could someone give me a percent on this

[ebbearsfb1]

when a team scores to take the lead or tie the game,
how often the next half inning the pitcher gives up runs

i'll give some examples


washington scored 2 top of 2nd

bottom 2nd they gave up 2



indians scored 2 to take the lead bottom 6
gave up 3 to lose the lead top 7

tigers scored top 1st
gave up 2 bottom first



could someone tell me how often this happens?

cause it seems like it happens in every game i bet on

[BigDofBA]

It does seem like it happens a lot especially when the team I bet on trails most of the game and takes the lead it seems like they always turn around and give it back.

[Rich Boy]

odds will the same to score x runs, regardless of how many runs were scored in the prior inning. Its completely independent

0 runs ~72%
At least 1 run ~27%
At least 2 runs ~14.4%
At least 3 runs ~6.4%

Based on historical MLB averages (past 3 years)

[ebbearsfb1]

interesting good stat...

i bet if you the bear factor in... it changes from 27 to 72%

tigers better not give one up here