We like the SF Giants -115 over the FLA Marlins here tonight. Matt Cain will be on the mound for the Giants tonight and he's 9-8 with a 3.00 ERA on the year, and 4-3 with a 3.09 ERA on the road. The Giants are 4-1 in their last 5 games in Florida, and 4-1 in their last 5 games vs Florida with Matt Cain on the bump (6-2 overall vs FLA). Note that Matt Cain loves pitching in the early games where he has a 2.13 ERA and a low 1.03 WHIP. Playing a 7 O'clock game in Florida is like playing a 4 O'clock on the west coast. Perhaps that's why the Giants are 17-7 in Cains last 24 starts vs the NL East. Ricky Nolasco gets the call for the Marlins. He's 8-8 with a 3.86 ERA on the year but only 2-5 with a 4.02 ERA at home. He beat the Giants in San Francisco back in May, in his lone starts against them this year. However the Marlins are 0-2 vs the Giants in Nolascos 2 career starts vs them at home. The Marlins are 6-16 in their last 22 during game 1 of a series, 1-6 in Nolascos last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record, and 0-6 in Nolascos last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. While the Giants are 10-4 in Cains last 14 starts game 1 starts in a series, 13-4 in Cains last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and 11-5 in Cains last 16 road starts overall. This is a good price for the much better team, Giants -115. Thank You and Good Luck!
MLB SF Giants at FLA Marlins
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