Nebraska is the best play on the board this week

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  • Louisvillekid1
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-17-07
    • 52143

    #1
    Nebraska is the best play on the board this week
    This looks to be a tough card this week, as I can only find one play so far...

    Right now i see it @ -4, and would loved to get this at -3, but that would cost me 25 cents.

    Wanted to get your guys opinions on where this line will close, because i suspect atleast 60% of the public to be on Mich St. Opened 3.5 and already shifted to 4.

    Mich St coming off a stretch where they played @ Ohio St, Michigan, and the miracle vs Wiscy Sat Night. Now they have a 12pm est start (11am Local) in one of the toughest road environments in NCAAF. Sparty has played two road games all season and have only produced 23 total points...


    The cornhuskers should be able to get the lead early in this game and use that rushing attack to maintain it throughout.


    Where will the line go?


  • Deuce
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 01-12-08
    • 29843

    #2
    MSU knows if they win this likely they go to the Big 10 title game. Careful.
    Comment
    • dfberger23
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 5069

      #3
      I don't know, State has looked good lately and Nebraska really isn't that good.
      Comment
      • Glitch
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-08-09
        • 11795

        #4
        strongly disagree lou. wisky and michigan have 2 powerful rushing attacks aswell.
        Comment
        • Louisvillekid1
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-17-07
          • 52143

          #5
          Thanks for the opinions, im going to hold out and wait to see if public can knock this line down to 3... Either way I still see the huskers by a td...
          Comment
          • Louisvillekid1
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-17-07
            • 52143

            #6
            Originally posted by Glitch
            strongly disagree lou. wisky and michigan have 2 powerful rushing attacks aswell.

            agreed but mich st @ home is completely different team than on the road... that team thrives off the crowd...
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82839

              #7
              How many teams have ever won in Lincoln, NE? That place is too loud.
              Comment
              • Louisvillekid1
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-17-07
                • 52143

                #8
                I think Texas beat them last year, but not sure b4 that...
                Comment
                • Louisvillekid1
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-17-07
                  • 52143

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Glitch
                  strongly disagree lou. wisky and michigan have 2 powerful rushing attacks aswell.
                  Let not forget that those are two rushing attacks that mich st is very used to seeing year in and year out...
                  Comment
                  • itchypickle
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 11-05-09
                    • 21452

                    #10
                    I'm either going to lose a ton of $$ this weekend or be very happy by midnight saturday with this game and a couple others that I wanna just tease all in one but can't do it with more than 3 and feel great.

                    Nebraska -4

                    Texas A & M

                    Miami

                    Va Tech

                    Tex Tech

                    Oklahoma


                    Fun weekend ahead boys!
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #11
                      msu will lose this week. an emotional team coming off 2 straight home games where their energy was through the roof.

                      dantonio is trying to be like Bill Bellicheck but his players are in college, not NFL. You can't maintain that energy for 3 weeks straight when the talent on your team sucks.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • Louisvillekid1
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-17-07
                        • 52143

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Goat Milk
                        msu will lose this week. an emotional team coming off 2 straight home games where their energy was through the roof.

                        dantonio is trying to be like Bill Bellicheck but his players are in college, not NFL. You can't maintain that energy for 3 weeks straight when the talent on your team sucks.
                        i don't agree that they aren't talented, but do i agree its a bad spot for them
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                          i don't agree that they aren't talented, but do i agree its a bad spot for them
                          GL. I just think they are overrated, big time. They caught MICH on a tough road schedule in their 3rd straight road game I believe, then Wisconson got 2 very lucky plays for TDs, energy from homecoming, etc, bunch of variables.

                          Those things don't usually go your way on the road. You have to play well to win in Nebraska. Also State had 0 penalties against Wisconson. No need to explain how that will change on the road.
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • teaserpleaser
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-14-08
                            • 26015

                            #14
                            Originally posted by dfberger23
                            I don't know, State has looked good lately and Nebraska really isn't that good.
                            This.... I see T-magic having alot of problems with spartan defense. Nebraska in one word sucks
                            Comment
                            • teaserpleaser
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-14-08
                              • 26015

                              #15
                              Even if spartans have a letdown they have the better defense imo and its not even close at qb. Msu is a better all around team. Im not very high on nebraska if you cant tell.
                              Comment
                              • Sunde91
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-26-09
                                • 8325

