Traps are Set for Next Weeks College Football

[k13]

-2.5 South Carolina vs Georgia
+3.5 Michigan vs Notre Dame
-6.5 Texas vs ByU
-6 MSU vs Auburn


Who's not going to be biting at most of those?

[pavyracer]

These lines were available in July. Let me find the thread I posted this before.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-talk/1179242-college-football-lines-first-couple-weeks.html

[k13]

Interesting. Pavy, do you have future lines for NFL games? like week 2, 3, etc.

I know someone out there had them.

Based on that, lots of value on Auburn.....if that even counts.

[jarvol]

UGA's coaching staff needs alot more than 2.5. ALOT more.

[neverstoppers23]

I like Michigan at +3.5 a lot, esp. in a teaser play.

[dfberger23]

Michigan will beat Notre Dame easily.

[neverstoppers23]

Interesting. Pavy, do you have future lines for NFL games? like week 2, 3, etc.

I know someone out there had them.

Based on that, lots of value on Auburn.....if that even counts.

sportsbetting.ag has lines out for every week, every game.

[Bluehorseshoe]

Interesting. Pavy, do you have future lines for NFL games? like week 2, 3, etc.

I know someone out there had them.

Based on that, lots of value on Auburn.....if that even counts.

NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR Lines From:
09-04-2011 19:46:57
Date # Team M Line Total Spread
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Sep 18
Sep 18 15201 BEARS +6½-115
12:00 PM 15202 SAINTS -6½-115
Sep 18 15203 COWBOYS -2½-120
12:00 PM 15204 49ERS +2½-110
Sep 18 15205 CHARGERS +6-115
12:00 PM 15206 PATRIOTS -6-115
Sep 18 15207 EAGLES +1-115
12:00 PM 15208 FALCONS -1-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Sep 19
Sep 19 15209 RAMS +6½-115
12:00 PM 15210 GIANTS -6½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Sep 25
Sep 25 15211 GIANTS +6-115
12:00 PM 15212 EAGLES -6-115
Sep 25 15213 JETS -3-120
12:00 PM 15214 RAIDERS +3-110
Sep 25 15215 PACKERS -3-115
12:00 PM 15216 BEARS +3-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Sep 26
Sep 26 15219 REDSKINS +7-115
12:00 PM 15220 COWBOYS -7-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 02
Oct 02 15221 LIONS +5-115
12:00 PM 15222 COWBOYS -5-115
Oct 02 15223 STEELERS -3-115
12:00 PM 15224 TEXANS +3-115
Oct 02 15225 PATRIOTS -7-120
12:00 PM 15226 RAIDERS +7-110
Oct 02 15227 JETS +3-125
12:00 PM 15228 RAVENS -3-105
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 09
Oct 09 15233 CHARGERS -4½-115
12:00 PM 15234 BRONCOS +4½-115
Oct 09 15235 JETS +5½-115
12:00 PM 15236 PATRIOTS -5½-115
Oct 09 15237 PACKERS -1-115
12:00 PM 15238 FALCONS +1-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 10
Oct 10 15239 BEARS +3-125
12:00 PM 15240 LIONS -3-105
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 16
Oct 16 15241 EAGLES -6½-115
12:00 PM 15242 REDSKINS +6½-115
Oct 16 15243 COWBOYS +8-115
12:00 PM 15244 PATRIOTS -8-115
Oct 16 15245 SAINTS -3-110
12:00 PM 15246 BUCS +3-120
Oct 16 15247 VIKINGS +4½-120
12:00 PM 15248 BEARS -4½-110
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 17
Oct 17 15249 DOLPHINS +7-115
12:00 PM 15250 JETS -7-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 23
Oct 23 15251 CHARGERS +3-115
12:00 PM 15252 JETS -3-115
Oct 23 15255 PACKERS -6½-115
12:00 PM 15256 VIKINGS +6½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 24
Oct 24 15259 RAVENS -3½-115
12:00 PM 15260 JAGUARS +3½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Oct 30
Oct 30 15261 DOLPHINS +5½-115
12:00 PM 15262 GIANTS -5½-115
Oct 30 15263 SAINTS -3½-115
12:00 PM 15264 RAMS +3½-115
Oct 30 15265 PATRIOTS +2½-115
12:00 PM 15266 STEELERS -2½-115
