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This is insane: Braves -1.5 is +362 at pinny!

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  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82712

    #36
    Don't forget that Eaton is pitching for Phillies now. Still 4 more innings.
    Comment
    • txsholdempro
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-05-08
      • 131

      #37
      hahaha all the peoplewho trashed the phils and thought it wasover never countmy phils out i didnt bet the game but enjoyed that inning like i did bet it come on phils
      Comment
      • ManOfValue
        SBR MVP
        • 02-29-08
        • 1437

        #38
        LOL , now what ?
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82712

          #39
          Originally posted by txsholdempro
          hahaha all the peoplewho trashed the phils and thought it wasover never countmy phils out i didnt bet the game but enjoyed that inning like i did bet it come on phils
          You are wrong. Noone trashed the Phillies. Everyone though trashed the Braves and Mike Hampton before the game started.
          Comment
          • madmaxx
            SBR MVP
            • 03-14-07
            • 3289

            #40
            Originally posted by pavyracer
            You are wrong. Noone trashed the Phillies. Everyone though trashed the Braves and Mike Hampton before the game started.
            not me i was on them first 5 (what a joke) and game
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82712

              #41
              Originally posted by madmaxx
              not me i was on them first 5 (what a joke) and game
              Sorry about your loss. The game is too early to call.
              Comment
              • Checkerboard
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-15-06
                • 7799

                #42
                Final Score Prediction

                Falcons 21, Eagles 20

                Comment
                • madmaxx
                  SBR MVP
                  • 03-14-07
                  • 3289

                  #43
                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                  Sorry about your loss. The game is too early to call.
                  greg dobbs (who?) hits a pinch hit homer to do it, not sure if that can be any worse
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82712

                    #44
                    Originally posted by madmaxx
                    greg dobbs (who?) hits a pinch hit homer to do it, not sure if that can be any worse
                    It was a stupid move by Bobby Cox. Coaches always try to bring their best pitchers in 7th 8th or 9th inning. If he brought Will Ohman earlier in the game at 5th they wouldn't have scored that many runs. Baseball managing is a joke. In soccer, when a manager sees a problem with the team he quickly brings in a sub to control the game. Same thing in basketball.
                    Comment
                    • rsigley
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-23-08
                      • 304

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Cloak & Dagger
                      There was ONLY ONE OTHER GAME THIS YEAR WITH THIS MUCH JUICE

                      Danny Haren earlier in the year -250

                      and they lost to SD that night....4th of July

                      that makes it 2 for 2 LOSERS this year when a team is favored over -220
                      this is all from pinny closing lines. quite a lot more than just 2

                      4/2/2008,Philadelphia Phillies,Cole Hamels,0,Washington Nationals,Tim Redding,1,-225
                      4/5/2008,New York Yankees,Andy Pettitte,3,Tampa Bay Rays,Edwin Jackson,6,-223
                      4/6/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,Ben Sheets,7,San Francisco Giants,Barry Zito,0,-245
                      4/22/2008,Arizona Diamondbacks,Brandon Webb,5,San Francisco Giants,Barry Zito,4,-261
                      4/22/2008,Atlanta Braves,John Smoltz,0,Washington Nationals,John Lannan,6,-221
                      4/29/2008,New York Mets,Johan Santana,5,Pittsburgh Pirates,Ian Snell,4,-222
                      5/3/2008,Cleveland Indians,CC Sabathia,2,Kansas City Royals,Luke Hochevar,4,-230
                      5/10/2008,New York Mets,Johan Santana,12,Cincinnati Reds,Matt Belisle,6,-260
                      5/17/2008,Chicago Cubs,Carlos Zambrano,6,Pittsburgh Pirates,Zach Duke,7,-236
                      5/17/2008,Boston Red Sox,Daisuke Matsuzaka,5,Milwaukee Brewers,Jeff Suppan,3,-223
                      5/18/2008,Boston Red Sox,Josh Beckett,11,Milwaukee Brewers,Carlos Villanueva,7,-225
                      5/25/2008,New York Yankees,Chien-Ming Wang,6,Seattle Mariners,Jarrod Washburn,5,-230
                      5/31/2008,Chicago Cubs,Ryan Dempster,5,Colorado Rockies,Glendon Rusch,4,-240
                      5/31/2008,Arizona Diamondbacks,Brandon Webb,4,Washington Nationals,Jason Bergmann,0,-232
                      5/31/2008,Philadelphia Phillies,Cole Hamels,3,Florida Marlins,Ricky Nolasco,7,-228
                      6/6/2008,New York Yankees,Darrell Rasner,1,Kansas City Royals,Kyle Davies,2,-239
                      6/9/2008,New York Yankees,Mike Mussina,2,Kansas City Royals,Luke Hochevar,3,-224
                      6/21/2008,Boston Red Sox,Daisuke Matsuzaka,3,St. Louis Cardinals,Mitchell Boggs,9,-250
                      6/22/2008,Tampa Bay Rays,Scott Kazmir,2,Houston Astros,Brandon Backe,3,-225
                      7/1/2008,New York Yankees,Joba Chamberlain,2,Texas Rangers,Kevin Millwood,3,-225
                      7/8/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,CC Sabathia,7,Colorado Rockies,Mark Redman,3,-225
                      7/9/2008,Boston Red Sox,Josh Beckett,18,Minnesota Twins,Livan Hernandez,5,-241
                      7/9/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,Ben Sheets,3,Colorado Rockies,Glendon Rusch,8,-226
                      7/11/2008,Boston Red Sox,Clay Buchholz,3,Baltimore Orioles,Brian Burres,7,-230
                      7/12/2008,Chicago Cubs,Rich Harden,8,San Francisco Giants,Kevin Correia,7,-265
                      7/13/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,CC Sabathia,3,Cincinnati Reds,Homer Bailey,2,-235
                      Comment
                      • ryanXL977
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-24-08
                        • 20615

