Bad Idea?

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  • Money
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-28-07
    • 663

    #1
    Bad Idea?
    Thinking about putting a grand on Stanford -21 vs Duke. Im a college student and lost a 500 bet on South Carolina last weekend on the last play of the last drive for ECU. I dont understand how the line can be this low, and I feel like I need to get in while the gettins good and make back that $ I lost last week plus some. On the other hand, I dont want to throw away almost 1500 by week 2 of the season. This money is coming from my summer job and Im torn on whether or not to book this play. What do you "older, wiser" guys think?
  • Regul8er
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-06-07
    • 10666

    #2
    Never chase loses is my advice. I would bet the same percentage of your bankroll each game, whatever that is.
    Standford seems like a solid bet, but the line is set at 21 for a reason.
    Comment
    • bipolar
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-25-10
      • 252

      #3
      dont double up to try and regain... bad habit, dont start it
      Comment
      • Money
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-28-07
        • 663

        #4
        Lines down to -20 105. Does this seem fishy to anyone else? U of Richmond beat Duke at Duke last week and theyre D-1AA. Only thing that worries me is Stanfords trip out there.
        Comment
        • stikymess
          SBR MVP
          • 05-19-10
          • 3288

          #5
          I like the play, keep in mind Stanford is on the road and I expect Duke to put up some points. So always a chance of a meaningless late touchdown to cover late.

          I don't like the chasing, if that's your only play of the weekend, maybe throw a hundy on it. Learn some patience it will serve you well. think of more as investing than gambling. Best of luck.
          Comment
          • stikymess
            SBR MVP
            • 05-19-10
            • 3288

            #6
            The over maybe worth a look.
            Comment
            • doublej95
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-26-10
              • 14094

              #7
              The line is fishy, Duke would be the play but I wouldn't lay 2 bucks on the Devils here.
              Comment
              • saints7011
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-21-09
                • 5544

                #8
                I just went huge on Stanford...

                the line is about to go up...
                Comment
                • stikymess
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-19-10
                  • 3288

                  #9
                  Originally posted by saints7011
                  I just went huge on Stanford...

                  the line is about to go up...
                  what did you sell this time?
                  Comment
                  • saints7011
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-21-09
                    • 5544

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stikymess
                    what did you sell this time?
                    my lady got paid this morning...






                    dulas
                    Comment
                    • TR88
                      Restricted User
                      • 06-10-10
                      • 9364

                      #11
                      Originally posted by saints7011
                      my lady got paid this morning...






                      dulas

































                      dulas
                      Comment
                      • stikymess
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-19-10
                        • 3288

                        #12
                        Originally posted by saints7011
                        my lady got paid this morning... Dulas
                        nice! :d
                        Comment
                        • bipolar
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 04-25-10
                          • 252

                          #13
                          dont get into the bad habit of doubling up to regain losses as above poster mentioned
                          Comment
                          • Adamho
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 06-29-11
                            • 153

                            #14
                            Bridge jump this game and enjoy it. You will get 10% of your losses back and won't suffer a stroke on some meaningless touchdown. If you can research any bad blood between the coaching staff or any bulletin board material then the spread will be covered.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Money
                              Thinking about putting a grand on Stanford -21 vs Duke. Im a college student and lost a 500 bet on South Carolina last weekend on the last play of the last drive for ECU. I dont understand how the line can be this low, and I feel like I need to get in while the gettins good and make back that $ I lost last week plus some. On the other hand, I dont want to throw away almost 1500 by week 2 of the season. This money is coming from my summer job and Im torn on whether or not to book this play. What do you "older, wiser" guys think?
                              We love guys like you money

                              Best of luck
                              Comment
                              • Money
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 08-28-07
                                • 663

                                #16
                                Well boys.. This is it, I have booked it. As square as this play looks, I hope it cashes. Hopefully Im not like the rest of the guys here who post their "locks" or other plays. GL to yall this weekend. If Stanford can pull this out, along with my Gamecocks beating UGA (No wager on this unpredictable game) I will have one helluva Saturday evening. (CANT FIGURE OUT HOW TO POST SCREENSHOT). <TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="90%"><TBODY><TR class=GameHeader><TD width="20%">6664323GameDate</TD><TD width="12%">User/Phone</TD><TD width="20%">Date Placed</TD><TD width="8%">Sport</TD><TD width="30%">Description</TD><TD width="10%">Risk/Win</TD></TR><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=middle>Ticket#:10639284
                                Sep 10 03:30 PM

                                </TD><TD vAlign=center>INTERNET / -1</TD><TD vAlign=center>Sep 09 12:05 PM </TD><TD></B>
                                CFB

