So many guys made fun of my 1-17 losing streak. They dont understand variance

[ebbearsfb1]

You have to have a big roll to only bet 2%... think about it most guys only have 100 to say 500 rolls... so they should only be betting 2 to 10 bucks a game.. how many people you think do that?

[doublej95]

You have to have a big roll to only bet 2%... think about it most guys only have 100 to say 500 rolls... so they should only be betting 2 to 10 bucks a game.. how many people you think do that?

Hardly any. Why do you think they are always reloading? Just like some poster posting about putting 50 bucks in at bodog. Well he will put it on one or two bets and then repeat the process over again. Most people are just too dumb to figure it out.

[ebbearsfb1]

Its not even that, its just guys aren't very good...I've turned 60 dollars and less into over 1000 dollars multiple times... just have to be smart its not just line movement... or variance...

[WvGambler]

I bet every night. 5 nights a week I bet multiple games.

Haven't reloaded since March. Probably will never reload offshore....become too much a hassle and stress. Money management is everything.

[lakerboy]

Nice work.

For the record, Purdue ML and spread are on their twice

Thanks. I bet it twice when I saw the line moving down.

[No coincidences]

How/why did you lay off Mizzou?

[lakerboy]

Well the problem is no one knows what the heck are you doing. For example you make a thread and post a pick and say you have 5 dimes on a certain team and they lose. Then you come the next day and post another pick without any mentioning of 5 dimes and the pick wins. So no one knows if you are up or down.

I have never posted a 5 dime play. All the amounts are on the sheet.

[No coincidences]

pavy's either not very bright or not very observant.

I can't tell which.

[priskilla22]

My only issue with LB is that he bumps his winning threads and ignores his losing threads.

Also, if he has 5 plays during a day, he'll start 5 threads. Just start one thread LB, and put all of your plays in it.

[lakerboy]

How/why did you lay off Mizzou?

Because greek had +7 at -120 and didn't go to +6.5. Sure sign to stay away. I watch greek and pinny and compare and I truly believe the greek is sharper even though move slower( which is on there own prerogative).

For example greek had chiefs tt at 19.5 while pinny had 17.5. I went to bet it at pinny at 17.5 (over) but as I hit submit line moved to 19.5. They got hit. I took it anyway figuring they would score 20.

[lakerboy]

My only issue with LB is that he bumps his winning threads and ignores his losing threads.

Also, if he has 5 plays during a day, he'll start 5 threads. Just start one thread LB, and put all of your plays in it.

That's not true. I always show up win or lose.I have had many long season threads but guys have complained they can't find plays in all the clutter. That's why I post threads and keep track on the sheet. And in those threads it becomes troll heaven like goldengreeks threads.

[Full Time Hobo]

LB you use Sports Insights?

[priskilla22]

That's not true. I always show up win or lose.I have had many long season threads but guys have complained they can't find plays in all the clutter. That's why I post threads and keep track on the sheet. And in those threads it becomes troll heaven like goldengreeks threads.

Well no one is saying doing all of the plays in one thread for the season, but all of the plays from one day should be possible.

[lakerboy]

LB you use Sports Insights?

No. I try to avoid looking at any sights like that. It makes me overthink. Its usually pretty obvious what side the betting action will be on.

[No coincidences]

Because greek had +7 at -120 and didn't go to +6.5. Sure sign to stay away. I watch greek and pinny and compare and I truly believe the greek is sharper even though move slower( which is on there own prerogative).

For example greek had chiefs tt at 19.5 while pinny had 17.5. I went to bet it at pinny at 17.5 (over) but as I hit submit line moved to 19.5. They got hit. I took it anyway figuring they would score 20.

It never left 7? Are you sure? Most books closed at 6 or even 5.5. The ML dropped like 30-40 cents right before kickoff.

[lakerboy]

It never left 7? Are you sure? Most books closed at 6 or even 5.5. The ML dropped like 30-40 cents right before kickoff.

Yes. It went off the board at +7-120. I wasn't gonna touch that game no matter what. I was already in deep with air force and had my sights on florida state and purdue. Did not wanna get to involved in more.

[No coincidences]

Yes. It went off the board at +7-120. I wasn't gonna touch that game no matter what. I was already in deep with air force and had my sights on florida state and purdue. Did not wanna get to involved in more.

Wish I would've seen that. Damn SBRodds basically hides Greek's lines. I usually just have their website up on my screen so that I can track what's going on there right before kickoff, but didn't for whatever reason Saturday morning.

[edawg]

Hitting 47% with that many bets and still making money is impressive! LB is the closest thing to a pro sports handicapper that I have seen on the forum. Good luck LB have a feeling you are going to make some major cheddar in the back half of NFL season!

[SlickRick1382]

LB you use Sports Insights?

I signed up for it just to check it out.

I agree with LB that it makes you over think. A lot of useful info but at times it becomes too much.

[thetrinity]

hes right no new handicappers and most veteran ones dont understand variance at all. this is all like one giant game over and over played in tiny segments.