What's the weak spots in this parlay?

[eleuropeano]

Parlay (13 teams)
[309] west virginia -570
[318] florida state -900
[321] wake forest -175
[323] arkansas -650
[328] clemson -375
[329] no illinois -560
[332] virginia tech -1200
[333] texas a&m -1200
[363] kansas state -375
[378] toledo -725
[386] stanford -1200
[388] lsu -1100
[389] wisconsin -290

[ultrasouth]

2 many legs

[sapidoc]

I don't think any of the spots in your parlay are particularly "weak". That is, the weakest link you have is still around 60% to win (Wake Forest). The other teams you have gradually have better chances to win their games (just goes up from there).

But here you go:

The top Weak spot is:
[321] wake forest -175

The next weak spot is:
[389] wisconsin -290

3rd and 4th would be:
[363] kansas state -375
[328] clemson -375

I'm not sure how far you want me to go, so I'll just put the rest in order for you:
[329] no illinois -560
[309] west virginia -570
[323] arkansas -650
[378] toledo -725
[318] florida state -900
[388] lsu -1100
[332] virginia tech -1200
[333] texas a&m -1200
[386] stanford -1200


Good Luck on your parlay!

[jjgold]

Of course the lower odds are all weak spots
Yes too many games also
one will lose

[eleuropeano]

Well, yeah, obviously the lower odds are supposed to be the weak spots, but that's why we gamble right - because we think we "know better than the books". For instance I am feeling particularly confident in wake forest. Also for instance Northern Illinois and Ohio are given the same odds, but based on my analysis I think Northern Illinois is much more likely to win than Ohio. So if someone was to show me a parlay with Ohio and Wake Forest in it, I would say Ohio is the weak spot there, regardless of odds.

[Regul8er]

I think WVU at -570 is atrocious!

[TexansFan]

Watch Washington beat Stanford.

[HoulihansTX]

The fact that it is a parlay. Its vernerable period.

[WvGambler]

What's that pay?

[boneheaded1]

by my calculation this is a bet $100 to win $850.46; not bad.

[Ricki Roma]

N illinois, and wake forest could troll it up for you imo

[boneheaded1]

tailed you for $5. My prices were a little worse than yours but not by much. bet $5 to win $38.13

[pavyracer]

Parlay (13 teams)
[309] west virginia -570
[318] florida state -900
[321] wake forest -175
[323] arkansas -650
[328] clemson -375
[329] no illinois -560
[332] virginia tech -1200
[333] texas a&m -1200
[363] kansas state -375
[378] toledo -725
[386] stanford -1200
[388] lsu -1100
[389] wisconsin -290

Maybe take them out and put them on a 3 teamer by themselves if you really like them.

[Ricki Roma]

tailed you for $5. My prices were a little worse than yours but not by much. bet $5 to win $38.13

not bad, but i think it needs to be shortned, too many games to rely on

[eleuropeano]

Thanks all for the feedback. In the SBR book the 500 pointer I was considering putting on it pays something like 3600 points. In "real odds" it should pay 4250. So I will consider shortening it and placing it in a real book.

[seaborneq]

11 too many legs.

[seaborneq]

Wisky and westy Virginia.

[pavyracer]

2 out of the 3 I pointed out lost.

[mh217]

i hate big ml road favs in college..if you are gonna chalk it up anyway find a home fav