What's your Long Shot Super Bowl Pick/Future bet?

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  • Dark Horse
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-14-05
    • 13764

    #71
    Originally posted by BarkingToad
    You said the same thing last year about them. Why is this year different? Are the players replacing Hightower, DRC, and Breaston better than they were? Betting your home team doesn't mean it's a good bet.

    Last year, after visiting training camp, I did have a positive impression of Max Hall. That is true. So did their coaching staff. The result is well known. Complete QB mess and a season down the drain. Of course I had no idea at the time that they would get rid of Leinart during preseason...

    This time I had no opinion until I looked at their SOS. Weakest in the NFL. Just compare the +3500 to the other teams in their division. I don't recall this type of value in connection with the Cards since their playoff run to the Superbowl, when it was very profitable to know the team better than the public. That was the only time I was consistently on the Cards, while the great majority here faded them each playoff game. So it can pay to know more about your home team. Anyway, losing a +3500 future wouldn't be the worst thing in the world, would it?

    Clayton wrote an article about the Cards some days ago. It will tell you a little more. He sees at least 8 wins.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #72
      Originally posted by BarkingToad
      You said the same thing last year about them. Why is this year different? Are the players replacing Hightower, DRC, and Breaston better than they were? Betting your home team doesn't mean it's a good bet.
      Simple, they have a quarterback now.

      I still think Rams win division, but can't knock Cardinals at that price.
      Comment
      • slacker00
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-06-05
        • 12262

        #73
        Originally posted by Dark Horse
        Forget the Superbowl. Long shot Cards to win NFC +3500. All they have to do is win their weak division. After that (2 or 3 games to the NFC championship) you should have plenty of room for a profitable arb. Cards have the softest schedule of all teams. They start out against two bad teams, and should be able to win their last four games quite easily, which would also give them plenty of momentum going into the playoffs. They'll have some bad games for sure, but they can definitely win their division.
        I like this one. Granted, it'll take some work from Kolb, who is unproven. But given their schedule, that division and those long odds, it adds up to a nice bet.
        Comment
        • Grosshhit
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-10-09
          • 673

          #74
          Originally posted by HilltopTony
          Cleveland Browns in the Super Bowl
          Comment
          • k13
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-16-10
            • 18130

            #75
            Vikings now 90-1
            Chiefs now 66-1
            Niners now 60-1
            Rams now 66-1

            Those are some good odds compared to what everyone else has right now.
            Comment
            • k13
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-16-10
              • 18130

              #76
              Colts now +2550 for those that like them.
              Comment
              • Richkas
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-03-08
                • 19396

                #77
                Watch out boys.....the Rams are deep....they are maybe a little thin at CB.....but deep and I mean deep everywhere else
                Comment
                • slacker00
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-06-05
                  • 12262

                  #78
                  Originally posted by k13
                  Vikings now 90-1
                  Those are sweet odds for a team only 19 months removed from barely losing to the Saints in the NFC championship. Also, I'll take a 35 year old McNabb over a 40 year old Favre, so the QB position might actually be an upgrade. I know there's questions about guys like Hutch, etc. But there are enough quality players on this team to make this an interesting bet going forward.


                  The story about the Colts odds climbing is probably directly linked to the news about Peyton's injury situation.
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18130

                    #79
                    No one cares about the Chiefs anymore 80-1.....

                    Vikings line dropping

                    I think the Broncos at 165-1 are worth a small shot
                    Comment
                    • Glitch
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-08-09
                      • 11795

                      #80
                      Originally posted by k13

                      I think the Broncos at 165-1 are worth a small shot
                      they quietly have a nice receiver corps with lloyd, royal and decker (minnesota)
                      Comment
                      • k13
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-16-10
                        • 18130

                        #81
                        Falcons +2600
                        Giants +7000
                        Tampa +7500
                        Colts +10000
                        Rams +10000
                        Chiefs +28500

                        Some big changes.
                        Comment
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