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  • Bbr
    SBR MVP
    • 08-17-10
    • 3900

    #71
    Originally posted by Bbr
    Kvitova -6.5 -120. Kvitova on Indoor hard courts= dominance. By far one of her best surfaces along with grass. If she plays an error-free, clean match here, Mayr-Achleitner should be dispatched comfortably in 2 sets. Its her game to lose. BOL all
    Great finish to an amazing night/day of tennis. 6-2 today with my two losses being being very small wagers.

    Onto bases now....GO Brewers!
    Comment
    • Astros148
      SBR MVP
      • 12-11-10
      • 1417

      #72
      hmm i dont think its impossible to hit 60% long term, i play no big favorites, i play mostly o/u's and spreads for the most part. i think majority of people lose money on tennis simply because they play favorite and ml's, i dont ever play ml's if its greater then -120 simply because the juice. if you stick to o/u's and spreads its not that hard to make money off tennis.
      Comment
      • ApricotSinner32
        Restricted User
        • 11-28-10
        • 10648

        #73
        Over 22.5 shikori/dogopolov +110 here
        Comment
        • Astros148
          SBR MVP
          • 12-11-10
          • 1417

          #74
          Originally posted by BrianLaverty
          Shari... Apparently Astros is a genius. He really is delusional though.... I would bet whatever amount he wants that he won't be + units after 1000 plays. He doesnt realize that its a marathon not a sprint.

          I consider myself a very good tennis capper.... I've positive in the 4 years that I have been betting tennis.... but in May during the French Open, I lost 27 bets in a row. I make thousands of bets a year in all sports and have never came close to a losing streak like that. Tennis is the most humbling sport you can gamble on. As great as you think you are when you go on big runs, you question yourself and curse the sport when you go on worse runs. But we've all seen people like Astros before... the second things will go bad in tennis, we will never hear from him again until he goes on another streak a year from now.
          Originally posted by shari91

          Yeah, I think this is the one sport where you either have to have discipline or you're sunk. And this isn't to pile on Astros. He's a great guy on a good run. It's just that this sport is unforgiving. There is no rhyme or reason when you're dealing with individuals. How many people piled on Nadal in live betting when he was down a set because they could get a better price than pre match? Or Simon? Just like when people pile on "sure favourites" pre match because of rank, H2H ( on different surfaces mind you), etc... I love those people and thank them for their contributions as that makes my dog wins that much more profitable.

          However... there is no guru with tennis betting. Bet on -250 fave and win. Bet the next -350 and lose. GL. Those who are making money on this sport consistently (ie over a year or more) are either spending a hell of a lot of time following every single person playing on the Tour (challengers included) and have excellent discipline/mm, getting lucky with big smashes or are arbing. That's it. The rest of us hope to have a profit at the end of the year.
          why do you assume people are betting money line favorites?! i never said im a amazingn capper, but tennis is very profitable if you pick and choose your sports, playing majority of master and grand slams is good money if you can pick the spots. i usually always post picks during grand slams and i have lost but i never "disappear"
          Comment
          • Bbr
            SBR MVP
            • 08-17-10
            • 3900

            #75
            Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
            Over 22.5 shikori/dogopolov +110 here
            BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo
            Comment
            • Bbr
              SBR MVP
              • 08-17-10
              • 3900

              #76
              [quote=Bbr;11871653] BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo[/q]
              Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
              Comment
              • Astros148
                SBR MVP
                • 12-11-10
                • 1417

                #77
                [quote=Bbr;11871749]
                Originally posted by Bbr
                BOL. No action for me. Tough board imo[/q]
                Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
                how come you're playing lopez? any input?
                Comment
                • Bbr
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-17-10
                  • 3900

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Astros148
                  how come you're playing lopez? any input?
                  Sorry i could not reply before and the match is now over but for what its worth, lopez won the last time they played on an hard surface in straight sets. I saw yesterdays match against berdych as a greater triumph than that of mayer over nadal (nadal lost the game off his own racquet). Lopez was the more in form player and at + odds how can you not play that!

                  Lopez was only at + odds because Mayer bet 'nadal'. PFFT. If mayer bet someone else other than nadal yesterday, lets say for example nishikori, Lopez would be favored, probably something like -120. Hope this shed some light on my pick.
                  Comment
                  • Bbr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-17-10
                    • 3900

                    #79
                    Originally posted by Bbr
                    Changed my mind Lopez +115 is my only play
                    Winner! 7-2 now! Big hit with lopez this morning.
                    Comment
                    • Bbr
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-17-10
                      • 3900

                      #80
                      Lopez again looks good value. Undecided atm. Might make a play later on.
                      Comment
                      • Nats' Fan
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-30-10
                        • 3057

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Bbr
                        Lopez again looks good value. Undecided atm. Might make a play later on.
                        Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
                        Comment
                        • Jrod124
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-31-09
                          • 5622

                          #82
                          if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
                          Comment
                          • Nats' Fan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-30-10
                            • 3057

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Jrod124
                            if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
                            Thx, Jrod.
                            Comment
                            • Bbr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-17-10
                              • 3900

                              #84
                              Lopez +135

                              Lopez is in hot form.