Oct 30 15267 COWBOYS +6-115
12:00 PM 15268 EAGLES -6-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 06
Nov 06 15271 DOLPHINS +3-115
12:00 PM 15272 CHIEFS -3-115
Nov 06 15273 GIANTS +8-115
12:00 PM 15274 PATRIOTS -8-115
Nov 06 15275 PACKERS PK-115
12:00 PM 15276 CHARGERS PK-115
Nov 06 15277 RAVENS +4-115
12:00 PM 15278 STEELERS -4-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 07
Nov 07 15279 BEARS +8-115
12:00 PM 15280 EAGLES -8-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 10
Nov 10 15281 RAIDERS +8-115
12:00 PM 15282 CHARGERS -8-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 13
Nov 13 15283 SAINTS +2½-115
12:00 PM 15284 FALCONS -2½-115
Nov 13 15285 LIONS +3-115
12:00 PM 15286 BEARS -3-115
Nov 13 15287 PATRIOTS +1-115
12:00 PM 15288 JETS -1-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 14
Nov 14 15289 VIKINGS +10½-115
12:00 PM 15290 PACKERS -10½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 17
Nov 17 15291 JETS -4-115
12:00 PM 15292 BRONCOS +4-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 20
Nov 20 15293 COWBOYS -2½-115
12:00 PM 15294 REDSKINS +2½-115
Nov 20 15295 CHARGERS -1½-115
12:00 PM 15296 BEARS +1½-115
Nov 20 15297 EAGLES -1½-115
12:00 PM 15298 GIANTS +1½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 24
Nov 24 15301 PACKERS -4-115
12:00 PM 15302 LIONS +4-115
Nov 24 15303 DOLPHINS +6-115
12:00 PM 15304 COWBOYS -6-115
Nov 24 15305 49ERS +8-115
12:00 PM 15306 RAVENS -8-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 27
Nov 27 15307 PATRIOTS +1-115
12:00 PM 15308 EAGLES -1-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Nov 28
Nov 28 15309 GIANTS +5-115
12:00 PM 15310 SAINTS -5-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 01
Dec 01 15313 EAGLES -6½-120
12:00 PM 15314 SEAHAWKS +6½-110
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 04
Dec 04 15315 JETS -4½-115
12:00 PM 15316 REDSKINS +4½-115
Dec 04 15317 PACKERS -3-115
12:00 PM 15318 GIANTS +3-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 05
Dec 05 15321 CHARGERS -3½-115
12:00 PM 15322 JAGUARS +3½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 11
Dec 11 15327 RAIDERS +10½-115
12:00 PM 15328 PACKERS -10½-115
Dec 11 15329 GIANTS +2½-115
12:00 PM 15330 COWBOYS -2½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 12
Dec 12 15331 RAMS PK-115
12:00 PM 15332 SEAHAWKS PK-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 15
Dec 15 15333 JAGUARS +9½-115
12:00 PM 15334 FALCONS -9½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 17
Dec 17 15335 COWBOYS PK-115
12:00 PM 15336 BUCS PK-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 18
Dec 18 15337 JETS +3-115
12:00 PM 15338 EAGLES -3-115
Dec 18 15339 RAVENS +3-115
12:00 PM 15340 CHARGERS -3-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 19
Dec 19 15341 STEELERS -5-115
12:00 PM 15342 49ERS +5-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 24
Dec 24 15345 GIANTS +3-115
12:00 PM 15346 JETS -3-115
Dec 24 15347 EAGLES -1½-115
12:00 PM 15348 COWBOYS +1½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 25
Dec 25 15349 BEARS +8½-115
12:00 PM 15350 PACKERS -8½-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Dec 26
Dec 26 15351 FALCONS +3-115
12:00 PM 15352 SAINTS -3-115
NFL - GAMES OF THE YEAR - Jan 01
Jan 01 15353 BUCS +4½-115
12:00 PM 15354 FALCONS -4½-115
Jan 01 15355 LIONS +4½-115
12:00 PM 15356 PACKERS -4½-115
Jan 01 15357 COWBOYS +3-115
12:00 PM 15358 GIANTS -3-115
Jan 01 15359 49ERS +3-115
12:00 PM 15360 RAMS -3-115
Jan 01 15361 CHARGERS -1-115
12:00 PM 15362 RAIDERS +1-115

[k13]

I like Michigan at +3.5 a lot, esp. in a teaser play.

