I say there is value in Kennedy ('Zona) at +140

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 65641

    #1
    I say there is value in Kennedy ('Zona) at +140
    I know I've been touting the Brewers and Phillies in the NLCS for two months now, I can change my mind.

    I think getting 40 cents plus my dollar is generous for a pitcher (Kennedy) who's been solid as a rock all year.

    Plus the Brews only hit .244 off of him, Braun is 5 for 10, but 3 singles, no taters, 2 doubles, but no RBI's, no walks, which screams Kennedy will pitch to him with the bases open.

    Prince has two homers, but Weeks can't hit him, Kennedy makes Hart look silly, amd McGehee is 0 for 9.

    I know Gallardo when on can be tough, and the Snakes don't hit him well either, but Kennedy at +140 is too enticing for me to pass up.

    If it goes south, it goes south, but I feel the better bet is the dog at +140 then the fave at -150.

    Good luck all, play ball.
  • toddorts
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-30-11
    • 882

    #2
    Yeah, I see value at +140, but it's not a whole lot. I capped my own line at +131. I found a lot better value in the Milwaukee RL, though, so I went with that. My calculated line for the -1.5 RL on the Brewers was +119, and I found a +150 at one of the books, with most offering +145. I found that to be the better value, but either is a profitable play over time in my mind.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
      Comment
      • BGS 9.5
        SBR MVP
        • 01-10-08
        • 4628

        #4
        Already on it at +144, gl Nash
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65641

          #5
          Originally posted by lakerboy
          agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
          Yes, I'm on both bow-wows today for a buck.

          1 out 2 turns a profit, I don't see both chalks hitting.

          BoL
          Comment
          • laclippers504
            SBR MVP
            • 08-21-06
            • 4553

            #6
            Only value if they win. I parlayed the two dogs today....good luck
            Comment
            • Regul8er
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-06-07
              • 10666

              #7
              Goodluck Steve Nash! Why don't you just request a trade to Toronto to finish your career? Toronto would welcome you with open arms!
              Comment
              • priskilla22
                Restricted User
                • 09-22-11
                • 2289

                #8
                Originally posted by lakerboy
                agree but it will be tough. taking both dogs today should be profitable.
                Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.

                Much much much better chance that both dogs lose than both dogs win, so the most likely scenario is still losing a lot. The second most likely scenario is being slightly in the green.
                Comment
                • CollegePro
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-23-09
                  • 4006

                  #9
                  good pick... been saying this since last night.. love dbacks today. GL!!
                  Comment
                  • BernardMadoff
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-12-09
                    • 6679

                    #10
                    Originally posted by priskilla22
                    Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.

                    Much much much better chance that both dogs lose than both dogs win, so the most likely scenario is still losing a lot. The second most likely scenario is being slightly in the green.
                    Nothing dumb about taking both dogs, I wouldn't parlay them, but hitting one will turn a profit...is tis you Brahmabull?
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 65641

                      #11
                      Originally posted by priskilla22
                      Taking both dogs is pretty dumb if that is the way you are looking at it.
                      Both favorites are over priced, both dogs have a very real chance of winning.
                      I don't need a gambling lesson from you, run along please.
                      Comment
                      • nomar122977
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 03-25-11
                        • 9496

                        #12
                        i took d backs +1.5 and philly - 1.5
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94379

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                          Nothing dumb about taking both dogs, I wouldn't parlay them, but hitting one will turn a profit...is tis you Brahmabull?

                          no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
                          Comment
                          • lakerboy
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 04-02-09
                            • 94379

                            #14
                            Originally posted by stevenash
                            Both favorites are over priced, both dogs have a very real chance of winning.
                            I don't need a gambling lesson from you, run along please.
                            Comment
                            • DrStale
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-07-08
                              • 9692

                              #15
                              Casey McGehee not playin (because he sucks)

                              GO CREW
                              Originally posted by Dark Horse
                              If with religion you mean belief system, your belief system is your religion. Again, it matters not what it is. You believe in it, you are loyal to it, would defend it, and yet have no proof of it, other than that, at one point or another, you chose to believe in it. Self-hypnosis. What if there were a snapping of fingers that broke the hypnosis?
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 65641

                                #16
                                Originally posted by DrStale
                                Casey McGehee not playin (because he sucks)
                                0 for 9 lifetime versus Kennedy.
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 65641

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                  no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
                                  Loser.
                                  Comment
                                  • Regul8er
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-06-07
                                    • 10666

                                    #18
                                    Jery Hairston has taken over 3rd base duties for a while now.
                                    Comment
                                    • priskilla22
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-22-11
                                      • 2289

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by stevenash
                                      Loser.
                                      Not sure why you'd be listening to the 2nd biggest loser on this forum (Lakerboy)

                                      Dude hits at a 44% clip and posts like he is a genius.
                                      Comment
                                      • priskilla22
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-22-11
                                        • 2289

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                        no its kerrywoodswins20. chicago area guy. been around here two weeks.
                                        Not true.

                                        But you are 1-29 your last 30 picks, it'd make sense you'd be off base on other things too.
                                        Comment
                                        Search
                                        Collapse
                                        SBR Contests
                                        Collapse
                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                        Collapse
                                        Working...