bears 90-1

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  • wtf
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-22-08
    • 12983

    #1
    bears 90-1
    to win super bowl

    now 30-1 on exchange, can offset for profit now

    interested in thoughts if they can win it all?
  • jgray
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-09
    • 3599

    #2
    You should wait. They won't win it all, but your sale odds will be better in a few weeks after they play the AFC West.
    Comment
    • SportsMushroom
      SBR MVP
      • 09-28-10
      • 4177

      #3
      Originally posted by jgray
      You should wait. They won't win it all, but your sale odds will be better in a few weeks after they play the AFC West.

      +1

      you'll probably get better odds down the line
      Comment
      • wtf
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-22-08
        • 12983

        #4
        thanks, maybe i will bail if they get ~15-1
        Comment
        • McBa1n
          SBR MVP
          • 01-02-06
          • 2642

          #5
          The Bears lost their RG for the season. That's a problem. Doesn't look like their starting RT is not going to get back anytime soon, either.
          Whilst they are playing really good football and are a good team with a solid QB and RB and above average D, I am not so sure those odds will work much higher. I see no value at 30-1, obviously, but if you got in early enough, enjoy your easy money.
          Comment
          • stevek173
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 03-29-08
            • 27598

            #6
            I think it's a good value play actually.

            Man what this team would be with a good WR or 2.

            Pretty good as is.
            Comment
            • Sunde91
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-26-09
              • 8325

              #7
              You have the option to take field vs. the Bears to win the Super Bowl?

              Bears are making the playoffs with little doubt at this point. Odds on the field will probably be cut a lot, probably around 15-1 like you said
              Comment
              • CanuckG
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-23-10
                • 21978

                #8
                Bears are good but when it's crunch time they'll find a way to fukk up and fail.
                Comment
                • d2bets
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 39995

                  #9
                  Originally posted by McBa1n
                  The Bears lost their RG for the season. That's a problem. Doesn't look like their starting RT is not going to get back anytime soon, either.
                  Whilst they are playing really good football and are a good team with a solid QB and RB and above average D, I am not so sure those odds will work much higher. I see no value at 30-1, obviously, but if you got in early enough, enjoy your easy money.
                  Obviously not good, but I think he's the one guy on the line they could most afford to lose. Edwin Williams is capable at that spot. However, if anyone else goes down then they have a big problem.

                  Not sure where the 90-1 was but that's definitely a great value. 30-1 is probably pretty close. Bears should now be a good 60-65% to make the playoffs as a wild card. If they get one of those spots, you're probably looking at something like 16 or 18-1 to win the SB. Out that together and 30-1 now makes pretty good sense. Again, 90-1 is a great value.
                  Comment
                  • d2bets
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 39995

                    #10
                    Originally posted by CanuckG
                    Bears are good but when it's crunch time they'll find a way to fukk up and fail.
                    Probably again in the NFC Championship.
                    Comment
                    • lakerboy
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-02-09
                      • 94379

                      #11
                      Bears will not even make the playoffs. I say that as a fan.
                      Comment
                      • Djstucky
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-11
                        • 2993

                        #12
                        The bears just really aren't that good...Hence the reasons for the outlandish odds to win the superbowl...
                        Comment
                        • d2bets
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 39995

                          #13
                          Originally posted by lakerboy
                          Bears will not even make the playoffs. I say that as a fan.
                          Anything's possible, but the odds are strong that they will. They've now played the tougher part of their schedule (all NFC) and have good H2H splits. 10-6 should get them in almost for sure (and quite possibly 9) which means 4-3 (SD, Oak, KC, Den, Sea, GB, Min). They should be able to find 4 wins in there, if not 5. The only teams that are serious WC threats are Det themselves and then the loser of NY/Dal. Atlanta is a game behind but Atl lost H2H. Nobody else is a threat. So really they're one of 3 teams, maybe 4, fighting for 2 spots and the Bears are in the best position record and schedule wise. I'd bet very large on Bears making the playoffs at anything under -120.
                          Comment
                          • d2bets
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-10-05
                            • 39995

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Djstucky
                            The bears just really aren't that good...Hence the reasons for the outlandish odds to win the superbowl...
                            90-1 is just stale. 30-1 is closer. Not outlandish. In terms of NFC odds right now, GB obviously best chance, SF next and then it's the Bears. Dallas might be dangerous too, but they have a tougher road to playoffs.
                            Comment
                            • WichitaStateFan
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-11-11
                              • 311

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              Bears will not even make the playoffs. I say that as a fan.
                              A Bears fan and a Lakers fan?

                              Bears are through the hard part of their schedule and 6-3. Why won't they make playoffs?
                              Comment
                              • Djstucky
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-11
                                • 2993

                                #16
                                Originally posted by d2bets
                                90-1 is just stale. 30-1 is closer. Not outlandish. In terms of NFC odds right now, GB obviously best chance, SF next and then it's the Bears. Dallas might be dangerous too, but they have a tougher road to playoffs.
                                Well put...I just fear cutler will be one of those guys who can't winter big game...
                                Comment
                                • brahmabull117
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 8622

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                  Bears will not even make the playoffs. I say that as a fan.