                                </TD><TD align=middle>STRAIGHT BET</B>
                                [339] STANFORD -20-105

                                </TD><TD></B>
                                700 / 667

                                </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></B>
                                <TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="90%"><TBODY><TR class=GameHeader><TD width="20%">GameDate</TD><TD width="12%">User/Phone</TD><TD width="20%">Date Placed</TD><TD width="8%">Sport</TD><TD width="30%">Description</TD><TD width="10%">Risk/Win</TD></TR><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=middle>Ticket#:10639284
                                Sep 10 03:30 PM

                                </TD><TD vAlign=center>INTERNET / -1</TD><TD vAlign=center>Sep 09 12:05 PM </TD><TD>
                                CFB

                                </TD><TD align=middle>STRAIGHT BET
                                [339] STANFORD -20-105

                                </TD><TD>
                                700 / 667

                                </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
                                <TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="90%"><TBODY><TR class=TrGameOdd><TD align=middle>

                                </TD><TD vAlign=center></TD><TD vAlign=center></TD><TD>

                                </TD><TD align=middle>
                                </TD><TD>

                                </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
                                Comment
                                • stikymess
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-19-10
                                  • 3288

                                  #17
                                  Best of luck Money, hope it pulls through for you.

                                  Two words for next week, money management.
                                  Comment
                                  • saints7011
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-21-09
                                    • 5544

                                    #18
                                    meet me at Icey's...

                                    we can watch this ass whoopin together...










                                    dulas
                                    Comment
                                    • dontazeme1
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-22-10
                                      • 447

                                      #19
                                      stanford rolls in my opinion nice bet
                                      Comment
                                      • bruce0
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-07-10
                                        • 905

                                        #20
                                        We had another thread about this play.


                                        The short of it is while 98% of the action was on Stanford, the line dropped half point yesterday. that is not a good indicator even for this play, but in the end I feel it will cover, just not easily.
                                        Comment
                                        • anthonydiamondLC
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-02-08
                                          • 2296

                                          #21
                                          I remember last yr Alabama played Duke and it was around this number...needless to say Alabama put up like 70 against duke and covered the spread by the 1st qtr. Just have to be weary of Stanford traveling cross country and the line opened at 15.5 so right off the bat the bookmakers were giving Duke some respect, however the whole world is on Stanford so the line has been pushed to 20.5. I don't know though, there's not a lot of value here for me. Personally I think there are better games to bet on. I agree with everyone here though there is no reason to put $700 on this game and completely bury yourself in wk 2. You should just bet like $200 and see what happens then at least if you win you made money, your feeling good, step out on your next game.
                                          Comment
                                          • bruce0
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 01-07-10
                                            • 905

                                            #22
                                            Good advice.
                                            I don't see anyone who got 15.5, 17 was the lowest I heard of but still didn't see it on a site. Either way when everyone is on a number and it moves a couple points, then retreats midweek with such a heavy percentage that's something to look out for. Hopefully those on the other side just see value and are wrong. We need a big public win this! At least I do!
                                            Comment
                                            • (Reyes)
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-16-11
                                              • 188

                                              #23
                                              a bit foolish
                                              Comment
                                              • anthonydiamondLC
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-02-08
                                                • 2296

                                                #24
                                                Its gonna be comical if Duke who lost to a Div 1-AA team last wk comes back tomorrow and actually gives Stanford a fight. The opening line was very telling.
                                                Comment
                                                • saints1856
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-12-10
                                                  • 1189

                                                  #25
                                                  Comical? Not for 'Money'... (or myself for that matter) I got them -20 for the game and -12 for the first half
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bruce0
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-07-10
                                                    • 905

                                                    #26
                                                    Not for me either! But I reduced the play because of that line movement. Can't ignore that.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • saints7011
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-21-09
                                                      • 5544

                                                      #27
                                                      not looking good...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Money
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 08-28-07
                                                        • 663

                                                        #28
                                                        cocks and cardinal win!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • stikymess
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-19-10
                                                          • 3288

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Money
                                                          cocks and cardinal win!
                                                          Nice job Money, now ease up with the big bets, please.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiTeMe UsAdOj
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 08-18-11
                                                            • 7537

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Money
                                                            cocks and cardinal win!
                                                            A phrase heard more than once from the Vatican, btw.

                                                            Congrats.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Powderguy
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-09
                                                              • 6939

                                                              #31
                                                              I wouldn't chance plays liek this again, 1 loss and you're crippled


                                                              GOOD WINS
                                                              Comment
                                                              • M.W.
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-07-08
                                                                • 1668

                                                                #32
                                                                Read about the concept of "gambler's ruin". You can't keep betting this much on each game.
                                                                Comment
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