                                #16
                                MSU was blownout 37-6 @Iowa exactly 1 year ago in a letdown spot after a lesser miracle comeback win @NW the week before

                                The thing I don't like is betting on one of the worst passing QBs in the country in Martinez against a good D. His mechanics are unbelievably bad and every pass is a duck
                                Comment
                                • teaserpleaser
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-14-08
                                  • 26015

                                  #17
                                  I really feel bad for taylor martinez kid should be playing wr, rb, or safety but sure as hell not a passing qb in a major conference... Spartan defense is no joke
                                  Comment
                                  • sean1981
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-10-09
                                    • 134

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                    This looks to be a tough card this week, as I can only find one play so far...

                                    Right now i see it @ -4, and would loved to get this at -3, but that would cost me 25 cents.

                                    Wanted to get your guys opinions on where this line will close, because i suspect atleast 60% of the public to be on Mich St. Opened 3.5 and already shifted to 4.

                                    Mich St coming off a stretch where they played @ Ohio St, Michigan, and the miracle vs Wiscy Sat Night. Now they have a 12pm est start (11am Local) in one of the toughest road environments in NCAAF. Sparty has played two road games all season and have only produced 23 total points...


                                    The cornhuskers should be able to get the lead early in this game and use that rushing attack to maintain it throughout.


                                    Where will the line go?


                                    1. It's the Big Ten, so you almost always have a 12 EST start.
                                    2. This MSU team is better than last year's version, on both sides of the ball.
                                    3. In the past three weeks, MSU has had to game plan against a mobile quarterback. They were able to dominate against Denard and Michigan. Denard -350 v. Martinez.
                                    4. Last week, MSU, without a major piece of its pass rush, was able to shut down Russell Wilson and Wisconsin for all but its first two possessions (second was a short field after turnover at the MSU 30) and its last two possessions (when they played soft with a two-touchdown lead in the fourth quarter).
                                    5. I'm not a big believer in the transitive property in sports, but MSU was significantly better than Wisconsin for 50 minutes of that game and Wisconsin absolutely destroyed Nebraska.
                                    6. Kirk Cousins might be the most underrated quarterback in the Big Ten.
                                    7. If MSU gets out to a lead and can come downhill at Martinez, he will make a lot of mistakes. (See three picks in six minutes to blow the game wide open against Wisconsin).

                                    I think MSU is a better team than Nebraska. However, I do think the Huskers do have an awesome home environment and are a more rested team, but college football is a momentum game. Huskers are -4 right now. I don't see the line moving toward Nebraska any more, so you may want to wait.
                                    Comment
                                    • Louisvillekid1
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 10-17-07
                                      • 52143

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by sean1981
                                      1. It's the Big Ten, so you almost always have a 12 EST start.
                                      2. This MSU team is better than last year's version, on both sides of the ball.
                                      3. In the past three weeks, MSU has had to game plan against a mobile quarterback. They were able to dominate against Denard and Michigan. Denard -350 v. Martinez.
                                      4. Last week, MSU, without a major piece of its pass rush, was able to shut down Russell Wilson and Wisconsin for all but its first two possessions (second was a short field after turnover at the MSU 30) and its last two possessions (when they played soft with a two-touchdown lead in the fourth quarter).
                                      5. I'm not a big believer in the transitive property in sports, but MSU was significantly better than Wisconsin for 50 minutes of that game and Wisconsin absolutely destroyed Nebraska.
                                      6. Kirk Cousins might be the most underrated quarterback in the Big Ten.
                                      7. If MSU gets out to a lead and can come downhill at Martinez, he will make a lot of mistakes. (See three picks in six minutes to blow the game wide open against Wisconsin).

                                      I think MSU is a better team than Nebraska. However, I do think the Huskers do have an awesome home environment and are a more rested team, but college football is a momentum game. Huskers are -4 right now. I don't see the line moving toward Nebraska any more, so you may want to wait.