Obviously you do. Lined opened at -1 and now -4....

[HoulihansTX]

Notre Dame was killed with turnovers last week. They are not an elite team, but are better than they were last year. Brian Kelly's teams do nothing but improve.

USF is a good fade next week. That offense looked dismal. BJ Daniels is not to be trusted coverng as a fav. Skip Holtzs is a big time coach, but a QB away from the BCS.

[k13]

sportsbetting.ag has lines out for every week, every game.

Thanks. That book has some really nice options. Is it legit? Never really seen it.

Steelers only -4 vs Niners

Based on all the lines, Niners could actually do well.

[james4512]

Miss St is not a trap its a great bet line should be -10/-12

[k13]

Miss St is not a trap its a great bet line should be -10/-12

Crazy

Line is already down to 5.5

go get it tiger

[jjgold]

SC seems like a trap but they have a very good team

Georgia looked bad sat

[neverstoppers23]

Thanks. That book has some really nice options. Is it legit? Never really seen it.

Steelers only -4 vs Niners

Based on all the lines, Niners could actually do well.

Yeah they have free withdrawals to, i have withdrawn from them with no problems. Average time 5-7 days to get the check. Never any HUGE problems reported to SBR. Last time i checked they gave them a B-, .

[forloveofthegame]

Rice was gonna be my hammer play but its down to pick already

[wantitall4moi]

They make lines for the whole season, and depending on injuries or suspensions or other unknown circumstances they move them around a little bit. But they dont usually move too much off what they figure them as when they first get the schedule. LVSC used to make the lins for all of vegas and offshore, not sure if they still do or not. But thye basically got the schedule and made every line going forward in all sports. I am sure they still do it, and if they dont someone else does.

[mafioso]

Thanks. That book has some really nice options. Is it legit? Never really seen it.

Steelers only -4 vs Niners

Based on all the lines, Niners could actually do well.

From the M Resort 2 months ago

WEEK ONE

Thursday, Sept. 8
New Orleans (+5.5) at Green Bay
Sunday, Sept. 11
Pittsburgh (+2.5) at Baltimore
Cincinnati (+3) at Cleveland
Indianapolis (+1) at Houston
Tennessee (+2.5) at Jacksonville
Atlanta (PK) at Chicago
Buffalo (+6.5) at Kansas City
Philadelphia (-3.5) at St. Louis
Detroit (+3) at Tampa Bay
Seattle (+5.5) at San Francisco
N.Y. Giants (-3) at Washington
Minnesota (+9) at San Diego
Carolina (+3.5) at Arizona
Dallas (+4) at N.Y. Jets
Monday, Sept. 12
New England (-4) at Miami
Oakland (+1) at Denver
WEEK TWO

Sunday, Sept. 18
Kansas City (+4) at Detroit
Seattle (+11) at Pittsburgh
Oakland (+1) at Buffalo
Green Bay (-9.5) at Carolina
Baltimore (-4) at Tennessee
Cleveland (+7.5) at Indianapolis
Tampa Bay (PK) at Minnesota
Arizona (+7 / -115) at Washington
Chicago (+4) at New Orleans
Jacksonville (+8) at N.Y. Jets
Dallas (PK) at San Francisco
San Diego (+6) at New England
Cincinnati (-1) at Denver
Houston (+3) at Miami
Philadelphia (+3) at Atlanta
Monday, Sept. 19
St. Louis (+7) at N.Y. Giants
WEEK THREE

