September 17-18th 8 Team Parlay Guess how much it will pay???

Ice House · 08-29-11, 03:20 PM

okay will somebody just guess how much this will pay...

like say I put $100 bucks down... how much would it pay?

YorkHunt · 08-29-11, 03:23 PM

Good luck with that

brooks85 · 08-29-11, 03:25 PM

hmmm 8-1 be my guess

Ice House · 08-29-11, 03:25 PM

seems like a winner to me.... any chance this pays 10-1?

Ice House · 08-29-11, 03:25 PM

8-1 would be nice... I think I will do it.

buby74 · 08-29-11, 03:28 PM

My guess is 60-1
why are moneylines always released later than pointspreads??

Ice House · 08-29-11, 03:34 PM

Good question about the ML .... 60-1??? no way in hell...

60-1 if i was taking this same Parlay ATS.... but these are all favorites and some of these will be -500, -800 range i am assuming.

Ice House · 08-29-11, 03:36 PM

i feel like every team in this parlay is a trustworthy team....

Saints playing a good bears team but the Saints are nasty in the superdome. Oklahoma is #1 and they will not lose to FSU.

Packers are the only road NFL team I have in this and they are playing the Panthers who have a weak pass defense. Aaron Rodgers is going to have a field day.

buby74 · 08-29-11, 04:13 PM

Fair odds for an 8 team parley with pointspreads is 127-1 I assumed a 60% win prob for 60-1 if each team has a 70% chance the odds should be 16-1 but I don't think all of those teams are 70% favourites

FindTheLock · 08-29-11, 04:18 PM

ohio st is a very risky pick against the hurricanes. that game is in miami and both teams are down major players, but ohio st lost their head coach too.

Ice House · 08-30-11, 08:51 AM

Originally posted by FindTheLock

ohio st is a very risky pick against the hurricanes. that game is in miami and both teams are down major players, but ohio st lost their head coach too.

Anybody heard if Braxton Miller will be
Ohio States starting QB this year? I heard he is very similar to Pryor...

GoBlue23 · 08-30-11, 08:53 AM

Odds on an 8 team parlay typically pay around 100/1 in Vegas sportsbooks.

A good way to estimate the MLs for game sis to look at the current pointspreads for the teams you plan to bet on. Typically in NCAAF, home teams that are -14 pt favorites are usually around -500 on the moneyline. So a breakdown of your picks would look like this:

NCAAF
Florida is currently -7 vs Tenn. Based on this line UF ML would be around -300
Nebraska is currently +2.5 @ Wash. ML estimation = +120
Oklahoma is currently -2.5 at FSU. OU ML estimation = -150
Ohio State was +5 @ Miami (Last time I checked, may be down now...so conservatively we will call that a PK game. Even if the suspensions hold, the line will not move more than 5 pts in Ohio State's favor.) So Ohio State PK = ML -110

NFL is a bit more difficult becuas ethere are no lines out yet...but you'd be safe to asume that none of these teams will be favored by more than 14 except possibly New England. Assuming the highest lines, all 4 NFL MLs should average out at worst to -600.

Based on these lines this parlay would pay around 11/1. Obviously some of these posted lines could change but these numbers are very conservative. I'd bank on this paying a minimum of 11/1. Not bad at all. Good Luck, hope it hits for ya.

GoBlue23 · 08-30-11, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by Ice House

Anybody heard if Braxton Miller will be
Ohio States starting QB this year? I heard he is very similar to Pryor...

Depth chart was released yesterday with the #1 QB listed as Joe Bauserman OR Braxton Miller. Two different QBs, so a good strategic move not naming a starter. Makes it harder for the opponent to prepare (even though it is Akron). Indications out of camp are Basuerman will start, but Miller will see the field in specific packages. My guess would be Bauserman starts the first few games, then Miller takes over ful time midseason somtime (5th or 6th game maybe?). Your guess is as good as mine though.

brooks85 · 08-30-11, 09:53 AM

thankfully miller is nothing like pryor. Miller is a QB who is also an athlete, not an athlete who just plays the QB position.

BIGDAY · 08-30-11, 09:58 AM

Carefull with FSU @ home this year. I think they have a good shot at knocking a few top teams off imo.

GL

Ice House · 08-30-11, 10:16 AM

Originally posted by brooks85

thankfully miller is nothing like pryor. Miller is a QB who is also an athlete, not an athlete who just plays the QB position.

That is good to hear. I never thought much of Pryor as a QB but he was def
a leader and a playmaker. I don't think
Bauserman is very good though and i dont think he has a lot upside. Maybe he is smart and knows how to manage the game.

also i'm shocked that Ohio State is a under dog to Miami... who does Miami have?

