In honor of my close personal friend...... warrior707

[Emily_Haines]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">99512186-1</td><td>12/7/11 5:13pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$350.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$19.61</td><td>Pending</td><td>3 Team Parlay</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/7/11 7:00pm College Basketball 754 Duke -4750* <small>vs</small> Colorado State </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/7/11 8:00pm College Basketball 762 Wisconsin -4500* <small>vs</small> Wisconsin Green Bay </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/7/11 7:30pm College Basketball 804 Purdue -8500* <small>vs</small> Western Carolina </td></tr></tbody></table>

[warriorfan707]

hey its a free 19.61

[Emily_Haines]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">99603833-1</td><td>12/8/11 6:38pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$330.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$30.00</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/8/11 8:25pm NFL Football 102 Pittsburgh Steelers -1100* <small>vs</small> Cleveland Browns </td></tr></tbody></table>

[warriorfan707]

so in 26 minutes, 3300 wagers were taken by 5dimes

[Emily_Haines]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">99735342-1</td><td>12/10/11 9:02am</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$350.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$47.13</td><td>Pending</td><td>5 Team Parlay</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 9:00pm College Basketball 548 Marquette -4500* <small>vs</small> Wisconsin Green Bay </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 7:00pm College Basketball 602 Syracuse -3750* <small>vs</small> George Washington </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 7:30pm College Basketball 604 Notre Dame -3000* <small>vs</small> Dartmouth </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 8:00pm College Basketball 616 Texas A&M -4500* <small>vs</small> UL Monroe </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 6:00pm College Basketball 646 Middle Tennessee State -4250* <small>vs</small> Tennessee Martin </td></tr></tbody></table>

[warriorfan707]

See youve made 49.61 already thanks to me... trying to make it 96.74 now I see

Shit adds up

You will never pay for gas again because of me

[Emily_Haines]

See youve made 49.61 already thanks to me... trying to make it 96.74 now I see

Shit adds up

You will never pay for gas again because of me

Purdue was down by 6 at halftime and Cleveland had a chance to win. The stress not worth the peanuts you win, yet I press on.

Going for the big double up today. I know at least one of these I will have to sweat.

[Emily_Haines]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">99912523-1</td><td>12/11/11 10:32am</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$350.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$12.40</td><td>Pending</td><td>2 Team Parlay</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/11/11 1:00pm College Basketball 854 Florida State -15000* <small>vs</small> NC Greensboro </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/11/11 8:00pm College Basketball 872 Illinois -3500* <small>vs</small> Coppin State </td></tr></tbody></table>

[numismatist]

You sure you want to do this bro?

[jack1go]

Yesterday hawait yongbring lost

[ttwarrior1]

close friend , u sealed your fate

[NeverBackDown]

[Ace_of_Spades]

Yesterday hawait yongbring lost

Huh? Asian by any chance?

[Emily_Haines]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">100360314-1</td><td>12/15/11 8:02pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$150.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$12.32</td><td>Pending</td><td>2 Team Parlay</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/15/11 8:00pm College Basketball 544 LSU -1400* <small>vs</small> Cal Irvine </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/15/11 8:00pm College Basketball 554 Wisconsin -10000* <small>vs</small> Savannah State </td></tr></tbody></table>

[warriorfan707]

You should keep a running total of how much you are up/down.

[Emily_Haines]

you should keep a running total of how much you are up/down.

+109.14 ytd

[ouman101]

+109.14 ytd

And you still have to win a bunch more to off set one of those $350 losses, if it happens. Not worth it man

[warriorfan707]

And you still have to win a bunch more to off set one of those $350 losses, if it happens. Not worth it man

Its not for everyone

[Emily_Haines]

Going for the knock out blow tonight

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">100364597-1</td><td>12/15/11 8:48pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$162.50</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$25.00</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/15/11 8:00pm College Basketball 554 Wisconsin 2nd Half -650* <small>vs</small> Savannah State </td></tr></tbody></table>

[RyanLeafOfBets]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">100364597-1</td><td>12/15/11 8:48pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$162.50</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$25.00</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/15/11 8:00pm College Basketball 554 Wisconsin 2nd Half -650* <small>vs</small> Savannah State </td></tr></tbody></table>

Not a fan of this bet, especially after watching Wisconsin vs Wisconsin-Milwaukee 2nd half

[purecarnagge]

I remember doing that one year and duke didn't cover... I was pissed

[warriorfan707]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">100364597-1</td><td>12/15/11 8:48pm</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$162.50</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$25.00</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/15/11 8:00pm College Basketball 554 Wisconsin 2nd Half -650* <small>vs</small> Savannah State </td></tr></tbody></table>

This wasn't a good idea.


Hope you still get it.

[JMobile]

<table class="Grid" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="NonAlt "><td class="NoWrap">99735342-1</td><td>12/10/11 9:02am</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$350.00</td><td class="MiddleRight Currency">$47.13</td><td>Pending</td><td>5 Team Parlay</td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 9:00pm College Basketball 548 Marquette -4500* <small>vs</small> Wisconsin Green Bay </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 7:00pm College Basketball 602 Syracuse -3750* <small>vs</small> George Washington </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 7:30pm College Basketball 604 Notre Dame -3000* <small>vs</small> Dartmouth </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
</td><td>
</td><td>
</td><td>
</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 8:00pm College Basketball 616 Texas A&M -4500* <small>vs</small> UL Monroe </td></tr><tr class="NonAlt "><td>
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</td><td>Pending</td><td>12/10/11 6:00pm College Basketball 646 Middle Tennessee State -4250* <small>vs</small> Tennessee Martin </td></tr></tbody></table>

[warriorfan707]

Dude looks like one of those star trek aliens

[bandit bettor]

this kinda betting cant be + ev long term or is it?? you gotta win like 20 parlays for evry one 350 that loses

[Emily_Haines]

This wasn't a good idea.


