How safe is Roger Federer tomorrow?

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    How safe is Roger Federer tomorrow?
    -1300 to -1800 depending the shop.

    Safin getting respect with this line IMO.

    Upset potential?
  • Broke Sport Guy
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-14-08
    • 152

    #2
    Lock
    Comment
    • mathdotcom
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-24-08
      • 11689

      #3
      Double lock
      Comment
      • accuscoresucks
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 11-03-07
        • 7160

        #4
        damn thats some heave chalk crazy
        Comment
        • SBR Lou
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-02-07
          • 37863

          #5
          Originally posted by accuscoresucks
          damn thats some heave chalk crazy
          I'm getting sick ideas in my head.

          It looks juicy to me.
          Comment
          • accuscoresucks
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-03-07
            • 7160

            #6
            Originally posted by crazyl
            I'm getting sick ideas in my head.

            It looks juicy to me.

            mabye sleep on this one crazy
            Comment
            • SBR Lou
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-02-07
              • 37863

              #7
              Originally posted by accuscoresucks
              mabye sleep on this one crazy
              He's won 64 matches in a row on grass and 39 at Wimbledon.
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #8
                Even if Safin comes with his best Federer will still win.He is just the best and this is his surface.
                Any value in a line that is above -1300, no.
                Federer will win the match, the only question is how many sets. If Safin can remain composed and play the tennis that he has played for most of this week then The match will be 4 sets. If Safin starts to get mad like he did in the first set of the Lopez match before the rain delay, Safin will lose in straight sets.
                I'm a big fan of Safin as well but gotta face reality here.
                Comment
                • bigboydan
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-10-05
                  • 55420

                  #9
                  Lets just say I'd lay it and leave it at that.
                  Comment
                  • SBR Lou
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-02-07
                    • 37863

                    #10
                    Originally posted by bigboydan
                    Lets just say I'd lay it and leave it at that.
                    Wow am I reading this right...

                    *falls out of chair*

                    Comment
                    • Stacocakes
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-10-08
                      • 7126

                      #11
                      You should be able to get that line at closer to -1100 if you look around. I would bet that yes
                      Comment
                      • accuscoresucks
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-03-07
                        • 7160

                        #12
                        i already hit 2 dogs today i couldnt imagine laying this chalk

                        bbd is in a whole diffrent arena of thinking
                        Comment
                        • SBR Lou
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 08-02-07
                          • 37863

                          #13
                          Originally posted by accuscoresucks
                          i already hit 2 dogs today i couldnt imagine laying this chalk

                          bbd is in a whole diffrent arena of thinking
                          Bro when is the last time you even heard BBD entertain the notion of betting something -160 let alone -1200.....

                          This play is about as good as it gets...
                          Comment
                          • accuscoresucks
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-03-07
                            • 7160

                            #14
                            well i remember him bettin a lakers -9

                            i gave a freindly notion of picking termintes out of his teeth with a toothpick
                            Comment
                            • betplom
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 09-20-06
                              • 13444

                              #15
                              Originally posted by crazyl
                              How safe is Roger Federer tomorrow?
                              It's unlikely he's in any danger. He's safe, I'm sure Wimbledon security has everything under control.
                              What did you think was/is going to happen to him? Obsessed fan?
                              Comment
                              • accuscoresucks
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-03-07
                                • 7160

                                #16
                                well if you dont bet that much shoot nothing to it but do it,go out and make it happen
                                Comment
                                • Wheell
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-11-07
                                  • 1380

                                  #17
                                  I give Roger about a 91% chance of winning. Safin has enough game to threaten Federer. Fed's advantage on the surface is his movement. -1100 is about right guys.
                                  Comment
                                  • SBR Lou
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-02-07
                                    • 37863

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Wheell
                                    I give Roger about a 91% chance of winning. Safin has enough game to threaten Federer. Fed's advantage on the surface is his movement. -1100 is about right guys.
                                    I think it has more to do with Safin's name to be honest. Take a guy similarly talented, his age etc, but that nobody has ever heard of and this is NOT -1100...
                                    Comment
                                    • picantel
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-17-05
                                      • 4338

                                      #19
                                      I put a little money on Safin +800 cause why the hell not.
                                      Comment
                                      • Wheell
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-11-07
                                        • 1380

                                        #20
                                        Crazy: Ok, I can ignore the name, but not the fact he has beaten big Fed in a big match before. Now, that was a while ago, but the fact is Safin has what can be referred to as "Big Game." He can hit winners against Federer and possibly force him into mistakes.

                                        However, without doing a stastical analysis how exactly would you you tell the difference between a -1400 and a -900 favorite? I look to solve the odds of each player winning any given point on their serve and go from there.
                                        Comment
                                        • rake922
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-23-07
                                          • 11692

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by picantel
                                          I put a little money on Safin +800 cause why the hell not.
                                          +1150 at matchbook.... That's not even close
                                          Comment
                                          • rake922
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-23-07
                                            • 11692

                                            #22
                                            ok i did it.... 158 to win 1817


                                            +1150 on matchbook
                                            Comment
                                            • darrell74
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 04-16-07
                                              • 14648

                                              #23
                                              betonline has Federer -2000. Should I go my whole bank roll for pesos.
                                              Comment
                                              • head_strong
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-02-08
                                                • 4318

                                                #24
                                                If I was to ever lay that much juice in any sport on anything this bet would be right up there, Fedex is the closest thing to unbeatable right now at Wimbledon. On sportsbetting I was looking at parlaying Federer & Nadal....$250 was going to pay $22. $10k only pays $880, it would suck to lose $10,000 chasing $880. Though that may be the closest thing you have seen to a lock in along time, I still can't justify it, I always tell myself crazier things have happened and will continue to happen. GL whichever way you decide to go.
                                                Comment
                                                • Stacocakes
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                  • 7126

                                                  #25
                                                  What is up with the tennis coverage?Do you guys have the williams sisters right now?Why aren't they showing the Fed match?I heard the Fed match won't be shown on tv for another two hours.Same problem happened with the Serena match yesterday.Why can't espnshow it live?
                                                  anyone else pull the trigger on Fed?Im on it
                                                  Lets do this
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                    • 7126

                                                    #26
                                                    Already a break in the first Safin service game. 2-0 Fed nice
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                      • 7126

                                                      #27
                                                      Fed takes the first set 6-3
                                                      His serve has been great so far
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                        • 7126

                                                        #28
                                                        Not good here...looks like a second set tiebreak probably
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stacocakes
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-10-08
                                                          • 7126

                                                          #29
                                                          Roger easily takes the tiebreak for a 2-0 sets lead
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mathdotcom
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 03-24-08
                                                            • 11689

                                                            #30
                                                            Staco

                                                            Gonna buy a nuke to send at TSN. Wanna split the cost?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mathdotcom
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-24-08
                                                              • 11689

                                                              #31
                                                              This is phucking bullshit. Where's the coverage?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dwaechte
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-27-07
                                                                • 5481

                                                                #32
                                                                Come on Feddy, I need straight sets.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stacocakes
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                                  • 7126

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I heard that they can't show the match due to legal reasons.The commentators can't even discuss what is happening.
                                                                  I think some other network is covering the match so espn (I believe that is who is showing what we are seeing now) can't show the match till its done.
                                                                  Does this mean though that during the nadal match we will be watching the fed match?I sure hope not.What a piss off this is
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SBR Lou
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 08-02-07
                                                                    • 37863

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Federer was extremely safe indeed.

                                                                    Straight set victory
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                                      • 7126

                                                                      #35
                                                                      GSM Fed
                                                                      Comment
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