NCAAF week# 1 PICKS

[accuscoresucks]

the season is upon us again.
10* =1 units


each play
using progression[week 1 rated 2*'s/week 2 rated 4*s/week 3 rated 6*'s/week 4 going 1 full unit per play till seasons end,for now could it change but i doubt it]



wk1 picks w/stats that propose the value,also homefeild advantage built in


vanderbelt +3.5/-105/2*
vnd/38 points median/approx ranked 58th/
mia/26 points median/ranked 93rd
result=vnd should easily win this by 8 points but are getting +3.5 giving them an +11.5 value compared to the line offerd



oregon state -3/-105
org/49/20
stnf/31/82
value=org +12



tulsa -14[bought 1/2 point]-115
tls/41/53
uab/18/116
value=tls +6/+ pr huge offset



boston college -10/-105
bc/47/24
kent/21/108
value=bc +13



oklahoma state -6/-105
ok/46/27
wash st/37/68
value= even/oks defense will have no problems against a highly overated state of apples



hawaii +34.5/-105
hw/44/43
fl/56/8
value=hw +19.5




virginia tech -10/-105
vt/57/6
ecrl/36/70
value= vt +8/+ rank class







utah state +14/[bought 2.5 points]-155
ut/18/115
unlv/22/104
value= ut +7





writeup on totals coming soon

[Richkas]

[accuscoresucks]

richkas you have more energy than a fuuken stream roller in the morning

[accuscoresucks]

any questions??

[accuscoresucks]

guys i promise you these lines will be moving YES in the not good way
2 weeks

gl

[teaserpleaser]

yeah the vanderbilt line suprised me moving from -1 to 3.5 at some books, i think vanderbilt pulls away and wins pretty big, im waiting for the moneyline, miami ohios qb daniel raudabaugh is a interception machine (12 tds and 12 ints last year) going against if not the best one of the best secondarys in the SEC. They couldnt run the ball last year against vandy and their top running back is gone. with all the problems vandy has the option and 5th year senior chris nickson or Mckenzie Adams combined with the vandy d should be more than enough. No SEC team (even vandy) will get beat by a MAC team.

[ChiGuy23]

Miami Oh did hang with Vandy last year at Vandy. Miami OH is returning almost everyone where vandy has lost 2 of its main elements on offense (Earl Bennett, Chris Williams) I think the hawks take this one.

Miami -3 for me.

[accuscoresucks]

Miami Oh did hang with Vandy last year at Vandy. Miami OH is returning almost everyone where vandy has lost 2 of its main elements on offense (Earl Bennett, Chris Williams) I think the hawks take this one.

Miami -3 for me.

to much ohio has to overcome

gl

[ChiGuy23]

I dont feel strong enough to play it either way. But if i were to play it, id be on miami.

[rossta4i]

Hawaii/Florida -34.5 don't know about this game. Hawaii's D should be the best unit in 15 years, but the O is struggling right now. I believe the D will keep them in the game, but don't know how much points the O can put up. The only soild group is the WR's right now (when the QB's can get them the ball). Not the mention the O-line they need to step it up abit. On 11 on 11 drills the D-line is causing havoc on the o-line and getting to the QB's on almost every play. If there own D can do that to the O imagine what a top 10 team can do. Even if JJ is not the coach now, florida might still be pissed about what he said about tebow last year.

[pags11]

rossta,

thanks for the hawaii info...

[accuscoresucks]

yep good usefull info never hurts

[teaserpleaser]

Im glad Vandy is aware of the point spread... a quote from Vandys starting DE Brodrick Stewart :
The 6-foot-5, 230-pound Stewart bristles at the notion that Vanderbilt is going to fall back to a two- or three-win team this season.
"I saw where somebody had us 2-10," said Stewart, who had six sacks last season despite not starting. "They've got us as underdogs to Miami of Ohio. I don't get it. We play in the SEC, but people look at us like we're some doormat."