Hope you still get it.

Did you watch the first half? Savannah had a hard time even getting a shot off.

I nearly jizzed my pants when I saw it was only -650

Wish I wasn't so risk adverse and went all in on this gimmie

[warriorfan707]

this kinda betting cant be + ev long term or is it?? you gotta win like 20 parlays for evry one 350 that loses

You have to be either a born loser or a retard to lose betting like this.

[Emily_Haines]

You have to be either a born loser or a retard to lose betting like this.

Going back the last five years favorites of 23 or more are 347-1

There was no way Wisconsin was going to lose tonight -10000 was a joke. They could have taken 2 random guys out of the stands, started them and still whipped Savannah like they aint even got a team.

[bandit bettor]

You have to be either a born loser or a retard to lose betting like this.

i would argue you would have to be a retard to bet like this... risking 350 to win 30 somthing bucks upsets happen all the time and i could almost quarantee this isnt a long term winning formula... if it was the books wouldnt be in buisness you can run it for a while but get a couple 350 losses in a row and your gonna have to go like 200-0 to catch up.. if u need 30 bucks that bad just place some small bets that are strong plays

[warriorfan707]

i would argue you would have to be a retard to bet like this... risking 350 to win 30 somthing bucks upsets happen all the time and i could almost quarantee this isnt a long term winning formula... if it was the books wouldnt be in buisness you can run it for a while but get a couple 350 losses in a row and your gonna have to go like 200-0 to catch up.. if u need 30 bucks that bad just place some small bets that are strong plays

A lot of people know sports well enough to know when these ridiculous upsets just don't have any prayer whatsoever of happening.

We aren't talking medium sized upsets here we are talking about monumentally horrific upsets.

[Emily_Haines]

i would argue you would have to be a retard to bet like this... risking 350 to win 30 somthing bucks upsets happen all the time and i could almost quarantee this isnt a long term winning formula... if it was the books wouldnt be in buisness you can run it for a while but get a couple 350 losses in a row and your gonna have to go like 200-0 to catch up.. if u need 30 bucks that bad just place some small bets that are strong plays

Not true.

If your betting 350 to win 20 and lose one
You only need to win 17 in a row to make up for it not 200

Even massive favorites are extremely +EV
Most people don't know this because they have been told otherwise
These same people have been sat down in front of a TV with crap filled diapers
and believe every thing they are told.

If you parlay two -10000 favorites together and bet 350 to win 7
-10000 is the same as 24pt favorite and we see there is only 1 loss in 348 games
The math says:
173 winners at $7 a pop = $1211
1 loser at -$350
still a massive profit at +$861

Ching, I win again!!

[warriorfan707]

Not true.

If your betting 350 to win 20 and lose one
You only need to win 17 in a row to make up for it not 200

Even massive favorites are extremely +EV
Most people don't know this because they have been told otherwise
These same people have been sat down in front of a TV with crap filled diapers
and believe every thing they are told.

If you parlay two -10000 favorites together and bet 350 to win 7
-10000 is the same as 24pt favorite and we see there is only 1 loss in 348 games
The math says:
173 winners at $7 a pop = $1211
1 loser at -$350
still a massive profit at +$861

Ching, I win again!!

So funny how you were ridiculing me relentlessly when I tried to show the forum this and now you are seeing the light.

Easy money.

[Emily_Haines]

The only loss of a 23pt or more favorite occurred in a early season game between Gardner Webb and Kentucky in 2008. Later in the year when we know which teams are good and which ones suck these massive upsets simply don't happen.

[Emily_Haines]

So funny how you were ridiculing me relentlessly when I tried to show the forum this and now you are seeing the light.

Easy money.

Different thing when you tease CBB totals and use big ML favorites in NFL.

Big ML favorites in CBB is a trip on the money train.

[FourLengthsClear]

Not true.

If your betting 350 to win 20 and lose one
You only need to win 17 in a row to make up for it not 200

Even massive favorites are extremely +EV
Most people don't know this because they have been told otherwise
These same people have been sat down in front of a TV with crap filled diapers
and believe every thing they are told.

If you parlay two -10000 favorites together and bet 350 to win 7
-10000 is the same as 24pt favorite and we see there is only 1 loss in 348 games
The math says:
173 winners at $7 a pop = $1211
1 loser at -$350
still a massive profit at +$861

Ching, I win again!!

Flawed logic, on two counts.

Firstly a sample of 348 is not nearly enough to conclude that 347-1 is usable data. If you look at, say 16-24 point favorites, how often is the final result out my more than 24 points compared to the spread? I don't know the answer to that but would strongly advise you to look at that in order to validate your base data.

Secondly the average odds for 23+ point favourites is not -10000. That is about right for a 24 point favourite but for a 30 point favourite you are closer to -30000.