins
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Djstucky
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-27-11
                                                        • 2993

                                                        #28
                                                        Kentucky getting punched in the mouth right now...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Ra77er
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 06-20-11
                                                          • 10969

                                                          #29
                                                          Solid as usual No Coin
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bobby heenan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-20-09
                                                            • 4120

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Ra77er
                                                            Solid as usual No Coin
                                                            long way from being over....although i hope its a winner even though i didnt play

                                                            you saw at the end of the half just how fast things cant change with kentucky
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              We'll see.

                                                              It went from 30-22 to 30-29 in about 8 seconds.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bobby heenan
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-20-09
                                                                • 4120

                                                                #32
                                                                thinking about kentucky ml for 2nd half
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Ra77er
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 06-20-11
                                                                  • 10969

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Yea I don't care if IU loses by 100, I've cashed a 1h ticket thanks to No Coin. Good luck on the rest of the game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Ra77er
                                                                    Yea I don't care if IU loses by 100, I've cashed a 1h ticket thanks to No Coin. Good luck on the rest of the game.


                                                                    That's probably what I should have done.

                                                                    Kentucky ML for 2H Bobby? At -240?

                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ra77er
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 06-20-11
                                                                      • 10969

                                                                      #35
                                                                      2H line looks like Korntucky might open this up, that ml play looks solid imho.
                                                                      Comment
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