                                      I think its a big adjustment flying high from a huge prime time win to a early start in a very tough environment, playing a team who really needs this game...
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94379

                                        #20
                                        gl on whatever you decide
                                        Comment
                                        • NYSportsGuy210
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 11-07-09
                                          • 11347

                                          #21
                                          You seriously think this is the best play on the board this week....
                                          Comment
                                          • SBR_John
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 07-12-05
                                            • 16471

                                            #22
                                            I dont trust Nebraska. They have had some horrible stretches this year and I dont just mean against Wisky. In fact you have to think hard to come up with a complete game. They should of lost big to Ohio St which Mich St beat on the road. Wash went toe to toe with them for nearly 3 quarters, fresno St actually out played them in Lincoln if my memory is correct.

                                            I do like the scenario of going against a team after a huge emotional win but Mich St has played a lot of big games and is pretty battle tested. Plus they are slightly better than Nebraska so I wouldnt lay points with the favorite here.
                                            Comment
                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-17-07
                                              • 52143

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                              You seriously think this is the best play on the board this week....
                                              even more so that you don't like it....

                                              And i only have two plays this week, Neb and G tech ( i grade them out equally)
                                              Comment
                                              • MC PICKS
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-10-10
                                                • 6644

                                                #24
                                                Nebraska will lose this game outright.
                                                Comment
                                                • NYSportsGuy210
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-07-09
                                                  • 11347

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                  even more so that you don't like it....

                                                  And i only have two plays this week, Neb and G tech ( i grade them out equally)
                                                  Good luck rookie.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Louisvillekid1
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 10-17-07
                                                    • 52143

                                                    #26
                                                    Im seeing alot of 4.5's now so i just locked this is @ -4 for 4 units...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Regul8er
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-06-07
                                                      • 10666

                                                      #27
                                                      Absolutely love Nebraska ML........its a bit juicy, but Michigan St doesnt win in this spot away from Lansing.
                                                      They will come back down to earth after nice HOME wins vs Michigan and Wisky!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Regul8er
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-06-07
                                                        • 10666

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by sean1981
                                                        1. It's the Big Ten, so you almost always have a 12 EST start.
                                                        2. This MSU team is better than last year's version, on both sides of the ball.
                                                        3. In the past three weeks, MSU has had to game plan against a mobile quarterback. They were able to dominate against Denard and Michigan. Denard -350 v. Martinez.
                                                        4. Last week, MSU, without a major piece of its pass rush, was able to shut down Russell Wilson and Wisconsin for all but its first two possessions (second was a short field after turnover at the MSU 30) and its last two possessions (when they played soft with a two-touchdown lead in the fourth quarter).
                                                        5. I'm not a big believer in the transitive property in sports, but MSU was significantly better than Wisconsin for 50 minutes of that game and Wisconsin absolutely destroyed Nebraska.
                                                        6. Kirk Cousins might be the most underrated quarterback in the Big Ten.
                                                        7. If MSU gets out to a lead and can come downhill at Martinez, he will make a lot of mistakes. (See three picks in six minutes to blow the game wide open against Wisconsin).

                                                        I think MSU is a better team than Nebraska. However, I do think the Huskers do have an awesome home environment and are a more rested team, but college football is a momentum game. Huskers are -4 right now. I don't see the line moving toward Nebraska any more, so you may want to wait.

                                                        Home field is HUGE in college foots. Home field can make average teams look great and great teams look very average. Michigan St showed they can beat the big boys at home, but can they go to Lincoln and win?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Louisvillekid1
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-17-07
                                                          • 52143

                                                          #29
                                                          Stafford just dropped a would be 96 yard pick 6,
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82839

                                                            #30
                                                            Good call
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Louisvillekid1
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-17-07
                                                              • 52143

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by NYSportsGuy210
                                                              You seriously think this is the best play on the board this week....
                                                              Yupp,


                                                              And thanks pavy,
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Djstucky
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-27-11
                                                                • 2993

                                                                #32
                                                                Louisvillekid had this one pegged from the time it came out. Great call as this was never in doubt. Congrats!!!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • teaserpleaser
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 08-14-08
                                                                  • 26015

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Good call you' re right i was wrong paid for it... Mich st was flat as a pancake
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Djstucky
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-27-11
                                                                    • 2993

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by teaserpleaser
                                                                    Good call you' re right i was wrong paid for it... Mich st was flat as a pancake
                                                                    This is nice to see at sbr for once. A guy that likes a certain side, it doesn't win, and comes back into the thread and congrats the other guy. Well done teaser. Hats off to you sir...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nj1035
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-19-09
                                                                      • 902

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I cashed it, thanks!

                                                                      Comment
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