?? for all of you line movement and EV trackers

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  • itchypickle
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-05-09
    • 21452

    #1
    ?? for all of you line movement and EV trackers
    Help me out on this choice on the Stanford @ USC line

    Opened at Stan -8.5 and is now down to -7.5 (-105)

    Anyone think the $$ pushes it to an even -7 at (-110/ -115) or is this the best it's going to get and an even better value at the -105?
  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82666

    #2
    How many games land on the 8 point differential? If you like USC getting +8.5 or +7.5 is not that much different. I'd rather have +7.5 -105 than +8.5 -110 and pay less juice.
    Comment
    • big0mar
      SBR MVP
      • 01-09-09
      • 3374

      #3
      Originally posted by pavyracer
      How many games land on the 8 point differential? If you like USC getting +8.5 or +7.5 is not that much different. I'd rather have +7.5 -105 than +8.5 -110 and pay less juice.
      I think he was asking if -7.5 at -105 was better than -7 -110

      The answer is no. I would even take -7 -115 instead of -7.5 -105.
      [B][B]They key isn't getting rich quick. The key is getting rich slowly, and enjoying it.

      [/B][/B][SIZE=1][URL="http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points/490161-points-available-loan.html#post4633361"][/URL][/SIZE]
      Comment
      • Glitch
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-08-09
        • 11795

        #4
        i dont think it will drop to a touchdown.

        i dont necessarily think usc will cover but i think stanford would get hit too hard for any reasonable juice at 7.
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82666

          #5
          Originally posted by big0mar
          I think he was asking if -7.5 at -105 was better than -7 -110

          The answer is no. I would even take -7 -115 instead of -7.5 -105.
          I agree -7 is much better than -7.5 if you like the fav.
          Comment
          • itchypickle
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-05-09
            • 21452

            #6
            Pavy I'm on Stanford if I take it so that half point only comes into play if this game is closer than what I'm thinking it will be. It's at the Coliseum and the rivalry atmosphere and USC has shown they will most likely put up at least 24 or so this season which means I'd kid killed on a 31-24 or 34-27 or 35-28 type final.

            I really believe Stanford is for real and should win by 13 or more but these West Coast games have a tendency to play out pretty crazy for me.

            Omar you're correct pal....I'm just trying everything to keep myself from that extra 1/2 point trap.
            Comment
            • itchypickle
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-05-09
              • 21452

              #7
              Originally posted by Glitch
              i dont think it will drop to a touchdown.

              i dont necessarily think usc will cover but i think stanford would get hit too hard for any reasonable juice at 7.
              Pretty much....so this is basically the Books fukking with our heads before they knock it back to 8 or above.
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82666

                #8
                Originally posted by itchypickle
                Pavy I'm on Stanford if I take it so that half point only comes into play if this game is closer than what I'm thinking it will be. It's at the Coliseum and the Rivalry atmosphere and USC has shown they will most likely put up at least 24 or so this season which means I'd kid killed on a 31-24 or 34-27 or 35-28 type final.

                I really believe Stanford is for real and should win by 13 or more but these West Coast games have a tendency to play out pretty crazy for me.

                Omar you're correct pal....I'm just trying everything to keep myself from that extra 1/2 point trap.
                Good luck!

                When Arizona St played Mizzou earlier this year the line opened up -7.5 Arizona St and I bought the hook to -7 and it saved me because I got a push.
                Comment
                • Sunde91
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 8325

                  #9
                  He wants Stan -7, not USC. How dumb are you pavy clown

                  Depends where you play, but it will dip to 7 at some point in the week. -7.5 is +102 pinn and -105 5D.
                  Comment
                  • itchypickle
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-05-09
                    • 21452

                    #10
                    I can't forget Woods having 12 catches for over 200 yards and USC torching the Cardinal for 390 in the air last year @ the Cardinal....just have that ONE little voice in my head saying DONT DO IT
                    Comment
                    • Sunde91
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 8325

                      #11
                      Bookmaker -7 -110 a minute after writing that and gone now
                      Comment
                      • dice
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-28-09
                        • 669

                        #12
                        Stanford is the pick.
                        Comment
                        • teaserpleaser
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-14-08
                          • 26015

                          #13
                          Over
                          Comment
                          • Glitch
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-08-09
                            • 11795

                            #14
                            -7 -110 only on betcris and probably not for long if you want it.
                            Comment
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