[teaserpleaser]

I still think Vandy wins this game out right line is at 4, i think people are buying into the hype, M.A.C. teams get crushed when the play BCS conference teams. Put it like this if Vanderbilt was in the M.A.C they would be in the championship game miami ohio would go winless in the S.E.C. vanderbilts rebuilt line is juniors with game experince the front seven is talented and the secondary has 3 guys you'll be watching on sundays... somebody help me out what am i missing?? am i crazy or is this team not built to compete in the S.E.C man i cant wait until thursday.

[ChiGuy23]

I still think Vandy wins this game out right line is at 4, i think people are buying into the hype, M.A.C. teams get crushed when the play BCS conference teams. Put it like this if Vanderbilt was in the M.A.C they would be in the championship game miami ohio would go winless in the S.E.C. vanderbilts rebuilt line is juniors with game experince the front seven is talented and the secondary has 3 guys you'll be watching on sundays... somebody help me out what am i missing?? am i crazy or is this team not built to compete in the S.E.C man i cant wait until thursday.

Bring some facts to the table. Vandy is 0-4-1 the last 10 years ATS vs the MAC. They failed to cover twice against Miami (including last year), once against Temple 2 years ago, and squeaked by No. Ill 34-31 as 17 pt favs in '99.

[teaserpleaser]

I have vanderbilt plus 4 and teased plus 17 those are facts about the juniors and senior qb....hey why dont you do yourself a favor and put down a bet on miami ohio lets see how that works out for you. heres some facts for you Vandy is 8-3 all time vs. current MAC teams (2-0 last year)last year the MAC posted a 5-37 record against BCS schools how are those for facts?? im a teaser player large bet on vandy +17 took the 4 $100 not a big deal (so last but not least are you going to put your money where your mouth is? )

[teaserpleaser]

the S.E.C. is now 53-12 all time vs the M.A.C (Theres another fact)

[accuscoresucks]

if oregon can cover the -3 its a great start

if not hell ill take 2-1 all day

[BeatTheJerk]

yeah the vanderbilt line suprised me moving from -1 to 3.5 at some books, i think vanderbilt pulls away and wins pretty big, im waiting for the moneyline, miami ohios qb daniel raudabaugh is a interception machine (12 tds and 12 ints last year) going against if not the best one of the best secondarys in the SEC. They couldnt run the ball last year against vandy and their top running back is gone. with all the problems vandy has the option and 5th year senior chris nickson or Mckenzie Adams combined with the vandy d should be more than enough. No SEC team (even vandy) will get beat by a MAC team.

Dead on balls acurate with this statement ....... very impressive

[teaserpleaser]

Dead on balls acurate with this statement ....... very impressive

Thanks alot appreciate it... I spent alot of time looking into that game how are you doing so far?

[Pantherfoot2]

if oregon can cover the -3 its a great start

if not hell ill take 2-1 all day

Hey great call and info on Vandy, unfortunately didn't find this sight until mid way through the Stanford game. I'm new to online betting and might be missing something in your post but you say you'll be 2-1 if Oregon doesn't cover and I don't understand because it looks like Vandy and Oregon are your only plays today.

Anyways my buddy told me about a website he uses to bet with online so I said screw it and threw a few bones into it this afternoon. I didn't bet too much but look like I'll break even if Stanford holds on. Here's what I did

Stanford under 45.5 ~ L
SCar -14 ~ W
SCar 2H under 20.5 ~ L
Stanford 2H +2.5 ~ 7 minutes left but looks locked up

I'm hoping to be welcomed here and maybe meet some cool peeps. The only forum I'm familiar with is a pool website called azbilliards.com as I'm an avid pool player. Anyone that like pool should check it out. Anywho, I hope everyone wins elevindybillion dollars in the upcoming season and has a blast doing so. Oh and also if anyone is looking for someone who likes fantasy football please let me know cause I've played that a few seasons and had a blast. Peace out

Anthony

[accuscoresucks]

welcome to the forum pantherfoot2 alot of good people and info here to feed your needs. welcome