Understanding Line Movements

[InTheHole]

How do you decipher public vs. Wise Guy movements? Does such a thing exist?

[pavyracer]

Ask jj. He knows everything and is always in debt because of gambling.

[SlickFazzer]

How do you decipher public vs. Wise Guy movements? Does such a thing exist?

For football early movements are often thought of as "sharp money".

Most public money doesn't come until right before game time.

[LT Profits]

The most obvious wise guy movement is when the line moves in opposite direction of the higher percentage of bets. For example, if 65% of the public is on Yankees -150, and the line moves to -140, you know it wasn't the public driving the line.

[InTheHole]

The most obvious wise guy movement is when the line moves in opposite direction of the higher percentage of bets. For example, if 65% of the public is on Yankees -150, and the line moves to -140, you know it wasn't the public driving the line.

Thanks...I get my innfo from statfox...what do you use to ascertaain where the money is? Sportbook.com has the info for bettors using their service but Ikm sure their clientille is not a representative smple.

[SexyMit]

I use bettracker religously

[SexyMit]

http://twominutewarning.com/bettracker.htm

[hackattack]

Wise guy movement is early usually when a wrong line is posted.
Public money is usually late on a favorite.

It's not always the case but more times than not that's the way it is IMO.

[LT Profits]

There were several links listed in the "Public Money" thread. Do a search on that thread title.

Here is one:

http://twominutewarning.com/bettracker.htm

[LT Profits]

MAN I was slow...LOL

[SexyMit]

You mean i beat LT to the punch. That is a 1st, with him always on his toes it is hard. Mark this day in history. lol

[InTheHole]

Great Responses....thanks folks for your help!

[ManOfValue]

InTheHole a good indicator might be something as simple as comparing a gradual line move; (lets say LAA -115 , -116 , -118) to a big jump like laa -115 to -122 or something..

[InTheHole]

InTheHole a good indicator might be something as simple as comparing a gradual line move; (lets say LAA -115 , -116 , -118) to a big jump like laa -115 to -122 or something..

Would you look to a particular book for that change? For example, Pinnacle or Bookmaker which would be more likely to service an experienced and sharp player?

[SexyMit]

I make alot of plays off of line movements. That is how I make money. I don't cap games I just use line movements. So good luck with figureing them out. Use the fade the public rule alot when there is ALOT of money on one team.