                        #46
                        this game is not close to over
                        its a one run game
                        to me, thats tied
                        Comment
                        • Checkerboard
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-15-06
                          • 7799

                          #47
                          Originally posted by rsigley
                          this is all from pinny closing lines. quite a lot more than just 2

                          4/2/2008,Philadelphia Phillies,Cole Hamels,0,Washington Nationals,Tim Redding,1,-225
                          4/5/2008,New York Yankees,Andy Pettitte,3,Tampa Bay Rays,Edwin Jackson,6,-223
                          4/6/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,Ben Sheets,7,San Francisco Giants,Barry Zito,0,-245
                          4/22/2008,Arizona Diamondbacks,Brandon Webb,5,San Francisco Giants,Barry Zito,4,-261
                          4/22/2008,Atlanta Braves,John Smoltz,0,Washington Nationals,John Lannan,6,-221
                          4/29/2008,New York Mets,Johan Santana,5,Pittsburgh Pirates,Ian Snell,4,-222
                          5/3/2008,Cleveland Indians,CC Sabathia,2,Kansas City Royals,Luke Hochevar,4,-230
                          5/10/2008,New York Mets,Johan Santana,12,Cincinnati Reds,Matt Belisle,6,-260
                          5/17/2008,Chicago Cubs,Carlos Zambrano,6,Pittsburgh Pirates,Zach Duke,7,-236
                          5/17/2008,Boston Red Sox,Daisuke Matsuzaka,5,Milwaukee Brewers,Jeff Suppan,3,-223
                          5/18/2008,Boston Red Sox,Josh Beckett,11,Milwaukee Brewers,Carlos Villanueva,7,-225
                          5/25/2008,New York Yankees,Chien-Ming Wang,6,Seattle Mariners,Jarrod Washburn,5,-230
                          5/31/2008,Chicago Cubs,Ryan Dempster,5,Colorado Rockies,Glendon Rusch,4,-240
                          5/31/2008,Arizona Diamondbacks,Brandon Webb,4,Washington Nationals,Jason Bergmann,0,-232
                          5/31/2008,Philadelphia Phillies,Cole Hamels,3,Florida Marlins,Ricky Nolasco,7,-228
                          6/6/2008,New York Yankees,Darrell Rasner,1,Kansas City Royals,Kyle Davies,2,-239
                          6/9/2008,New York Yankees,Mike Mussina,2,Kansas City Royals,Luke Hochevar,3,-224
                          6/21/2008,Boston Red Sox,Daisuke Matsuzaka,3,St. Louis Cardinals,Mitchell Boggs,9,-250
                          6/22/2008,Tampa Bay Rays,Scott Kazmir,2,Houston Astros,Brandon Backe,3,-225
                          7/1/2008,New York Yankees,Joba Chamberlain,2,Texas Rangers,Kevin Millwood,3,-225
                          7/8/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,CC Sabathia,7,Colorado Rockies,Mark Redman,3,-225
                          7/9/2008,Boston Red Sox,Josh Beckett,18,Minnesota Twins,Livan Hernandez,5,-241
                          7/9/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,Ben Sheets,3,Colorado Rockies,Glendon Rusch,8,-226
                          7/11/2008,Boston Red Sox,Clay Buchholz,3,Baltimore Orioles,Brian Burres,7,-230
                          7/12/2008,Chicago Cubs,Rich Harden,8,San Francisco Giants,Kevin Correia,7,-265
                          7/13/2008,Milwaukee Brewers,CC Sabathia,3,Cincinnati Reds,Homer Bailey,2,-235

