What will the Nadal/Murray line be?

trytrytry · 07-25-08, 11:33 PM

-650

SBR Lou · 07-25-08, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by trytrytry

-650

Sounds like a pretty good guessguessguess....

SBR Lou · 07-26-08, 12:13 AM

Pinny opens -450

Santo · 07-26-08, 12:35 AM

Murray lines always inflated because of the UK influence on the market via Betfair.

woodg8 · 07-26-08, 04:22 AM

Well, the way he played against Djokovic, would you really bet against him?

I'm avoiding this match at the start of play, do some in-play betting instead

DoctorX79 · 07-26-08, 10:04 AM

Take Murray +415

jjgold · 07-26-08, 10:08 AM

What time is this on?

Stumpage · 07-26-08, 10:12 AM

7:00 E.s.t jj.....

SBR Lou · 07-26-08, 10:15 AM

I made my breakdown here.

Stumpage · 07-26-08, 10:19 AM

Incidentally, it's another rainy day here in Toronto with one thunderstorm already passing through, so hopefully they get the match in. 40% POP for tonight.....

jjgold · 07-26-08, 12:29 PM

It seems like a good spot for Murray here, no way laying the wood wit Nadal on hardcourts..

HeeeHAWWWW · 07-26-08, 12:58 PM

Really tasty prices at betmate/betdaq, you can get +450 after commission.

SBR Lou · 07-26-08, 01:09 PM

Originally posted by HeeeHAWWWW

Really tasty prices at betmate/betdaq, you can get +450 after commission.

Good luck in that case.

HeeeHAWWWW · 07-26-08, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by crazyl

Good luck in that case.

I skipped - pinnacle/5dimes prices are suggesting Murray win at around 18%, so no value. Those two are pretty rarely wrong on tennis prices (they can't afford to be at 101/102% or so!).

More importantly, the value on a Murray win imo is in straight sets. He's not going to win from a set down, and very unlikely if he goes a set ahead and Nadal pegs him back (Nadal is a steamroller once he starts winning). Eurobet was +1100 on Murray to win 2-0, which is huge value imo if straight sets comprises most of that 18% above.

That's my thinking anyway :-)