                                  what the hell are you smoking??? The bears have a chance to go 12-4 this season


                                  the only game I see them losing rest of the year is that matchup at Green Bay. Look at their schedule and tell me how many losses you see there
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94379

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                    what the hell are you smoking??? The bears have a chance to go 12-4 this season


                                    the only game I see them losing rest of the year is that matchup at Green Bay. Look at their schedule and tell me how many losses you see there

                                    <table class="tablehead" cellpadding="3" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr class="oddrow team-28-24"><td>Sun, Nov 20</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>4:15 PM CBS</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="evenrow team-28-13"><td>12</td><td>Sun, Nov 27</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>4:05 PM FOX</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="oddrow team-28-12"><td>13</td><td>Sun, Dec 4</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>1:00 PM CBS</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="evenrow team-28-7"><td>14</td><td>Sun, Dec 11</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>4:05 PM FOX</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="oddrow team-28-26"><td>15</td><td>Sun, Dec 18</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>1:00 PM FOX</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="evenrow team-28-9"><td>16</td><td>Sun, Dec 25</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>8:20 PM NBC</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr><tr class="oddrow team-28-16"><td>17</td><td>Sun, Jan 1</td><td align="left">
                                    </td><td>1:00 PM FOX</td><td colspan="3">Tickets</td></tr></tbody></table>



                                    I could see them losing at gb/minny/oakland and denver. 3 road games out of last 4 to end the season is not good. i could also see them losing at home to the chargers. they are way overpriced at -4 already.
                                    Comment
                                    • brahmabull117
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 8622

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      I could see them losing at gb/minny/oakland and denver. 3 road games out of last 4 to end the season is not good. i could also see them losing at home to the chargers. they are way overpriced at -4 already.

                                      ridiculous, minny and denver??? are you kidding me??



                                      the bears will eat Tim Tebow alive and we own the vikings - that should be the 3rd straight double digit win against that team



                                      and how in the hell is a - 4 line overpriced with how hot the bears are and how awful the chargers have looked recently?? That's -1 plus homefield advantage, you don't think the bears are the better team right now???
                                      Comment
                                      • wtf
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-22-08
                                        • 12983

                                        #20
                                        the bears were 90-1 two weeks ago BEFORE their last two games, thus the huge market move
                                        Comment
                                        • riffraff24
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-20-11
                                          • 7234

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by WichitaStateFan
                                          A Bears fan and a Lakers fan?

                                          Bears are through the hard part of their schedule and 6-3. Why won't they make playoffs?
                                          No football in LA so who should he be a fan of?
                                          Comment
                                          • Monte
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-21-10
                                            • 2056

                                            #22
                                            Their remaining games are not the hardest, there is only 1 really tough game in GB.
                                            I'd wait.
                                            Comment
                                            • d2bets
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 39995

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                              ridiculous, minny and denver??? are you kidding me??



                                              the bears will eat Tim Tebow alive and we own the vikings - that should be the 3rd straight double digit win against that team



                                              and how in the hell is a - 4 line overpriced with how hot the bears are and how awful the chargers have looked recently?? That's -1 plus homefield advantage, you don't think the bears are the better team right now???
                                              Yeah, I can't wait for that Denver game. I don't see them just being up to run all over Bears. Bears are always able to pen Vick in, and that's with the threat of a pass.
                                              Comment
                                              • 4TH AND STUPID
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-08-09
                                                • 2349

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Bears will not even make the playoffs. I say that as a fan.


                                                Comment
                                                • WichitaStateFan
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-11-11
                                                  • 311

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by riffraff24
                                                  No football in LA so who should he be a fan of?
                                                  Most people tend to pick a team close to their geography. I was just curious, I am always curious when someone likes a random set of teams.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WichitaStateFan
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 11-11-11
                                                    • 311

                                                    #26
                                                    I honestly don't know how the Bears won't make the playoffs. They've played one of, if not the hardest schedule in football, and yet they're 6-3 and now it gets a whole lot easier and they are getting better and better.

                                                    I mean their losses are:

                                                    Packers (who wouldn't lose to them?0
                                                    At Saints when they Saints started 0-1 - walked into a buzz saw
                                                    At Lions - first MNF in how many years? Another buzz saw
                                                    Comment
                                                    • brahmabull117
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-08-10
                                                      • 8622

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by WichitaStateFan
                                                      I honestly don't know how the Bears won't make the playoffs. They've played one of, if not the hardest schedule in football, and yet they're 6-3 and now it gets a whole lot easier and they are getting better and better. I mean their losses are: Packers (who wouldn't lose to them?0 At Saints when they Saints started 0-1 - walked into a buzz saw At Lions - first MNF in how many years? Another buzz saw

                                                      lakerboy is just a fukking retard


                                                      the bears will finish with no less than 11 wins and they have the tiebreaker over atlanta (the other likely NFC wildcard team). I'd give you about 90% chance that the bears make the playoffs
                                                      Comment
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