John Daly Prop Cracking Me Up...

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  • ManOfValue
    SBR MVP
    • 02-29-08
    • 1437

    #1
    John Daly Prop Cracking Me Up...
    This is funny , looking at different golfers to make the cut. Yes (-) , yes (-) mostly yes favourite , then I get to John Daly...LOL
    What do you think the line should be ?
  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #2
    Not sure how is health is but I would guess he would be minus money to at least make the cut. I dont know a wild guess would be -350?
    Comment
    • ManOfValue
      SBR MVP
      • 02-29-08
      • 1437

      #3
      Originally posted by SBR_John
      Not sure how is health is but I would guess he would be minus money to at least make the cut. I dont know a wild guess would be -350?
      You're saying YES -350 ?
      Comment
      • ManOfValue
        SBR MVP
        • 02-29-08
        • 1437

        #4
        yes +250
        no -300
        Comment
        • durito
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-03-06
          • 13173

          #5
          Originally posted by SBR_John
          Not sure how is health is but I would guess he would be minus money to at least make the cut. I dont know a wild guess would be -350?
          can I have no for +350?

          he's 3 for 12 making the cut in weak field pga events this season
          Comment
          • durito
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-03-06
            • 13173

            #6
            Originally posted by ManOfValue
            yes +250
            no -300
            that sounds more reasonable.

            fwiw, betfair has +182 to make the cut -- slightly better than david duval at +205

            both these guys, of course, are only in the field because they are past open winners
            Comment
            • englishmike
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-19-08
              • 5279

              #7
              The Golf Channel have just said the wind will probably be howling, it's going to be cold and the winning score could well be over-par. Just going on his 'form' this year he'll struggle to make the cut but when you factor in his recent play AND the conditions, I'd say he's a lock to miss it.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                he can overpower the golf course
                I would say he makes the cut
                Comment
                • englishmike
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 06-19-08
                  • 5279

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold
                  he can overpower the golf course
                  I would say he makes the cut
                  Interesting. When was the last time John Daly 'overpowered' a golf course?
                  Comment
                  • Iwinyourmoney
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-18-07
                    • 18368

                    #10
                    Originally posted by englishmike
                    Interesting. When was the last time John Daly 'overpowered' a golf course?
                    when he was sober........ So the answer is never
                    Comment
                    • Willie Bee
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-14-06
                      • 15726

                      #11
                      Originally posted by englishmike
                      Interesting. When was the last time John Daly 'overpowered' a golf course?
                      What's amazing about the guy EM is he played in just 24 events last year, made the cut in just nine of them and still brought home almost a quarter million dollars. About a third of that dough came in the Merrill Lynch Shootout last December.

                      I like the guy for some strange reason, but it'd be a minor miracle -- Threw that in there for the God posters -- for him to be playing come this Saturday.
                      Comment
                      • BrentCrude
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-16-05
                        • 4665

                        #12
                        Just think what his expenses are getting to tournaments.I wonder what kind of deductions he can get out of that 250k.To Daly,booze is an essential necessity like medicine is so I wonder if he can get tax deductions for it?hehe!

                        Do you know what you have to take into consideration on a Daly prop of making the cut?If there is a Hooters in the town the tourney is held.Daly got a lifetime exemption of having to pay a booze and eating bill from them.If the town has a Hooters,he will never make the cut.
                        Comment
                        • ManOfValue
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-29-08
                          • 1437

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BrentCrude
                          Just think what his expenses are getting to tournaments.I wonder what kind of deductions he can get out of that 250k.To Daly,booze is an essential necessity like medicine is so I wonder if he can get tax deductions for it?hehe!

                          Do you know what you have to take into consideration on a Daly prop of making the cut?If there is a Hooters in the town the tourney is held.Daly got a lifetime exemption of having to pay a booze and eating bill from them.If the town has a Hooters,he will never make the cut.
                          LMAO , Good one...
                          Comment
                          • SBR_John
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-12-05
                            • 16471

                            #14
                            Those are good odds. Yea he has been pretty bad lately i guess. But to be almost the same as Duval??? Thats not right.
                            Comment
                            • durito
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 07-03-06
                              • 13173

                              #15
                              Duval made a cut a couple weeks ago.
                              Comment
                              • SBR Lou
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-02-07
                                • 37863

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BrentCrude
                                Just think what his expenses are getting to tournaments.I wonder what kind of deductions he can get out of that 250k.To Daly,booze is an essential necessity like medicine is so I wonder if he can get tax deductions for it?hehe!

                                Do you know what you have to take into consideration on a Daly prop of making the cut?If there is a Hooters in the town the tourney is held.Daly got a lifetime exemption of having to pay a booze and eating bill from them.If the town has a Hooters,he will never make the cut.
                                Pretty accurate post.
                                Comment
                                • durito
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-03-06
                                  • 13173

                                  #17
                                  Duval 73 T27
                                  Daly 80 T136 (with michelson, vj, boo weekly and hunter mahan)
                                  Comment
                                  • durito
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-03-06
                                    • 13173

                                    #18
                                    Today

                                    Duval 69 , not only made the cut, but is tied for 4th

                                    Daly, on the other hand, shot 89 for a two day total of +29 and a dead last finish
                                    Comment
                                    • pokernut9999
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-25-07
                                      • 12757

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by durito
                                      Today

                                      Duval 69 , not only made the cut, but is tied for 4th

                                      Daly, on the other hand, shot 89 for a two day total of +29 and a dead last finish
                                      If they had those odds on him missing the cut at the shops over there , would not be suprised if he bet against himself.
                                      Comment
                                      • durito
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-03-06
                                        • 13173

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                        If they had those odds on him missing the cut at the shops over there , would not be suprised if he bet against himself.
                                        They do, however the limits are drastically smaller than the paycheck for making the cut and then finishing last.
                                        Comment
                                        • pokernut9999
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-25-07
                                          • 12757

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by durito
                                          They do, however the limits are drastically smaller than the paycheck for making the cut and then finishing last.
                                          His odds of making the cut was 0% so anything he could have bet was more than he could have ever won.
                                          Comment
                                          • hackattack
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 06-08-08
                                            • 326

                                            #22
                                            Daly has had countless number of second chances.
                                            He's 42 now...in 8 years he might dominate the Senior Tour.

                                            If he makes it alive.
                                            Comment
                                            • pokernut9999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-25-07
                                              • 12757

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by hackattack
                                              Daly has had countless number of second chances.
                                              He's 42 now...in 8 years he might dominate the Senior Tour.

                                              If he makes it alive.
                                              Guy has had numerous people bail him out of huge gambling debts and then he ends up screwing them in the end. He will never do anything on the Senior tour , guy has way too many problems and people will quit helping him soon.
                                              Comment
                                              • durito
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 07-03-06
                                                • 13173

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by pokernut9999
                                                His odds of making the cut was 0% so anything he could have bet was more than he could have ever won.
                                                So, the betting market mis-priced his chances by that much?

                                                I hope you had your whole bankroll on it.
                                                Comment
                                                • pokernut9999
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-25-07
                                                  • 12757

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by durito
                                                  So, the betting market mis-priced his chances by that much?

                                                  I hope you had your whole bankroll on it.
                                                  Bet those odds everytime he plays and I bet you will win in the long run.
                                                  Comment
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