                          Thanks for this post rsigley.

                          If possible, can you please indicate where one can can get the old closing Pinny lines from? Thanks!
                          Comment
                          • pokernut9999
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-25-07
                            • 12757

                            #48
                            Originally posted by madmaxx
                            greg dobbs (who?) hits a pinch hit homer to do it, not sure if that can be any worse
                            He is now 20-46 as a pinch hitter this year , does not get much better than that.
                            Comment
                            • ryanXL977
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-24-08
                              • 20615

                              #49
                              Originally posted by pokernut9999
                              He is now 20-46 as a pinch hitter this year , does not get much better than that.
                              thats unreal
                              Comment
                              • ryanXL977
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-24-08
                                • 20615

                                #50
                                Originally posted by pavyracer
                                Don't forget that Eaton is pitching for Phillies now. Still 4 more innings.
                                didnt dobbs pinch hit for eaton?
                                Comment
                                • pavyracer
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-12-07
                                  • 82712

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                  didnt dobbs pinch hit for eaton?
                                  You are correct. That was a wise move by Phillies manager. Not only did he got the 3 run HR but he also took out Eaton which the Braves would have pounded in the next inning.
                                  Comment
                                  • Ganchrow
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-28-05
                                    • 5011

                                    #52
                                    I'm sorry I missed this thread when it first came out, but FWIW I had put closing fair value on the ATL-1½ alternate run line at about +376.

                                    Better late than never? I don't know ... maybe not.
                                    Comment
                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-19-07
                                      • 31802

                                      #53
                                      the books get it all in this one .
                                      Comment
                                      • Bread
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-16-08
                                        • 23726

                                        #54
                                        This game has completely ruined my weekend. Done.

                                        I love losing games where I have 9 run innings. Fkng joy!
                                        Comment
                                        • rsigley
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-23-08
                                          • 304

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Checkerboard
                                          Thanks for this post rsigley.

                                          If possible, can you please indicate where one can can get the old closing Pinny lines from? Thanks!
                                          i think covers has them, but i get them myself
                                          Comment
                                          • pavyracer
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-12-07
                                            • 82712

                                            #56
                                            It appears the Phillies ML was not a very popular bet. Next home game for the Braves I'll be heckling Cox and probably get thrown out for the game. His best lefty and righty bullpen studs, Ohman and Soriano were not used when he had the big lead? He is clueless.

                                            Sorry guys if you lost any money. I thought only a few people followed.
                                            Comment
                                            • AgainstAllOdds
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-24-08
                                              • 6053

                                              #57
                                              Hey pavy how do you like the new sig??!??!



                                              Im all over it!

                                              Originally posted by SBR_John
                                              AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82712

                                                #58
                                                I love the signature. It shows that I can compose a paragraph with my thoughts whereas you will always be immortally remembered for the "I went hugh" phrase of the century.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheLock
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-06-08
                                                  • 14427

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Cloak & Dagger
                                                  There was ONLY ONE OTHER GAME THIS YEAR WITH THIS MUCH JUICE

                                                  Danny Haren earlier in the year -250

                                                  and they lost to SD that night....4th of July

                                                  that makes it 2 for 2 LOSERS this year when a team is favored over -220



                                                  Exhibit A that baseball games are over when the last out is recorded.


