How can the Pirates be a +255 dog?

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  • mathdotcom
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-24-08
    • 11689

    #1
    How can the Pirates be a +255 dog?
    Or, more importantly, who the hell would lay that kinda chalk on the Dbacks??
  • pat venditto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-07-07
    • 14347

    #2
    unreal.
    Comment
    • ryanXL977
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 02-24-08
      • 20615

      #3
      i would not lay -250 on az
      but haren is as good as it gets
      if you think pitt will win a game here, then i guess you have to take pitt all 3
      Comment
      • The HG
        SBR MVP
        • 11-01-06
        • 3566

        #4
        Yeah it is a strange line at first, but Haren is as steady as they come. If he gives another 7 IP 2 ER start, which is very likely, it will be very very unlikely Pitt will win.

        Remember, Ari at -280 still means they have to win only 73% of the time to break even. What are the chances Haren doesn't have a 7 ip 2 ER start? If he does, what are the chances Pitt wins anyway?
        Comment
        • Tsoprano
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-14-08
          • 26374

          #5
          Pitt. came through as a BIG DOG this week against the cubs, wouldnt be surprised if they do it again.
          Comment
          • bmw530i
            Restricted User
            • 04-19-08
            • 4058

            #6
            put a hundo on Pitt. ok frendo
            Comment
            • ryanXL977
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-24-08
              • 20615

              #7
              pitt came thru vs marquis, not haren
              Comment
              • wtt0315
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-18-07
                • 8037

                #8
                arizona wins easily here. I am a strong believer in there is no value in betting on a dog if they lose. i would rather bet 100 and win 50 on a -200 favorite then bet 50 to possibly win 100 on a +200 wager and lose. No value in losing. Stay away from the game tonight if the juice is to high but dont take pitt. If you must take a dog tonight go with cleveland or with atlanta. wow never thought i would say atlanta and win in the same sentence
                Comment
                • ryanXL977
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-24-08
                  • 20615

                  #9
                  az will slaughter pitt tonite
                  a much better dog bet is oak vs halladay
                  Comment
                  • HeeeHAWWWW
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-13-08
                    • 5487

                    #10
                    Originally posted by wtt0315
                    No value in losing.
                    Doesn't make sense. Value is prediction-based. If you're predicting 100% they're going to lose, there's no value in the first place (and same up to 72%).
                    Comment
                    • element1286
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-25-08
                      • 3370

                      #11
                      Herrera is awful, so I understand the line, but I wouldn't take either side.
                      Comment
                      • bigugly
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-04-08
                        • 1329

                        #12
                        I won't be looking at this game, but it shocked the hell out of me to see Arizona as that high of a favorite. Cubs that heavily favored is one thing, but Dbacks...I don't know, though they have been playing better.
                        Comment
                        • ryanXL977
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-24-08
                          • 20615

                          #13
                          solely based on haren i guess
                          Comment
                          • awholelottalumps
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-14-07
                            • 1049

                            #14
                            They'll be lucky to score 2 runs here.Run line on Arizona is the way to go here.Haren should breeze through the Pirates hitters.
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82864

                              #15
                              Originally posted by element1286
                              Herrera is awful, so I understand the line, but I wouldn't take either side.
                              He shutout San Diego that has an offense as bad as the DBacks.
                              Comment
                              • nervlol
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 07-13-08
                                • 69

                                #16
                                I think im just going to play the over in this game.
                                Comment
                                • ryanXL977
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 02-24-08
                                  • 20615

                                  #17
                                  san diegos offense is WAY worse than az
                                  az is at home, and az has the best pitcher in the nl going
                                  where is the value on pitt
                                  Comment
                                  • mathdotcom
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-24-08
                                    • 11689

                                    #18
                                    Where's the possible value?

                                    The fact that anything can happen in a single MLB game
                                    Comment
                                    • element1286
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-25-08
                                      • 3370

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                      He shutout San Diego that has an offense as bad as the DBacks.
                                      His stuff is very bad, he has no out pitch. He is throwing a 80's fastball with not much movement, and he struggles throwing the curve for a strike.
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82864

                                        #20
                                        Pirates swept Astros on the road. There is no value in betting the Diamondbacks tonight. Haren gave up 3 runs against Pirates in last start against them and didn't win the game.
                                        Comment
                                        • ryanXL977
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-24-08
                                          • 20615

                                          #21
                                          i agree, i wouldnt bet az either
                                          but i wouldnt bet pitt just bc of the +250
                                          if it was maholm maybe, but not this scrub
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82864

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                            i agree, i wouldnt bet az either
                                            but i wouldnt bet pitt just bc of the +250
                                            if it was maholm maybe, but not this scrub
                                            Exactly. There is no value in Diamomdbacks at -290.
                                            Comment
                                            • ryanXL977
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 20615

                                              #23
                                              that is true
                                              Comment
                                              • Crayzee
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 4945

                                                #24
                                                i think it has something to do with thme sucking really bad and having got rid of their best players
                                                Comment
                                                • johnnymapalo
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-14-08
                                                  • 2999

                                                  #25
                                                  I don't know. Pitt might have a chance. Arizona has never seen Herrara pitch before and he might be that element of surprise.. On the other hand, Pitt has seen Haren before and know his pitches so they may get a steal here. Juss keep it a low scoring game and its a steal for Pitt just like they did the Cubs. The only thing I'm worried about though is Herrara's pitching. the guy is atrocious...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ryanXL977
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-24-08
                                                    • 20615

                                                    #26
                                                    pitt isny playing marquis
                                                    and pitt won bc the cubs didnt hit with risp. those things even out

                                                    haren isnt marquis
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pavyracer
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                      • 82864

                                                      #27
                                                      I threw $100 on Pirates +255 ML FF.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mtneer1212
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-22-08
                                                        • 4993

                                                        #28
                                                        Anyone who bet Arizona -275 also just laid 3 runs ---- 3-0 Buccos
                                                        Comment
                                                        • onthewhat
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 05-14-08
                                                          • 15411

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                          I threw $100 on Pirates +255 ML FF.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • biggamer3
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-16-07
                                                            • 2163

                                                            #30
                                                            Today is Dog Day

                                                            Texas,Houston,Pitt,Nationals all big dogs, all looking good
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Iwinyourmoney
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-18-07
                                                              • 18368

                                                              #31
                                                              I put $50 on each big dog tonight for the hell of it
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wilforth
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 05-10-08
                                                                • 16309

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Iwinyourmoney
                                                                I put $50 on each big dog tonight for the hell of it
                                                                That was very wise of you.
                                                                The Astros, Nationals and Pirates might all win their games tonight.
                                                                GL, buddy.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • biggamer3
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-16-07
                                                                  • 2163

                                                                  #33
                                                                  BTW this Pitt pitcher is the worst pitcher i have seen this year

                                                                  Linesmakers knew what they were doing
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Dashwood Clipper
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-12-08
                                                                    • 1598

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Herrera is the worst pitcher to enter the league as long as I can remember. Can anyone name a worse pitcher?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bmw530i
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 04-19-08
                                                                      • 4058

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Pavvy nice so far...
                                                                      Comment
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