                              Dominates ferrer on hard courts. 6-1 over their past h2h history. Although lopez got smashed the last time they played, it was on clay and ferrer always dominates lopez on clay. Lopez with the surface advantage today.
                              Comment
                              • Bbr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-17-10
                                • 3900

                                #85
                                Originally posted by Jrod124
                                if have access to 5dimes take a look at Andy Murray to win the event at -273, guy is 6-0 vs Lopez and has never lost to Ferrer on a non clay court. I know its chalky but seems solid
                                I locked Murray in when mayer bet nadal. It's murray's title to lose.
                                Comment
                                • Bbr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-17-10
                                  • 3900

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Nats' Fan
                                  Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
                                  Gl on the over if you decide to take it. Last time they played in shanghai lopez won in 3 sets. Looking gd I suppose.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bbr
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-17-10
                                    • 3900

                                    #87
                                    Lopez takes the first set in a tiebreaker!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • Glitch
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-08-09
                                      • 11795

                                      #88
                                      lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
                                      Comment
                                      • MUHerd37
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-23-09
                                        • 12816

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Glitch
                                        lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
                                        Ferrer is up a break, not Lopez.
                                        Comment
                                        • Astros148
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-11-10
                                          • 1417

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Glitch
                                          lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
                                          huh?
                                          Comment
                                          • MUHerd37
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-23-09
                                            • 12816

                                            #91
                                            Ferrer breaks and is serving for the match! 3 double faults in 1 game for Lopez. Crazy.
                                            Comment
                                            • MUHerd37
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-23-09
                                              • 12816

                                              #92
                                              Ferrer wins 6-7 6-3 6-3! 3rd straight match where he has lost the 1st set and won!
                                              Comment
                                              • Bbr
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-17-10
                                                • 3900

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                Ferrer breaks and is serving for the match! 3 double faults in 1 game for Lopez. Crazy.
                                                Unbelievable. Lopez goes down in 3. Ferrer played a magnificent game. Fortunately for me, i didn't pound lopez like I did yesterday...phew!. That should be it for me for this tourney.
                                                Comment
                                                • ApricotSinner32
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-28-10
                                                  • 10648

                                                  #94
                                                  I love ferrer bro. Guy will never lose your money on his effort. 110% always.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Bbr
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-17-10
                                                    • 3900

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by Glitch
                                                    lopez up a break in the second. this is a nice run youre on bbr.
                                                    Thanks glitch but this one loses. Hope to continue my run at the next ATP tourney. I've got one player in the challenger in mind which may play very well at the next tournament...been watching him very closely. Stay tuned
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bbr
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-17-10
                                                      • 3900

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by Nats' Fan
                                                      Undecided on this one myself.. Might make a play on the over. Good luck.
                                                      Hope you played the over!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Astros148
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-11-10
                                                        • 1417

                                                        #97
                                                        time to win some money on EPL!! love soccer. you guys playing anything?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bbr
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-17-10
                                                          • 3900

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Astros148
                                                          time to win some money on EPL!! love soccer. you guys playing anything?
                                                          Let me take a loook lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ApricotSinner32
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-28-10
                                                            • 10648

                                                            #99
                                                            Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Astros148
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-11-10
                                                              • 1417

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                              Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
                                                              he said it was a glitch. chillax
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Bbr
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-17-10
                                                                • 3900

                                                                #101
                                                                Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                                Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
                                                                Originally posted by ApricotSinner32
                                                                Lopez was never up a break in the 2nd set what are you talking about?
                                                                Move on barbie. Games over now.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Bbr
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-17-10
                                                                  • 3900

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Liverpool/Man u DRAW +218 =DD

                                                                  Rooney starting off. Liv get up early, rooney comes on and equalises 1-1 FINAL. Bold predictions but these teams have had tight encounters in the past even when liverpool was struggling, particularly the last few seasons. They bring the goods when they play Man u.

                                                                  Adding: Liv/Man u under 2.5 -120

                                                                  Capping late games later.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Astros148
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-11-10
                                                                    • 1417

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Bbr
                                                                    Liverpool/Man u DRAW +218 =DD

                                                                    Rooney starting off. Liv get up early, rooney comes on and equalises 1-1 FINAL. Bold predictions but these teams have had tight encounters in the past even when liverpool was struggling, particularly the last few seasons. They bring the goods when they play Man u.

                                                                    Adding: Liv/Man u under 2.5 -120

                                                                    Capping late games later.
                                                                    yeah dude i love that man u under way more then the draw. i can see a 1-0 game.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TennisProFrance
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 10-09-11
                                                                      • 395

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                                      Ferrer wins 6-7 6-3 6-3! 3rd straight match where he has lost the 1st set and won!
                                                                      Don't think he will be able to do that in the final! He was outclassed and destroyed last week by Murray, hope he puts up a better show this time (which he could do as Murray doesnt seem so up for it).
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bbr
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-17-10
                                                                        • 3900

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by Astros148
                                                                        yeah dude i love that man u under way more then the draw. i can see a 1-0 game.
                                                                        yeh the under is the safer play, hence I added it lol. Only got 100 on the under and 50 on the draw. Kick off soon....Enjoy the game.
                                                                        Comment
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