NFL/NCAAF Teasers

Santo · 07-09-08, 09:58 PM

Some teasers are profitable. The way you describe those ones, they likely aren't, but you'd have to do the math on the line combos you were betting to be certain.

SBR Lou · 07-09-08, 10:00 PM

Justin has the hookup with all the great teasers, but mainly I'd say look into the two team, 6pters that cross the 3&7..

A couple of books offer no juice on these as well.

EagesBets · 07-09-08, 10:00 PM

ehh, yeah i guess i musta just been hot. I mean i seriously won 20 grand in like 2 months.. it was disgusting, i couldnt miss...

rmcaj · 07-09-08, 10:05 PM

I had a great run with 3 team 10pt teasers about 2 football seasons ago. I was the same way, just couldn't miss one. This season I think I am going to go back to betting a lot of teasers, generally it takes a lot of stress off watching games because you have a nice amount of extra pts in your favor.

EagesBets · 07-09-08, 10:10 PM

Exactly, the only thing is pushes lose but thats why you haveto be smart with 1/2 lines in such (no push possible). I mean just think. You have Pats -13.5 against Buffalo... I'll take pats -3.5 all day... Or whatever.. thats just an example. If you go through all NCAAF/NFL games in one week with a fine tooth comb you can really find 3 pretty great plays...

Funny thing is... id say 20-30% (depending on the week) no matter which way you tease a game, both will cover... Example: over under 42.5 ... under 52.5 over 32.5 thats a 20 pt gap that you can win no matter how you slice it... or even the lines... previous example.. Pats -3.5 or Bills +23.5... check covers.com at past weeks. and you'll see. depending on the week of course. Some weeks its even crazier, half the games will win regardless of what you take

Marigold HD · 07-10-08, 01:14 AM

If any of you guys know a sportsbook which gives awesome teaser lines, let me know.......Ya, teasers are the best....But I have a problem finding a book which gives low juice lines....they're all -140 or -145. Thanks guys

durito · 07-16-08, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by EagesBets

Exactly, the only thing is pushes lose but thats why you haveto be smart with 1/2 lines in such (no push possible). I mean just think. You have Pats -13.5 against Buffalo... I'll take pats -3.5 all day... Or whatever.. thats just an example. If you go through all NCAAF/NFL games in one week with a fine tooth comb you can really find 3 pretty great plays...

Funny thing is... id say 20-30% (depending on the week) no matter which way you tease a game, both will cover... Example: over under 42.5 ... under 52.5 over 32.5 thats a 20 pt gap that you can win no matter how you slice it... or even the lines... previous example.. Pats -3.5 or Bills +23.5... check covers.com at past weeks. and you'll see. depending on the week of course. Some weeks its even crazier, half the games will win regardless of what you take

Teasing totals is not a winning strategy.

ABCIslands considers ties a win on 6,6.5,7.5, and 8 pt teasers.

FreeFall · 07-16-08, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by crazyl

Justin has the hookup with all the great teasers, but mainly I'd say look into the two team, 6pters that cross the 3&7..

A couple of books offer no juice on these as well.

I was hoping justin would write something up for us since NFL is coming up. But I'm sure hes a busy man.

SBR Lou · 07-16-08, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by FreeFall

I was hoping justin would write something up for us since NFL is coming up. But I'm sure hes a busy man.

He definitely is a busy man, but I know he does enjoy helping out those of us whom are less sharp, so I am sure we'll see a little schools in session on teases at some point.

Most sharp bettors aren't so loose with information, Justin is good in that regard so I'm sure we'll be able to pick his brain as the NFL year arrives.

Justin7 · 07-16-08, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by durito

Teasing totals is not a winning strategy.

There are actually some rare instances when totals are profitably teasable.

durito · 07-16-08, 04:25 PM

Originally posted by Justin7

There are actually some rare instances when totals are profitably teasable.

Interesting.

EagesBets · 07-16-08, 05:00 PM

Check out covers.com for the last couple years lines and outcomes. I'm telling you, alot more totals than you think will win regardless.. if you do a sweetheart tease (10 pts) ex... o/u 42... it'll go over 32 but under 52.. hence, win either way... Id say close to a third of games. I'm gonna look closer into when the season nears.

durito · 07-16-08, 05:11 PM

Originally posted by EagesBets

Check out covers.com for the last couple years lines and outcomes. I'm telling you, alot more totals than you think will win regardless.. if you do a sweetheart tease (10 pts) ex... o/u 42... it'll go over 32 but under 52.. hence, win either way... Id say close to a third of games. I'm gonna look closer into when the season nears.

I have NFL lines in my database back to 1978

HedgeHog · 07-16-08, 07:43 PM

Teasing thru the 3 and 7 is profitable in the NFL (Wong). I wonder if this hold true for Canadian Football, too.

durito · 07-16-08, 07:56 PM

Originally posted by HedgeHog

Teasing thru the 3 and 7 is profitable in the NFL (Wong). I wonder if this hold true for Canadian Football, too.

On the whole it doesn't. The single reduces the chances of landing on 3 or 7. However 3 is still the most probable MOV and there are some subsets of wong teasers that have been profitable -- though the sample size I have is rather small.

head_strong · 07-20-08, 04:39 AM

Tease it the same way your 7th grade girlfriend use to tease you. I'm all for teasers in NCAA

and NFL

. When carefully selected it can become very profitable....don't know what site you use but mine offers a 10pt 3team teaser parlay, and yes that is 10pts per team. 10pts is a lot in football.