Sunday, Sept. 25
New England (-9) at Buffalo
Detroit (+2) at Minnesota
N.Y. Giants (+3) at Philadelphia
Jacksonville (-2.5) at Carolina
San Francisco (+3) at Cincinnati
Houston (+6) at New Orleans
Miami (+1) at Cleveland
Denver (+4.5) at Tennessee
Kansas City (+6) at San Diego
Baltimore (-5) at St. Louis
N.Y. Jets (-3) at Oakland
Green Bay (-2.5) at Chicago
Atlanta (-1) at Tampa Bay
Arizona (+6) at Seattle
Pittsburgh (+1.5) at Indianapolis
Monday, Sept. 26
Washington (+6) at Dallas
WEEK FOUR

Sunday, Oct. 2
New Orleans (-4) at Jacksonville
Minnesota (+5) at Kansas City
Carolina (+12) at Chicago
Tennessee (+3) at Cleveland
Pittsburgh (-3.5) at Houston
San Francisco (+7) at Philadelphia
Washington (+3) at St. Louis
Buffalo (+4.5) at Cincinnati
Detroit (+4) at Dallas
N.Y. Giants (-6) at Arizona
Atlanta (-4) at Seattle
Denver (+12) at Green Bay
New England (-5.5) at Oakland
Miami (+6.5) at San Diego
N.Y. Jets (+3) at Baltimore
Monday, Oct. 3
Indianapolis (-1.5) at Tampa Bay
WEEK FIVE

Sunday, Oct. 9
New Orleans (-7.5) at Carolina
Philadelphia (-3.5) at Buffalo
Cincinnati (+3) at Jacksonville
Seattle (+7.5) at N.Y. Giants
Tennessee (+9.5) at Pittsburgh
Oakland (+3) at Houston
Kansas City (+5.5) at Indianapolis
Arizona (+6) at Minnesota
Tampa Bay (-1) at San Francisco
San Diego (-5) at Denver
N.Y. Jets (+5.5) at New England
Green Bay (-1) at Atlanta
Monday, Oct. 10
Chicago (+1) at Detroit
Byes: Baltimore, Cleveland, Dallas, Miami, Washington, St. Louis
WEEK SIX

Sunday, Oct. 16
Carolina (+12.5) at Atlanta
Philadelphia (-3.5) at Washington
Buffalo (+7.5) at N.Y. Giants
Indianapolis (-2.5) at Cincinnati
Jacksonville (+10) at Pittsburgh
San Francisco (+4.5) at Detroit
St. Louis (+9.5) at Green Bay
Houston (+7) at Baltimore
Cleveland (+3.5) at Oakland
New Orleans (-1.5) at Tampa Bay
Dallas (+8) at New England
Minnesota (+6.5) at Chicago
Monday, Oct. 17
Miami (+6.5) at N.Y. Jets
Byes: Arizona, Denver, Kansas City, San Diego, Seattle, Tennessee

A Comment
WEEK SEVEN
Sunday, Oct. 23


Houston (+1) at Tennessee


Seattle (+3.5) at Cleveland


Atlanta (PK) at Detroit


Denver (+6) at Miami


San Diego (+3) at N.Y. Jets


Chicago (+1.5) at Tampa Bay (at London)


