Damn T laying the 33.5? i couldn't do it took mali you will prob cash it though seem to be the olympic bkb pro
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Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#3
Honestly TG, I have no clue about this, Im just taking a long shot, I might switch shortly,,,,, no idea. lol
Comment
Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#4
Im crazy, ill take china.
Comment
bettilimbroke999
SBR Posting Legend
02-04-08
13254
#5
I took Mali as well +33.5 , I just have a hard time layin huge points in beaver ball, that said Mali is terrible so mainly just betting this to have some action
Comment
Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#6
Was a very dumb play, Tried to cancel it out with a bigger Mali bet but it was off the board by seconds.
Comment
topgame85
SBR Posting Legend
03-30-08
12325
#7
Well one of us will win at least
Comment
Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#8
Comment
topgame85
SBR Posting Legend
03-30-08
12325
#9
Haha i think you got this T my eyes are burning watching Mali play
Comment
topgame85
SBR Posting Legend
03-30-08
12325
#10
They kind of just run up the court and throw the ball towards the hoop i am getting a kick out of watching dont even care if i win its so entertaining
Comment
donjuan
SBR MVP
08-29-07
3993
#11
Mali failing to take advantage of their offensive rebounding ability because they can't hit the rim.
Comment
Tsoprano
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
04-14-08
26374
#12
What you said before is right, I mean I can find girls at any recreation center, or clinic way better than half these, Country-representing teams.
Comment
topgame85
SBR Posting Legend
03-30-08
12325
#13
Originally posted by Tsoprano
What you said before is right, I mean I can find girls at any recreation center, or clinic way better than half these, Country-representing teams.
Yah i don't get it why even send these girls to embarass themselves and your country in front of the world?
Comment
bettilimbroke999
SBR Posting Legend
02-04-08
13254
#14
Oddsmaker's are near psychic on these Olympic lines lately, is it that easy to predict a Mali/China or Russia/Brazil matchup?
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donjuan
SBR MVP
08-29-07
3993
#15
Oddsmaker's are near psychic on these Olympic lines lately, is it that easy to predict a Mali/China or Russia/Brazil matchup?
Once again, you have no clue what a line represents.
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bettilimbroke999
SBR Posting Legend
02-04-08
13254
#16
The expected avg. the team should win or lose by I thought? Enlighten me donjuan, what does it mean
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donjuan
SBR MVP
08-29-07
3993
#17
The expected avg. the team should win or lose by I thought? Enlighten me donjuan, what does it mean
1. By average, do you mean the median or the mean?
Comment
bettilimbroke999
SBR Posting Legend
02-04-08
13254
#18
I was think the median but maybe I'm wrong
Comment
accuscoresucks
SBR Hall of Famer
11-03-07
7160
#19
is mali's starter out again like she was w/usa game??
Comment
donjuan
SBR MVP
08-29-07
3993
#20
Median is correct. However, the idea that they are right on the money because a few games have landed close to the total is silly. The line is simply the median (or whatever depending on the odds) on the game's probability distribution. It's expected to hit x% of the time and if you picked another random number that would also have an associated probability of landing on that number. So if the spread is efficient on an NBA game and the spread is 2, there is around a 4% chance of the spread landing on that number. Doing so over a one game sample size doesn't indicate that the books, or more correctly the market, got the spread right (it does to a rather limited extent via Bayesian inference) but that the game simply landed on that number.
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durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#21
ignoring the math and listening to me at 5:26 am. people were talking about how great the linesmakers where when usa beat china vby 31. never mind that the line was +32.5 for a while and fell to -29. it's just a point on the distribution. even if it's the most likely, the likehood was tiny, and the books got ****ing killed.
i know a bookie who thinks that when they do "their job" ie the game falls close to the spread, they have a higher likelyhood of getting ****ed. which is of course insane. but gives me great confidence because this guy cleans up and he doesnt know a god damn thing