Question for Durito, Nickaaay and other Value Futbol players

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  • statnerds
    SBR MVP
    • 09-23-09
    • 4047

    #1
    Question for Durito, Nickaaay and other Value Futbol players
    concerning Totals on Soccer matches

    Let's say Pinny and another to remain un-named Book has 2.5 Ov 114. What is your strike price, if another to remained un-named book has 2.5 Ov 108?

    And another example would be Pinny and this other book having 2.5 Under 104 while the other had 2.5 Under +102.

    I guess my question is how sharp are Pinny lines in relation to Soccer Totals and what would your strike price be? Would the above examples constitute a play?

    Any and all input welcome, except from you guys that don't know shit.

    Thanks
  • FreeFall
    SBR MVP
    • 02-20-08
    • 3365

    #2
    You can check the limits to find out how "sharp" or close the the actual % of the event occurring may actually be.

    You will also need to find the no-vig line to calculate your edge.

    Search if your friend.
    Comment
    • statnerds
      SBR MVP
      • 09-23-09
      • 4047

      #3
      Originally posted by FreeFall
      You will also need to find the no-vig line to calculate your edge.
      Aye, there's the rub.

      Do I calculate the no vig line by Pinny, or by the book that is 'off'? What if the 'off' book is actually the sharp one?

      What is a gambler to do...
      Comment
      • luegofuego
        SBR Hustler
        • 06-16-10
        • 96

        #4
        "the other book" is sharper
        Comment
        • Rich Boy
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-01-09
          • 9714

          #5
          I would think Betfair's lines are sharper than Pinny's when it comes to soccer.

          Calculate betfair's no vig win probabilities and lean on square books posting weak numbers
          Comment
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