fukking love it when we have -6.5, our team is down 6, late and a 30 yarder FG sails 3 feet wide right (by a kicker who is 19/20 on the year)with 2 minutes left in the 4th. that is when shitt in our pad gets bashed in half
Comment
SBR Lou
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-02-07
37863
#3
My strategy is fading JJ all year long.
Comment
compaqDikk
SBR Hall of Famer
10-08-05
5699
#4
Originally posted by CrazyL
My strategy is fading JJ all year long.
he's a spot better. have fun getting in 9 plays hidden 7 minutes deep in a vid based on fixing computer chipps over a 6 month season
my bad man, get my up/downs mixed up. bobby bowdoin does this kinda shiittt
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#5
Originally posted by compaqDikk
fukking love it when we have -6.5, our team is down 6, late and a 30 yarder FG sails 3 feet wide right (by a kicker who is 19/20 on the year)with 2 minutes left in the 4th. that is when shitt in our pad gets bashed in half
who kicks a FG down 6 with two minutes left? If they did decide to how would that effect your -6.5 bet?
Comment
dwaechte
SBR Hall of Famer
08-27-07
5481
#6
Originally posted by rm18
who kicks a FG down 6 with two minutes left? If they did decide to how would that effect your -6.5 bet?
I think he ****ed up the situation, but I think everyone knows what he was getting at.
Comment
compaqDikk
SBR Hall of Famer
10-08-05
5699
#7
Originally posted by dwaechte
I think he ****ed up the situation, but I think everyone knows what he was getting at.
my bad man, i get ups/downs mixed up
bobby bowdoin does this shiiittt
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#8
even if it was +6.5 it still wold be wrong, it just is so far off
Comment
compaqDikk
SBR Hall of Famer
10-08-05
5699
#9
Originally posted by rm18
even if it was +6.5 it still wold be wrong, it just is so far off
so i have fsu -6.5, we're up by 6 over western colorado. my bad newbies
Comment
durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#10
fsu sure has fallen to only be 6.5 pt favorites over western colorado
Comment
Nicky Santoro
SBR Posting Legend
04-08-08
16103
#11
boys, be careful with football.. every bookie will tell you that NFL is by far the most successful for books. it is the hardest to beat for the gambler. .if you think baseball is tough to beat.. these lines in the NFL are sooooo tight.. and so accurate.. they are right on.. NFL is really like flipping coins and laying juice at same time. ouch.. boys, seriously speaking, NFL is fukkin dangerous.. play the best #'s only and don't go crazy.. alot of people lose alot of money during NFL.. it is so tough to beat over the long haul.. These linesmakers know how to make a good acccurate NFL line.. they have a lot of guys working on this day in and day out doing the research and sht..
Comment
durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#12
it's amazing how many gamblers think NFL is the best sport to bet.
while they are pissing away their money on it, i'll be betting south american soccer
Comment
WileOut
SBR MVP
02-04-07
3844
#13
Originally posted by rm18
who kicks a FG down 6 with two minutes left?
See UGA vs SC last year in Athens Thats who does stupid shit like that. Mark Richt. From the SC 10 yard line or so.
Comment
Nicky Santoro
SBR Posting Legend
04-08-08
16103
#14
Originally posted by durito
it's amazing how many gamblers think NFL is the best sport to bet.
while they are pissing away their money on it, i'll be betting south american soccer
durito,
finallllllllllllllllllllllllly we agree to something.. we can never agree on anything you and i, but at least we both are aware that NFL is the toughest sport to beat.. in the 12 yrs i was a bookie, NFL was by far, by far, by far, by far, the most profitable sport. even the big time sharpies were getting destroyed.
boys, that's why book love when NFL comes around.. it's a cash cow for them..
be careful boys..
Comment
SlickFazzer
SBR Posting Legend
05-22-08
20209
#15
You need to shop for the best numbers in football. 1/2 point can be huge in the NFL.
Comment
Nicky Santoro
SBR Posting Legend
04-08-08
16103
#16
Originally posted by SlickFazzer
You need to shop for the best numbers in football. 1/2 point can be huge in the NFL.
not necessarily slicker.. you would get killed if you bet every game at a half pt better.. the only half pt better you'd clean up in is on the 3... you would retire with this.. the rest are losing propositions. but if you are laying -105, then a half pt could be profitable, especially on the 4,7,10..
if you are betting -4.5 instead of -5 and laying -110, you would go broke. if you are over 31.5 instead of ov 32 and laying -110, you'd go broke. but by getting best #, you'd defintely have a decent shot, especially if you are playing at matchy and laying -102 etc,, instead of -110..
Comment
durito
SBR Posting Legend
07-03-06
13173
#17
Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
durito,
finallllllllllllllllllllllllly we agree to something.. we can never agree on anything you and i, but at least we both are aware that NFL is the toughest sport to beat.. in the 12 yrs i was a bookie, NFL was by far, by far, by far, by far, the most profitable sport. even the big time sharpies were getting destroyed.
boys, that's why book love when NFL comes around.. it's a cash cow for them..
be careful boys..
i think we agree on plenty from a general perspective, i just like to point out differences in my opinions
Comment
SlickFazzer
SBR Posting Legend
05-22-08
20209
#18
Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
not necessarily slicker.. you would get killed if you bet every game at a half pt better.. the only half pt better you'd clean up in is on the 3... you would retire with this.. the rest are losing propositions. but if you are laying -105, then a half pt could be profitable, especially on the 4,7,10..
if you are betting -4.5 instead of -5 and laying -110, you would go broke. if you are over 31.5 instead of ov 32 and laying -110, you'd go broke. but by getting best #, you'd defintely have a decent shot, especially if you are playing at matchy and laying -102 etc,, instead of -110..
I hear you Nicky. Good explanation of getting the best number.
Comment
rm18
SBR Posting Legend
09-20-05
22291
#19
combination of line shopping and point buying you can beat the -110 shops. Say the line is a 6 and you get a 6.5, then buy it to +7.5 -130 that is a nice play.
Comment
daggerkobe
SBR Posting Legend
03-25-08
10744
#20
the key to beating the books in football is to fade all of Brandon Lang's top plays. But not his Super Bowl picks he's actually great at those.
Comment
Shark79
SBR Posting Legend
11-19-07
11211
#21
I will learn a lot this yr ...
Comment
Shark79
SBR Posting Legend
11-19-07
11211
#22
Originally posted by durito
it's amazing how many gamblers think NFL is the best sport to bet.
while they are pissing away their money on it, i'll be betting south american soccer
and tennis
Comment
Brock Landers
SBR Aristocracy
06-30-08
45359
#23
i NEVER bet -3 when i could take the ML instead..Also never take +3, always buy it up to 3 1/2. Works for me.