Mali vs. China - 4:45am ET

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  • Tsoprano
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-14-08
    • 26374

    #1
    Mali vs. China - 4:45am ET
    Who's on who?

    Going with China -33.5 and the Over 133.5

  • topgame85
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-08
    • 12325

    #2
    Damn T laying the 33.5? i couldn't do it took mali you will prob cash it though seem to be the olympic bkb pro
    Comment
    • Tsoprano
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-14-08
      • 26374

      #3
      Honestly TG, I have no clue about this, Im just taking a long shot, I might switch shortly,,,,, no idea. lol
      Comment
      • Tsoprano
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-14-08
        • 26374

        #4
        Im crazy, ill take china.
        Comment
        • bettilimbroke999
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 02-04-08
          • 13254

          #5
          I took Mali as well +33.5 , I just have a hard time layin huge points in beaver ball, that said Mali is terrible so mainly just betting this to have some action
          Comment
          • Tsoprano
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-14-08
            • 26374

            #6
            Was a very dumb play, Tried to cancel it out with a bigger Mali bet but it was off the board by seconds.
            Comment
            • topgame85
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-30-08
              • 12325

              #7
              Well one of us will win at least
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              • Tsoprano
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-14-08
                • 26374

                #8
                Comment
                • topgame85
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-30-08
                  • 12325

                  #9
                  Haha i think you got this T my eyes are burning watching Mali play
                  Comment
                  • topgame85
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-30-08
                    • 12325

                    #10
                    They kind of just run up the court and throw the ball towards the hoop i am getting a kick out of watching dont even care if i win its so entertaining
                    Comment
                    • donjuan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-29-07
                      • 3993

                      #11
                      Mali failing to take advantage of their offensive rebounding ability because they can't hit the rim.
                      Comment
                      • Tsoprano
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-14-08
                        • 26374

                        #12
                        What you said before is right, I mean I can find girls at any recreation center, or clinic way better than half these, Country-representing teams.
                        Comment
                        • topgame85
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-30-08
                          • 12325

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Tsoprano
                          What you said before is right, I mean I can find girls at any recreation center, or clinic way better than half these, Country-representing teams.
                          Yah i don't get it why even send these girls to embarass themselves and your country in front of the world?
                          Comment
                          • bettilimbroke999
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-04-08
                            • 13254

                            #14
                            Oddsmaker's are near psychic on these Olympic lines lately, is it that easy to predict a Mali/China or Russia/Brazil matchup?
                            Comment
                            • donjuan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-29-07
                              • 3993

                              #15
                              Oddsmaker's are near psychic on these Olympic lines lately, is it that easy to predict a Mali/China or Russia/Brazil matchup?
                              Once again, you have no clue what a line represents.
                              Comment
                              • bettilimbroke999
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-04-08
                                • 13254

                                #16
                                The expected avg. the team should win or lose by I thought? Enlighten me donjuan, what does it mean
                                Comment
                                • donjuan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-29-07
                                  • 3993

                                  #17
                                  The expected avg. the team should win or lose by I thought? Enlighten me donjuan, what does it mean
                                  1. By average, do you mean the median or the mean?
                                  Comment
                                  • bettilimbroke999
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-04-08
                                    • 13254

                                    #18
                                    I was think the median but maybe I'm wrong
                                    Comment
                                    • accuscoresucks
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-03-07
                                      • 7160

                                      #19
                                      is mali's starter out again like she was w/usa game??
                                      Comment
                                      • donjuan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-29-07
                                        • 3993

                                        #20
                                        Median is correct. However, the idea that they are right on the money because a few games have landed close to the total is silly. The line is simply the median (or whatever depending on the odds) on the game's probability distribution. It's expected to hit x% of the time and if you picked another random number that would also have an associated probability of landing on that number. So if the spread is efficient on an NBA game and the spread is 2, there is around a 4% chance of the spread landing on that number. Doing so over a one game sample size doesn't indicate that the books, or more correctly the market, got the spread right (it does to a rather limited extent via Bayesian inference) but that the game simply landed on that number.
                                        Comment
                                        • durito
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-03-06
                                          • 13173

                                          #21
                                          ignoring the math and listening to me at 5:26 am. people were talking about how great the linesmakers where when usa beat china vby 31. never mind that the line was +32.5 for a while and fell to -29. it's just a point on the distribution. even if it's the most likely, the likehood was tiny, and the books got ****ing killed.

                                          i know a bookie who thinks that when they do "their job" ie the game falls close to the spread, they have a higher likelyhood of getting ****ed. which is of course insane. but gives me great confidence because this guy cleans up and he doesnt know a god damn thing
                                          Comment
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