How about this HR Derby FADE?

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    How about this HR Derby FADE?
    G Sizemore (to lose) -850

    Thoughts?
  • ryanXL977
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-24-08
    • 20615

    #2
    odds are big any of the pariticpants lose, but how much you gonna bet on that?
    Comment
    • dwaechte
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-27-07
      • 5481

      #3
      The whole thing is such a crapshoot that I wouldn't take odds worse than -800 on any of them.
      Comment
      • JBC77
        SBR MVP
        • 03-23-07
        • 3816

        #4
        Originally posted by dwaechte
        The whole thing is such a crapshoot that I wouldn't take odds worse than -800 on any of them.
        Yeah, it's anyones game....who's stroking them on this particular night is anyones guess. Like the the dog odds rather then bet on someone to lose.

        These are fun bets...best enjoyed with alcohol.
        Comment
        • BadBeatBodog
          SBR MVP
          • 06-05-08
          • 1006

          #5
          I'm taking Hamilton to lose on MB; it's at -390 now but it seems he's the hot choice so I'll wait. I mean come on, it'll be his first year of the derby and look at his home/away AB/HR split:

          28ABs/HR away
          13ABs/HR home

          I'll also probably take Morneau; he's @ +560 on MB.

          I must be stupid but what's the field bet on MB?
          "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

          "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
          Comment
          • JBC77
            SBR MVP
            • 03-23-07
            • 3816

            #6
            I asked myself the same question about the field bet, there was a little cash on it when I checked on MB. Not sure, I was under the impression they had all the entrants in the derby listed. Maybe a last minute replacement or something?
            Comment
            • BadBeatBodog
              SBR MVP
              • 06-05-08
              • 1006

              #7
              There are now even better odds listed for the Field @ +600, and suddenly there is a 'to lose' bet for field @ -50000 with a max of $500 haha
              "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

              "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
              Comment
              • ryanXL977
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-24-08
                • 20615

                #8
                i really think morneau is good value. its a total crapshoot though!
                Comment
                • element1286
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-25-08
                  • 3370

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ryanXL977
                  i really think morneau is good value. its a total crapshoot though!
                  I like Morneau a lot, I like Berkman too.
                  Comment
                  • SBR Lou
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-02-07
                    • 37863

                    #10
                    Chase Utley to lose -520

                    Pound it?
                    Comment
                    • pavyracer
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 04-12-07
                      • 82863

                      #11
                      Originally posted by crazyl
                      G Sizemore (to lose) -850

                      Thoughts?
                      Make sure you bet it at CW. You can only lose $100 or win $11.17.



                      P.S. Haven't you learned anything from Ana?
                      Comment
                      • SBR Lou
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-02-07
                        • 37863

                        #12
                        Originally posted by pavyracer
                        Make sure you bet it at CW. You can only lose $100 or win $11.17.



                        P.S. Haven't you learned anything from Ana?


                        CW isn't even offering those "to lose" odds. I was quoting a Matchbook line...

                        And, you can lay $850 at CW if you wanted..
                        Comment
                        • SBR Lou
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-02-07
                          • 37863

                          #13
                          Just bought some of Ryan Braun at +1100.
                          Comment
                          • BeatTheJerk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 08-19-07
                            • 31794

                            #14
                            this might not be a sexy or pretty name ........ but Dan Uggla +850
                            Comment
                            • rm18
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-20-05
                              • 22291

                              #15
                              Both of you guys are suckers, right handed guys are sucker bets
                              Comment
                              • SBR Lou
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-02-07
                                • 37863

                                #16
                                Originally posted by rm18
                                Both of you guys are suckers, right handed guys are sucker bets
                                So I guess Hamilton is the 'best bet' in your eyes?
                                Comment
                                • rm18
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-20-05
                                  • 22291

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  Make sure you bet it at CW. You can only lose $100 or win $11.17.



                                  P.S. Haven't you learned anything from Ana?
                                  you can bet favorites to win $100 at credit wagering
                                  Comment
                                  • rm18
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-20-05
                                    • 22291

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by crazyl
                                    So I guess Hamilton is the 'best bet' in your eyes?
                                    No home run derby is an average hitters game. Everyone has home run power. Not about hitting 450 footers. And Hamilton not a dead pull hitter like some other lefties. Berkman is the most likely to win
                                    Comment
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