Washington (-1) at Carolina


Kansas City (+3) at Oakland


Pittsburgh (-7) at Arizona


Green Bay (-6.5) at Minnesota


St. Louis (+4.5) at Dallas


Indianapolis (+2.5) at New Orleans


Monday, Oct. 24


Baltimore (-4) at Jacksonville


Byes: Buffalo, Cincinnati, New England, N.Y. Giants, Philadelphia, San Francisco


WEEK EIGHT



Sunday, Oct. 30


Indianapolis (-3.5) at Tennessee


Jacksonville (+4) at Houston


Arizona (+11) at Baltimore


Miami (+5) at N.Y. Giants


Minnesota (-3.5) at Carolina


New Orleans (-3) at St. Louis


Washington (+1.5) at Buffalo


Detroit (-1) at Denver


Cleveland (+3) at San Francisco


Cincinnati (+2) at Seattle


New England (+1) at Pittsburgh


Dallas (+4.5) at Philadelphia


Monday, Oct. 31


San Diego (-2.5) at Kansas City


Byes: Atlanta, Chicago, Green Bay, N.Y. Jets, Oakland, Tampa Bay


WEEK NINE



Sunday, Nov. 6


N.Y. Jets (-4) at Buffalo


Tampa Bay (+4) at New Orleans


Atlanta (+2) at Indianapolis


Seattle (+6.5) at Dallas


Miami (+2.5) at Kansas City


San Francisco (+2.5) at Washington


Cleveland (+3) at Houston


Denver (+6) at Oakland


Cincinnati (+2.5) at Tennessee


St. Louis (-2.5) at Arizona


N.Y. Giants (+7) at New England


Green Bay (PK) at San Diego


Baltimore (+3.5) at Pittsburgh


Monday, Nov. 7


Chicago (+4.5) at Philadelphia


Byes: Carolina, Detroit, Jacksonville, Minnesota


WEEK 10


Thursday, Nov. 10


Oakland (+7) at San Diego


Sunday, Nov. 13


New Orleans (+3) at Atlanta


Detroit (+4) at Chicago


Jacksonville (+7) at Indianapolis


Denver (+6.5) at Kansas City


Pittsburgh (-6) at Cincinnati


Tennessee (PK) at Carolina


Houston (+3.5) at Tampa Bay


Washington (+4.5) at Miami


St. Louis (+3) at Cleveland


Buffalo (+6) at Dallas


Arizona (+10.5) at Philadelphia


Baltimore (-3.5) at Seattle


N.Y. Giants (-2.5) at San Francisco


New England (+1) at N.Y. Jets


Monday, Nov. 14


Minnesota (+10.5) at Green Bay


WEEK 11


Thursday, Nov. 17


N.Y. Jets (-4) at Denver


Sunday, Nov. 20


Cincinnati (+8) at Baltimore


Dallas (-1.5) at Washington


Buffalo (+5) at Miami


Tennessee (+7) at Atlanta


Oakland (+2.5) at Minnesota


Jacksonville (+3) at Cleveland


Carolina (+7.5) at Detroit


Tampa Bay (+7) at Green Bay


Seattle (+3.5) at St. Louis


Arizona (+6.5) at San Francisco


San Diego (PK) at Chicago


Philadelphia (+2.5) at N.Y. Giants


Monday, Nov. 21


Kansas City (+10) at New England


Byes: Houston, Indianapolis, New Orleans, Pittsburgh

WEEK 12
Thursday, Nov. 24


Green Bay (-4) at Detroit


Miami (+4.5) at Dallas


San Francisco (+8.5) at Baltimore


Sunday, Nov. 27


Cleveland (+2.5) at Cincinnati


Houston (+1.5) at Jacksonville


Arizona (+6.5) at St. Louis


Buffalo (+9) at N.Y. Jets


Tampa Bay (PK) at Tennessee


Carolina (+11.5) at Indianapolis


Minnesota (+7) at Atlanta


Chicago (PK) at Oakland


Washington (+1.5) at Seattle


Denver (+9) at San Diego


New England (-1.5) at Philadelphia


Pittsburgh (-3) at Kansas City


Monday, Nov. 28


N.Y. Giants (+3) at New Orleans


WEEK 13


Thursday, Dec. 1


Philadelphia (-3.5) at Seattle


Sunday, Dec. 4


Baltimore (-4) at Cleveland


Cincinnati (+10) at Pittsburgh


Carolina (+9) at Tampa Bay


Kansas City (+5.5) at Chicago


N.Y. Jets (-4) at Washington


Atlanta (-1) at Houston


Oakland (+3) at Miami


Detroit (+3.5) at New Orleans


Tennessee (+1) at Buffalo


Denver (+5.5) at Minnesota


St. Louis (+3) at San Francisco


