Monday night Arena lean

[Justin7]

2 more months before real football begins. Until then, you have Arena playoffs the next 3 weeks plus tonight.

I like Grand Rapids/Arizona under 119. Grand Rapids might put up 80, or maybe just 50. But Smoker (Ari's QB) sucks. His lifelong QB rating is just 99, and 93 this year at Arizona. Grand Rapids has found a QB in MacPherson (not to be confused with McPherson). He has managed a passer rating of 119.

I expect Grand Rapids to score. I expect Arizona to struggle under Smoker (and perhaps give up 1-2 Pick-6s or fumble returns for TDs).

I'm on the under.

Why aren't I advocating playing Grand Rapids? I played both sides. I ended up with a huge position on Grand Rapids, so I had to play Arizona to make it flatter (and hence the line is now -1.5).

I love Grand Rapids at +1.5, but I won't give them out as a play, since I just sold some off, and that would appear dishonest.

[ArenaPlaya]

What do you think about Cleveland?

[SexyMit]

Is it a play of yours the under a strong play or just a lean Justin?

[ArenaPlaya]

Played Cleveland at -4.....Am I doomed?

[SexyMit]

I know nothing about Arena but I have been following Justin and he seems to know his stuff.

[Justin7]

Any quick thoughts on Cleveland winning?

I like Cleveland. I played them at -2.5, and still like them a little at 4.5.

[ArenaPlaya]

wheew glad to hear this

[Justin7]

Is it a play of yours the under a strong play or just a lean Justin?

It's a normal play, but not the 57% lock-board variety.

[frostno98]

I got Cleveland as well as the final 2nd leg to my par 2, really need this one too. Plus favorites have to cover someday right?

[SexyMit]

2 more months before real football begins. Until then, you have Arena playoffs the next 3 weeks plus tonight.

I like Grand Rapids/Arizona under 119. Grand Rapids might put up 80, or maybe just 50. But Smoker (Ari's QB) sucks. His lifelong QB rating is just 99, and 93 this year at Arizona. Grand Rapids has found a QB in MacPherson (not to be confused with McPherson). He has managed a passer rating of 119.

I expect Grand Rapids to score. I expect Arizona to struggle under Smoker (and perhaps give up 1-2 Pick-6s or fumble returns for TDs).

I'm on the under.

Why aren't I advocating playing Grand Rapids? I played both sides. I ended up with a huge position on Grand Rapids, so I had to play Arizona to make it flatter (and hence the line is now -1.5).

I love Grand Rapids at +1.5, but I won't give them out as a play, since I just sold some off, and that would appear dishonest.

You say grand rapids +2. Is that one stronger than the under? I am looking for a play this evening.

[Justin7]

I like GRR Pk +115 better than GRR +2 -110.

[ArenaPlaya]

Cleveland D a lil soft to start but long ways to go

[pico]

gl, justin

[Wilforth]

I tailed someone's play and played the Gladiators -4.5. It appears the bet is doomed even before the last quarter. What do you guys think?

[ArenaPlaya]

Cleveland

[frostno98]

I tailed someone's play and played the Gladiators -4.5. It appears the bet is doomed even before the last quarter. What do you guys think?

You might be correct. So far, every favorites that dominated that same team during the regular season are getting their @sses handed to them for some reason. Gotta be bought, I can't come up with any other conclusion.

[Wilforth]

You might be correct. So far, every favorites that dominated that same team during the regular season are getting their @sses handed to them for some reason. Gotta be bought, I can't come up with any other conclusion.

Thanks for putting the matter to rest. I'm now rest assured I've lost the CLE bet rather than waiting till the last quarter to confirm the loss.

[ArenaPlaya]

Cleveland

[SexyMit]

Justin stop pounding the Rampage line so I can get a better number.... lol

[ArenaPlaya]

Cleveland

[frostno98]

Wow, they were only like 10 yards from the endzone and Cleveland didn't attempted to do a completion or score

[Justin7]

Wow, they were only like 10 yards from the endzone and Cleveland didn't attempted to do a completion or score

The goal is to win, not cover.

With 1st down and 20 seconds to go, you can blow the whole clock pretty easily, guaranteeing the win.

As I said, I has Cleveland at -2.5, but didn't recommend them at -4.

This is yet another example of when the good number wins, and the chasers lose. If I were a service and gave out Cleveland, all the followers would be screwed. If this happens 1/20th of the time, followers will go bankrupt in the long term. If you want to make money, you have to do your own work, and bet before the line moves.

[frostno98]

Yeah, Arena kinda reminds me of the NFL, lines are like razor sharp now.

[Justin7]

Yeah, Arena kinda reminds me of the NFL, lines are like razor sharp now.

The playoff lines are better, but the openers are still soft. NFL is a whole different kind of monster.

[frostno98]

Nice call on the under, I took the Rapids instead, since you said smoker sux.

[Justin7]

Glad you made a little $$$.

I'm working on a CFL monstrosity. I have demolished all sorts of football with computer models for years. The only issue is: how do I share CFL picks without 1. screwing myself, and 2. screwing followers that will take bad numbers.