                                                  FWIW, I was very sad to see Philly come back.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • WileOut
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-04-07
                                                    • 3844

                                                    #60
                                                    Pavy I agree with you. Managers in baseball are a joke. They need to use their best pitchers available WHEN THEY ARE NEEDED MOST. If I was the Yankees manager and was up 5-3 on the Red Sox in the 7th inning and the red sox lead off with a single on my pitcher, I bring in Mariano Rivera and stop the immediate threat. Because if Boston scores 5 in this inning you wont even get to use him. Who knows what is going to happen later in the game, use your best pitchers when you need them most!

                                                    I have always thought that baseball managers should use their closers in more situations than just winning by 3 runs or less in the 9th inning. If you have a great closer, give him a lot of innings. Bring him in in the 7th and make him finish the game. Hell I would bring the closer in in the 3rd inning if it was warranted.

                                                    This was a must win for the Braves. I cannot believe Bobby Cox failed this bad. This game will be looked upon as the game that did us in for the year. But I cant say that any other manager would have played it any differently. Baseball managers very rarely play to win.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • AgainstAllOdds
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-24-08
                                                      • 6053

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                      I love the signature. It shows that I can compose a paragraph with my thoughts whereas you will always be immortally remembered for the "I went hugh" phrase of the century.

                                                      Pavy...how did your "sharps dream" work out? Did the sheep come to daddy?.


                                                      Im all over it!
                                                      Originally posted by SBR_John
                                                      AAO = good dude. Buying you a drink in Vegas buddy.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ryanXL977
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-24-08
                                                        • 20615

                                                        #62
                                                        if you bring in your closer in the 6th, who closes the game?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • WileOut
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-04-07
                                                          • 3844

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                          if you bring in your closer in the 6th, who closes the game?
                                                          The closer. Or whoever. A closer could easily pitch the last 3 innings.

                                                          My theory is to bring in your best relief pitchers when they are needed most thus getting the most value out of them. My theory is to stop the immediate threat to your lead. Dont worry about the 9th inning because you dont know what is going to happen between now and then. If the other team scores 7 runs between the 7th and 9th innings, what good does the closer do? Nothing, he never gets off the bench.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pavyracer
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-12-07
                                                            • 82712

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by ryanXL977
                                                            if you bring in your closer in the 6th, who closes the game?
                                                            He had Ohman and Soriano available which he used in 6th to 8th innings but didn't use them on the 5th when his team was in trouble. He still had Gonzalez to close the game which was never used because he never got the lead back. Poor managing period!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheLock
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-06-08
                                                              • 14427

                                                              #65
                                                              WileOut......Who pitches the 9th inning then?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ryanXL977
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 02-24-08
                                                                • 20615

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by WileOut
                                                                The closer. Or whoever. A closer could easily pitch the last 3 innings.

                                                                My theory is to bring in your best relief pitchers when they are needed most thus getting the most value out of them. My theory is to stop the immediate threat to your lead. Dont worry about the 9th inning because you dont know what is going to happen between now and then. If the other team scores 7 runs between the 7th and 9th innings, what good does the closer do? Nothing, he never gets off the bench.
                                                                which closer can pitch 3 innings? and more importantly, who will pitch the next day

                                                                there is maybe one to two closers active who have ever thrown 3 innings in the majors. its not easy dude, they are usually max effort guys and you cant throw 3 innings. thats possibly the worst idea ever
                                                                Comment
                                                                • WileOut
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-04-07
                                                                  • 3844

                                                                  #67
                                                                  How many starters get up on the mound and throw 95 consistently and last past 3 innings? Plenty. A closer is a max effort guy but if he is a great pitcher he could back off a little and go 3 innings. 3 innings is nothing. And you dont worry about tommorrow, you get the win today. Worry about tommorrow after you win today.

                                                                  Plus it doesnt have to be the closer, that was just an example. Use your other good relief pitchers when they are needed instead of leaving in scrubs with the other team coming back. Using my theory, Atlanta would have won today instead of losing. But its a bad idea right? What about tommorrows game right? That is a stupid train of thought, lose today in order to try to win tommorrow. Relief pitchers dont have glass arms, they should be used much more than they are.

                                                                  "Situational pitchers" is the worst idea baseball has ever come out with. You should use your best relievers when they are needed most, whether it be at the end of the game or in the 4th inning.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bigugly
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-04-08
                                                                    • 1329

                                                                    #68
                                                                    I loved this game!!! Needed a nice break!
                                                                    Comment
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