Dallas (-3.5) at Arizona


Green Bay (PK) at N.Y. Giants


Indianapolis (+6.5) at New England


Monday, Dec. 5


San Diego (-3) at Jacksonville


WEEK 14


Thursday, Dec. 8


Cleveland (+9) at Pittsburgh


Sunday, Dec. 11


Atlanta (-7.5) at Carolina


Minnesota (+4) at Detroit


Oakland (+9) at Green Bay


Tampa Bay (-1) at Jacksonville


Philadelphia (PK) at Miami


New England (-7.5) at Washington


New Orleans (-3) at Tennessee


Indianapolis (+4) at Baltimore


Kansas City (+7) at N.Y. Jets


Houston (+1.5) at Cincinnati


San Francisco (-2.5) at Arizona


Chicago (-3.5) at Denver


Buffalo (+9.5) at San Diego


N.Y. Giants (+2.5) at Dallas


Monday, Dec. 12


St. Louis (-1) at Seattle


WEEK 15


Thursday, Dec. 15


Jacksonville (+7) at Atlanta


Saturday, Dec. 17


Dallas (+1) at Tampa Bay


Sunday, Dec. 18


Miami (PK) at Buffalo


Washington (+6) at N.Y. Giants


Tennessee (+7) at Indianapolis


Carolina (+8) at Houston


Green Bay (-3.5) at Kansas City


Cincinnati (+3) at St. Louis


New Orleans (-1) at Minnesota


Seattle (+8) at Chicago


Detroit (+2) at Oakland


N.Y. Jets (+2.5) at Philadelphia


Cleveland (PK) at Arizona


New England (-6.5) at Denver


Baltimore (+1.5) at San Diego


Monday, Dec. 19


Pittsburgh (-4) at San Francisco


WEEK 16


Thursday, Dec. 22


Houston (+6) at Indianapolis


Saturday, Dec. 24


Cleveland (+7.5) at Baltimore


Tampa Bay (-5) at Carolina


Miami (+10) at New England


Oakland (+3) at Kansas City


Jacksonville (+2.5) at Tennessee


Arizona (+7) at Cincinnati


N.Y. Giants (+3.5) at N.Y. Jets


St. Louis (+9.5) at Pittsburgh


Denver (+3.5) at Buffalo


Minnesota (+2) at Washington


San Diego (-1) at Detroit


Philadelphia (+1.5) at Dallas


San Francisco (+1) at Seattle


Sunday, Dec. 25


Chicago (+7) at Green Bay


Monday, Dec. 26


Atlanta (+2) at New Orleans


WEEK 17


Sunday, Jan. 1


Tampa Bay (+4.5) at Atlanta


Dallas (+2.5) at N.Y. Giants


Carolina (+11) at New Orleans


San Francisco (+3) at St. Louis


Indianapolis (-3) at Jacksonville


Tennessee (+6) at Houston


Detroit (+4) at Green Bay


Washington (+7) at Philadelphia


Buffalo (+9) at New England


Chicago (-2) at Minnesota


N.Y. Jets (-1) at Miami


Baltimore (-3) at Cincinnati


Pittsburgh (-3) at Cleveland


Kansas City (-2.5) at Denver


Seattle (-2) at Arizona


San Diego (-1.5) at Oakland

[Sunde91]

please create a thread fading "traps" and lets see how you do

down units at end of the year -150

[mafioso]

Biggest issue with trying to fade what is percieved as a trap game is that there are generally 4 games per week in the NFL and 8 games in college per week that look to be traps.

THESE GAMES USUALLY GO 2-2 and 4-4

So you will lose juice every week.

For me to go against the superior team, there has to be many peramiters in place

1) Make sure Im going against a road favorite (Bobby Smith's book points out that home teams win 70% of their games)
2) go against the public if they are on the road favorite for that game
3) go against the scamdicappers if they are on the same game with the public
4) If everyone is on the road favorite and the line goes in the other direction (Reverse line drop)
5) Check various message boards and make sure everyone is being taken to the shed

I have had success doing this, Its too early right now but i will post my plays this weekend.

Also, Im not a bragger and I will not get into pissing matches with anyone, win or lose, it is what it is.

