By the way Eags I will lose some chalk not a big deal. It wins in the long run!!
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Chicago White Sox +1.5 -180Comment -
Caroline Wozniacki -450 over SpremComment -
Seattle +1.5 -200Comment -
Eags and Pat - Please disregard all of my Rogers' Tennis plays (other than Marat Safin from yesterday because it started) if they don't play today. ThanksComment -
Holy crap some of the matches are finally under wayComment -
Atl +1.5 -240Comment -
Chicago Cubs +1.5 -235 One more possible play later.Comment -
Last play of the day... Wash +1.5 -210.Comment -
Food for thought Pat and Eags....especially Eags.....wouldn't it be easier to create a post in the forum everyday and labeling it Weds, Thurs etc and mentioning 2 week challenge and then having the accumulated results as the first post of that day and then followed by our plays for that day. I think it would easier for Eags to grade and people could follow it easier instead having this huge 5 page forum post. Food for thought it's up to you two.Comment -
Wouldn't taking cubs +1.5 be a no play considering we said no using the same play and I have cubs moneyline as my only play for the today which was posted last night?Comment -
I might not grade anymore. considering willybee took away my PM'S for discussing head to head contests.. and terms.. I don't feel like getting my account suspended too.. sorry fellasComment -
Mikey you're cubs play is a no play. It's correlated with my pick
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Pat I took a different play Cubs +1.5, I don't remember saying anything about not being able to take the same plays. I am taking the plays that I personally like and not trying to play some stupid strategy to go against you. This is not a race to see who can get their plays in the quickest. Personally I would NEVER post plays this early...way too many things can happen in the meantime. If you win you win. Pat if you want me to grade I have no problem it is up to you. Thanks for the help up to this point Eags. Pat what are your thoughts?? I will create a new post daily so it is easier to followComment -
Pat as I explained above they are completely two different plays and we can take the same plays if we want. I told you I am just picking the plays that I like whether they are the same or different then mine or yours it makes no difference.Comment -
Fine have it your way.Comment -
mikeyv.. its somewhat of an unwritten rule. You must be somewhat new to 'handicapping contest' whats the point of making the same picks... once someone has a lead. you can pick the same games (or close to it) and automatically win.. the cubs game was off the board.. but hey, im just an onlooking third partyComment -
I Think it needs to be a no play. I understand say if I took twins +1.5 and you had yanks ml fine, but its the same team. No play pal.Comment -
you guys should consider picking picking Canada -735 vs china in the olympic baseball games it seems like a "Real Challenge" .Comment -
Eages I understand what you are saying - I am not going to try to win some contest by having to go to that level. If I lose I will lose fair and square, if people have to result to that level to win then they better take a look at their handicapping skills. Pat I PROMISE I will not result to this to try and win!!! I will still pick all my plays like I did today and risk losing then pussy footing around. If I wiln I want to win by my skills not some cheating way. Also just for the record that play is completely different from Pats. It's +1.5, so if Cubs lose by one I win he loses. Thanks for the heads up Eags and yes I am new and I know a number of people would resort to thisComment -
btj sports betting is not about challenging yourself, it's about making money.Comment -
Mikey forget it then I rather not do a challenge vs somebody who is gonna bet the same play as me.Comment -
i understand but all these chalk plays will eventually kill you in the end im telling you .............. and if your actually betting these ridiculous plays your not making much money in the process unless you got a 100 k bankroll !Comment -
You are absolutely right Pat!! and that is what we aree doing. People that don't like my style or crack jokes that is their problem. I am making money with my style and that is all that counts!!!!Comment -
btj you're wrong in your analysis.
I'm not saying mikey's plays are good or bad, but if say a play is -300 but you calculate correctly that it's going to hit more than 75% of the time than it is a plus expectation bet. Thats the key to winning long term. Plus expectation bets.You can have people that only bet dogs, but don't bet ones with value. Just because you get plus money on your bet does not mean its a good bet.
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your math is fuzzy lets say you have four bets on a -300 fav and you loose one out of four and lets say these bets are 100 a piece that makes you 3-1 0.00 units now you keep hitting your mad favs at a 75 % clip and you will get no where nuff said ............ and thats if you consistantly hit them at 75 % you can break even GLComment -
Thanks for your analysi Paat. A good bet to me is following my system and making money. Call it a good bet or a stupid bet. I am defintely making money, if you read my earlier posts you would have an idea about that. The way I found this site is I was looking for a new book and stumbled on here. I have had 2 books basically squash my limits down to what I considder 0 because the poor babies were finally getting a dose of their own medicine. Boy they never lowered the limits when I was getting squashed in the past!!Comment -
You are right Beat! Play those big odds wisely or you will get crushedComment -
say a play is -300 but you calculate correctly that it's going to hit more than 75% of the time
3/4 is 75% I SAID MORE. BTJ PLEASE LEARN HOW TO READ/COMPREHEND BASIC TERMINOLOGY.Comment -
if you think your gonna hit those -300 favs more than 75% of the time long term or for the rest of your life than your a fluke ! what you need to do is hit -110 55% and you will do just fine but thats just not good enough for you is it you youngsta .......... what the fuk you know ? you been in the game for less than a year , im trying to give you some experienced advice and you gonna slap my face ? alright then **** you patty eat ah dick !
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