BTP Consensus theory

[no1here]

Are consensus money makers? I really believe so but since only first week will be requiring adjustments.
To start with I simply took all looking appealing.

All bets at 50 in Thadd's book showing posters picks
spreads are not same as BTP

Okla St -17.5 -110 vs Tulsa 50-1
Geo Tech/Kansas over 62 -110 18-0
Stanford/Ariz U over 56 -110 17-0
Nev -6 -110 vs San Jose St 13-0
Ohio -5 -110 vs Marshall 10-0
Tenn U vs Fl over 51.5 -110 8-0
Ball St -4.5 -110 vs Buff U 7-0
NC -10.5 -110 vs Vir 7-0
Hous U -7 -105 vs Lous Tech 35-2
Ark -23 -110 vs Troy 13-1
Mich St/Notre Dame over 51 -110 6-0
West Vir/Maryland over 58 -110 8-1
TCU -29 -110 vs UL Monroe 23-2
Iowa -3 -105 vs Pitts U 42-5
Miss -2.5 -110 vs Vandy 19-2
Texas Tech -20.5 -110 vs NM 9-1
NW -6 -110 vs Army 17-2
Geo Tech -14.5 -110 vs Kansas 24-3
Wis -17 -110 vs N Ill 44-5
Stanford -9 -110 vs Ariz U 57-6
Vir Tech -24 -110 vs Ark St 8-2
Central Fl -6 -110 vs Fl Inter 22-4


After betting Ball St went to -4, TCU -28, Iowa -2, Wis -16.5 showing action in wrong direction.

[no1here]

I broke it down further and wonder why Okla St odds went from -17.5 to -13.5 when they were picked 50-1


all bets at 25
Okla St -13.5 -110 vs Tulsa
Nev -6.5 -110 vs San Jose St
Ohio -5.5 -110 vs Marshall
Tenn U vs Fl over 52 -110
Hous U -6.5 -105 vs Lous Tech
Ark -23 -110 vs Troy
NW -5.5 -110 vs Army

Parlay 4 bets for 50
Nev -6.5 -110 vs San Jose St
Ohio -5.5 -110 vs Marshal
Hous U -6.5 -105 vs Lous Tech
Ark -23 -110

[jarvol]

OkieSt was never 17. It has always been 13.5 - 14.