[mstone897]

Crazy

Line is already down to 5.5

go get it tiger

You cant just simply look at line movement. Did Auburn show you anything that makes you think they can compete verse a quality SC team? Yeah they put up points and came back late but it was Utah State at home. Miss State is a team on the rise, while Auburn is rebuilding this year. Even if they can score against SEC defenses, their own defense was pretty terrible last year and got worse with the lose of Fairley, Etheridge, Bynes, etc.

[k13]

please create a thread fading "traps" and lets see how you do

down units at end of the year -150

There's more to it than that. Fading all "traps" will get you no where as things change. Plus definition of trap is debatable.

Patriots are -3 @ Miami Typical trap game, right....

So I'm liking this +3, line steams up to -7....some might be happy to get +7 now and "value" lol, to me a no play now or pound the shit out NE ML.

Goes to -2.5, now everything is decided for you.

[Greyraptor]

Biggest issue with trying to fade what is percieved as a trap game is that there are generally 4 games per week in the NFL and 8 games in college per week that look to be traps.

THESE GAMES USUALLY GO 2-2 and 4-4

So you will lose juice every week.

For me to go against the superior team, there has to be many peramiters in place

1) Make sure Im going against a road favorite (Bobby Smith's book points out that home teams win 70% of their games)
2) go against the public if they are on the road favorite for that game
3) go against the scamdicappers if they are on the same game with the public
4) If everyone is on the road favorite and the line goes in the other direction (Reverse line drop)
5) Check various message boards and make sure everyone is being taken to the shed

I have had success doing this, Its too early right now but i will post my plays this weekend.

Also, Im not a bragger and I will not get into pissing matches with anyone, win or lose, it is what it is.

Not the first time I have heard this and makes ALOT of sense, especially points 1, 2 and 4. I have noticed a lot of line value in taking the home dog.

[k13]

You cant just simply look at line movement. Did Auburn show you anything that makes you think they can compete verse a quality SC team? Yeah they put up points and came back late but it was Utah State at home. Miss State is a team on the rise, while Auburn is rebuilding this year. Even if they can score against SEC defenses, their own defense was pretty terrible last year and got worse with the lose of Fairley, Etheridge, Bynes, etc.

None of that stuff matters. I did not even watch the game.

My biggest play was Ball State, I can't even name one player on the team.

If someone starts talking about "last week" then it's usually a good time to fade....

[jbrent95]

I like Michigan over ND.

[homosayswhat]

ND couldnt even beat an average S Florida team...AT HOME ! someone said IF NOT FOR THE 5 TURNOVERS.....but they still count...and ND sucks....now they go in and try to contain our boy at QB up there....please

Early look...MICHIGAN crushes them and they arent special either...

Geo is awful....look like they were drawing up plays in the sand on Saturday....no chemistry at all on that team...that was awful and Richt needs to go....



BYU sucks too...Miss is awful and BYU barely won......and dont sell Texas short....they were not going to show anything against RICE and still blew them out....

GL

[pavyracer]

You cant just simply look at line movement. Did Auburn show you anything that makes you think they can compete verse a quality SC team? Yeah they put up points and came back late but it was Utah State at home. Miss State is a team on the rise, while Auburn is rebuilding this year. Even if they can score against SEC defenses, their own defense was pretty terrible last year and got worse with the lose of Fairley, Etheridge, Bynes, etc.

Auburn haven't played an SEC team yet. They just played a warm up game this week. They are very capable on beating any SEC team on any given day.

[firedawg]

the shamecocks will roll my dawgs.........

[k13]

Home Field is huge in the SEC.

Georgia was not really at home on the turf.

Oregon would be murdered even more in Death Valley.

[ronibrown]

[k13]

You cant just simply look at line movement. Did Auburn show you anything that makes you think they can compete verse a quality SC team? Yeah they put up points and came back late but it was Utah State at home. Miss State is a team on the rise, while Auburn is rebuilding this year. Even if they can score against SEC defenses, their own defense was pretty terrible last year and got worse with the lose of Fairley, Etheridge, Bynes, etc.

Hi.

[k13]

btw, Texas is not a trap anymore.