Ice House · 08-30-11, 10:32 AM

and the Nebraska vs Washington game is @ Nebraska right? They are # 10 in nation.... go blue r u sure nebraska is under dog? i havent seen week 3 NCAA lines anywhere

BroDog73 · 08-30-11, 10:51 AM

Originally posted by Ice House

Anybody heard if Braxton Miller will be Ohio States starting QB this year? I heard he is very similar to Pryor...

They haven't said yet, but he will. He went to high school a few towns over from me and the kid is amazing. Pryor's athletic ability coupled with Peyton Manning's knowledge. Buckeye fans knew they were doomed once Pryor committed to OSU and gave his 1st interview. All the athletic ability in the world can't make you a good quarterback without a solid head on your shoulders. Give this Miller kid a yr or 2 and watch out!!!

Buckeyes will whack miami!

GoBlue23 · 08-30-11, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by Ice House

and the Nebraska vs Washington game is @ Nebraska right? They are # 10 in nation.... go blue r u sure nebraska is under dog? i havent seen week 3 NCAA lines anywhere

Yeah sorry man my bad. That's the Nebraska @ Wisconsin line

. since the game is at Nebraska the line will probably be around -14 -17. You should still get around 11/1 on the paraly though...I think my stated NFL odds are way high.

But yeah, there are lines up for a ton of games week 3 and beyond. They're called GOY lines. Idk if you are out in Vegas or not, but you can get these at the Hilton. I believe 5dimes offers lines like these too...but I haven't bet offshore since I moved out here last year. Sounds like you have an interest in Ohio State (based on your comment about the QB situation) so here are some "GOY" lines for them that may interest you...

10/8 Ohio St. @ Nebraska -9
10/29 Wisconsin -1 @ Ohio st.
11/19 Penn St. @ Ohio St. -3.5
11/26 Ohio St. -2 @ Michigan

BroDog73 · 08-30-11, 10:54 AM

I'm guessing 7 or 8 to 1 on your parlay. Lot of heavy favs. GL

305GURU · 08-30-11, 11:00 AM

#3
#4
#8
These games are tough imo BOL

Ice House · 08-30-11, 11:46 AM

[QUOTE=305GURU;11218221]#3
#4
#8
These games are tough imo BOL[/QUOTE

I will not give any ACC team respect until someone in that conference beats a quality team out of conference.

Is the Chargers defense good enough to stop Brady?

Other games i had was considering parlaying that weekend were
Jets ML vs Jaguars
Colts ML vs Browns

but the Browns beat some good teams last year and Peyton might not have his
"A" game early in the season.

Also I dont trust Jets offense... I could see the Jaguars sneaking away with a 13-10 type win if Sanchez turns the ball over and MJD has a good game

anybody see any games on the 17th or 18th that should be easy to predict a winner?

GoBlue23 · 08-30-11, 11:59 AM

Fade the Bengals

Ice House · 08-30-11, 03:13 PM

the Bengals play at Denver that weekend.... I think the Bengals have a decent chance of winning that one...

both teams are pretty bad

ttwarrior1 · 08-30-11, 04:16 PM

there all favs, people do these everyday,
bengals wont beat denver

Ice House · 08-31-11, 07:37 AM

ttwarrior... do you think my parlay will hit?

Ice House · 08-31-11, 07:39 AM

I have another parlay for week 1 NFL

Pittsburgh/ Baltimore Under 36.5
Eagles ML
Giants -3
Patriots ML

$150 to win $1150

If that hits I was thinking of putting the winnings back down on the parlay above....

Ice House · 08-31-11, 07:42 AM

I'm glad football is starting again but most of these college games this weekend are boring matchups and I can't even watch NFL pre-season

Ice House · 09-02-11, 07:08 AM

these college games this weekend suck except for the LSU vs Oregon game..... it's basically like the pre-season weekend for college

Ice House · 09-04-11, 10:49 AM

how good are the chargers this year?

RedSox88 · 09-04-11, 11:01 AM

ur throwing ur money away there will always be one upset and thats all it takes for you to lose... save your money and take one of these teams ATS for that $100, trust me this will not hit, it may be close, but your going to be on this thread the next day not bragging about all your won money but saying how close you came to winning... parlays are for squares especially huge ones.. let it go.. seems nice but its not that easy

Ice House · 09-05-11, 02:02 PM

thanks for the vote of confidence red sox nation! I don't care if I am a square or not all I care about is winning.

I hit a 16 team ML parlay this weekend in college football. I started this thread b/c I am curious how much this will pay out. Also I wanted to see anybody else has a game in mind on either September 17th or 18th that is sure winner on the ML. ..

cant call it · 09-05-11, 03:00 PM

Still risk IMO. I will say the 2 probably will not win, but gl if you take it.

Ice House · 09-05-11, 03:04 PM

thanks man , it always helps to have a little luck