will the new rule of kicking off at the 40 yard line affect the TOTALS?
Should be more touchbacks with this new rule. Any thoughts?
Iced
SBR MVP
01-04-11
1614
#2
Yep. The average total should be a point or two less than last year. There's still no edge though, as the books have already taken it into account.
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Illusion
Restricted User
08-09-05
25166
#3
Thought they were kicking from the 35???
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Rich Boy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-09
9714
#4
Originally posted by Illusion
Thought they were kicking from the 35???
Pretty sure it is
Anyone know the rule on kick out of bounds penalty, still kickoff at the 40?
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DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
103413
#5
OMFG what an idiot. Yes its the 35 yard line. Too much tequila is my only defense.. Sorry
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KKoz9
SBR MVP
09-07-06
1982
#6
moved back to the 35 as it used be...was at 30 yd line last year
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#7
It will not affect the totals. You think it does because the offenses will start deeper in their own territory, but that is only one side of the story. The other is that if defenses can stop offenses early in their drives they will have great field position to score.
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DwightShrute
SBR Aristocracy
01-17-09
103413
#8
Originally posted by TwoWays
It will not affect the totals. You think it does because the offenses will start deeper in their own territory, but that is only one side of the story. The other is that if defenses can stop offenses early in their drives they will have great field position to score.
you could be right and likely are. But I wonder if the line's makers will agree? I guess we will see week one.
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tblues2005
SBR Hall of Famer
07-30-06
9235
#9
I think there will be more touch backs without a doubt. That will hurt teams like the Bears which depend on special teams.
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Rich Boy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-09
9714
#10
It will lower totals drastically
No more fumbles to give the other team good field position
No more returns for TD's or returns for 40+ yards
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topgame85
SBR Posting Legend
03-30-08
12325
#11
Originally posted by TwoWays
It will not affect the totals. You think it does because the offenses will start deeper in their own territory, but that is only one side of the story. The other is that if defenses can stop offenses early in their drives they will have great field position to score.
This will not even make up for 1/10th of the scoring special teams accounted for.........
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icancount2one
SBR MVP
01-05-10
1507
#12
I'm sure books will already have it accounted for, but you might factor this in if you're looking at props for team defense or anything. This is going to help teams with really good kickers, but the fact that teams can no longer get more than a five yard running start means this is going to be almost irrelevant. Starting field position might move back 2-3 yards on average but that's not that big a deal.
Walter forgot... when you're desperate's when you got no choice.
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bobbyk1133
SBR MVP
08-05-10
2245
#13
The kickoff rule will affect sides as well. Many teams (eg CHI) benefited from favorable field position and SUCKED from points from long drives. Drive points will be especially important this season....
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ttwarrior1
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
06-23-09
28460
#14
listen folks there are very few return td's
Devin hester complaining about it. Do you know how many kick return td he had last year???
Thats right 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 0000000000
That cleveland returner, 0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 0
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thezbar
SBR Hall of Famer
08-29-06
6422
#15
On the surface I'd say it will lower the overall total average. Yet there are some good points in this thread that could off sets that. Time will tell. Value may be on the overs in certain situations.
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Thunder Gulch
SBR Wise Guy
08-30-10
996
#16
If it does, Vegas will be in front of it before any of us. I remember when they started rolling the clock after an out of bounds play and there was no edge to be had in very short order.
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dom75
SBR Wise Guy
10-11-10
779
#17
I don't see the new rule affecting the totals, or game period. I think most teams will make the needed adjustments during to preseason to where the kicker can constantly kick the ball between the 5 and goalline.
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TwoWays
SBR Posting Legend
03-24-10
13145
#18
Well how has this rule affected the totals in this preseason thus far. I'd say just about over half the games were over the total in week one. And the average totals this preseason compared to last season were similar.