My Plays for 8 - 17 - 11

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  • brahmabull117
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 11-08-10
    • 8622

    #1
    My Plays for 8 - 17 - 11
    I got the first one, I'm gonna try to get 2 or 3 more




    **Brewers - 201 Tomorrow (Greinke vs Eovaldi)**


    - Greinke is on a tremendous hot streak (Brewers have won 6 of his last 7 starts, he has lowered his era by almost 2 points his last 10 starts). He's right now pitching like a total ace



    - Eovaldi is a rookie. He posted very average numbers in the minors and never played past AA until his last 2 starts in the majors. He has had a couple good starts in the majors but some of that is luck (he's only given up 6 hits in 11 innings despite only having a 10-6 K to bb ratio, those numbers are very unlikely to continue)




    - Brewers are playing with tons and tons of confidence, they were able to win today without using Axford, Hawkins or K - Rod. That should be big if the game is close tomorrow




    - Brewers have won 76% of their homegames while the Dodgers are only 24-32 on the road




    I think the brewers have about a 3-1 chance of winning the game tomorrow and that gives you about a 10% edge on that 2-1 line so I'll play that everytime
  • ttwarrior1
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 06-23-09
    • 28479

    #2
    wow your really going out on a limb with that one

    brewers win
    Comment
    • brahmabull117
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 11-08-10
      • 8622

      #3
      Originally posted by ttwarrior1
      wow your really going out on a limb with that one brewers win


      sports gambling is about value...I'll take a -200 line with Greinke pitching at the peak of his game any day of the week
      Comment
      • Rich Boy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-01-09
        • 9714

        #4
        Good luck
        Comment
        • ACoochy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-19-09
          • 13949

          #5
          At least ur minimizing ur risk here....Cant play that much juice but Gl regardless....Just dont act like a tool if it wins otherwise (as always) mass forum burial will ensue...
          Comment
          • stikymess
            SBR MVP
            • 05-19-10
            • 3288

            #6
            Hey bull how much you end up today? You went 3-1 right?
            Comment
            • brahmabull117
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 11-08-10
              • 8622

              #7
              Originally posted by stikymess
              Hey bull how much you end up today? You went 3-1 right?

              4-1, I bet on the brewers series yesterday and it was graded today so I'll count it as today's play
              Comment
              • obamaismyuncle
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-31-08
                • 17801

                #8
                if you're gonna play that kind of juice July and August are good for it, try it in September and you'll get murdered..
                Comment
                • ACoochy
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-19-09
                  • 13949

                  #9
                  Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                  if you're gonna play that kind of juice July and August are good for it, try it in September and you'll get murdered..
                  Maybe my faith is misplaced here but i think he will get out b4 then...Then again seeing the way he behaves makes me think thats a pipe dream..
                  Comment
                  • ApricotSinner32
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-28-10
                    • 10648

                    #10
                    To the firelight!
                    Comment
                    • brahmabull117
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-08-10
                      • 8622

                      #11
                      Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                      if you're gonna play that kind of juice July and August are good for it, try it in September and you'll get murdered..

                      early september should be fine as long as teams still have something to play for


                      I'm gonna switch my focus to football in september anyways though
                      Comment
                      • JohnnyD4916
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-14-10
                        • 1572

                        #12
                        Goodluck
                        Comment
                        • downsouth
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-13-11
                          • 11580

                          #13
                          Good luck
                          Comment
                          • brahmabull117
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-08-10
                            • 8622

                            #14
                            **White Sox - 155**


                            - sox have owned cleveland this year and especially fausto carmona

                            - mark buerhle is on a terrific hot streak

                            - sox are playing great ball
                            Comment
                            • Bulldog-53
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-08-10
                              • 235

                              #15
                              Best wishes on your plays. I like the Under in the Dodgers/Brewers game as well.
                              Comment
                              • brahmabull117
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-08-10
                                • 8622

                                #16
                                I'm debating playing the yankees runline and maybe rangers moneyline as my last play
                                Comment
                                • brahmabull117
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-08-10
                                  • 8622

                                  #17
                                  edit: scratch that, the cubs game is a no play
                                  Comment
                                  • brahmabull117
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 11-08-10
                                    • 8622

                                    #18
                                    goddamn it, looks like it's gonna be 1-1. My first losing day in quite a while



                                    Comment
                                    • JohnnyD4916
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-14-10
                                      • 1572

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                      goddamn it, looks like it's gonna be 1-1. My first losing day in quite a while



                                      Well at least you didn't play the Yankees run line with those 2 bets
                                      Comment
                                      • ACoochy
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-19-09
                                        • 13949

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                        goddamn it, looks like it's gonna be 1-1. My first losing day in quite a while
                                        this is the problem when u play juice pal...
                                        Comment
                                        • brahmabull117
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 11-08-10
                                          • 8622

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ACoochy
                                          this is the problem when u play juice pal...

                                          in football and basketball, I almost never play any moneylines above - 150 (pretty much all my plays are spreads and totals)




                                          For me personally, I just have a lot of trouble finding any good plays below that - 120-150 mark in baseball (and you gotta do what you feel comfortable with)
                                          Comment
                                          • brahmabull117
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-08-10
                                            • 8622

                                            #22
                                            I ended up losing about 200 dollars today, my first losing day in 9 days



                                            oh well. I'm actually proud of myself for not playing the cubs or yankees game - I really wanted to play both games but thought better off it last second. In the past I would not have had the discipline to not play those 2 games
                                            Comment
                                            • GAMBLOR777
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-16-10
                                              • 1463

                                              #23
                                              you suck

                                              it's all downhill from here for you
                                              Comment
                                              • Powderguy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-18-09
                                                • 6939

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by GAMBLOR777
                                                you suck

                                                it's all downhill from here for you
                                                Comment
                                                • kerrywoodwins20
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 07-06-11
                                                  • 1415

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by brahmabull117
                                                  I ended up losing about 200 dollars today, my first losing day in 9 days



                                                  oh well. I'm actually proud of myself for not playing the cubs or yankees game - I really wanted to play both games but thought better off it last second. In the past I would not have had the discipline to not play those 2 games
                                                  The reason you aren't a good capper is because I can pretty much predict what you are going to play on any given day.

                                                  I guarantee you will be slobbing the knob of the Yankees at -200 today. I don't see any other massive favorites, so that might be your only play.
                                                  Comment
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