Tennis Play for Friday morning

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  • SBR Lou
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-02-07
    • 37863

    #1
    Tennis Play for Friday morning
    Ana Ivanovic -670
    vs Jie Zheng

    *STRONG PLAY*

    To win 2 units.

    Got to go with the girl in a straight set victory here. She just has too many weapons and she will not answer her sloppy play last round with another similarly bad game.

    Advised parlay if you wish- Ivanovic, Ferrer (he is -130). Ana is the best bet tomorrow morning in womens hands down. Her scare last game seems to have done wonders for this line.
  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #2
    What times this go off Crazy?
    Comment
    • DacBietViet
      SBR MVP
      • 12-26-07
      • 3257

      #3
      how strong you feel about ferrer tomorrow? both have been playing well on grass
      Comment
      • Wheell
        SBR MVP
        • 01-11-07
        • 1380

        #4
        I played Pavlyuchenkova +437. I'm not going to mince words here: -670 on Ivanovic vs Zheng is a negative EV play. You probably will win(aka, get away with it), but Ivanovic is not a great grass player. You probaly win in straight sets, but I wouldn't want to see you lose 13.4 units here.
        Comment
        • woodg8
          SBR MVP
          • 06-21-08
          • 1349

          #5
          Originally posted by Wheell
          I played Pavlyuchenkova +437. I'm not going to mince words here: -670 on Ivanovic vs Zheng is a negative EV play. You probably will win(aka, get away with it), but Ivanovic is not a great grass player. You probaly win in straight sets, but I wouldn't want to see you lose 13.4 units here.
          Yeah, it's a lot of risk for such little gain. Good luck, but i'd stay away from that. It's upset material.

          I think Ferrer is good value at 1.9 against Ancic. He beat him in straight sets at Ordina last week, and hasn't had much trouble getting through so far.

          I also fancy Rodina to get an upset against Chakvetadze. She's at 4.3 right now (that's +330) and she'll give Anna a run for her money.
          Comment
          • pico
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 04-05-07
            • 27321

            #6
            federer -7500
            Comment
            • Stacocakes
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-10-08
              • 7126

              #7
              Vaidasova has a nice rack
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #8
                How does Stepanek get all of these tennis girls?He is an ugly ****
                Comment
                • Stacocakes
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-10-08
                  • 7126

                  #9
                  some light drizzle right now
                  Comment
                  • Stacocakes
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-10-08
                    • 7126

                    #10
                    play suspended
                    Gotta love commentators at the start of the day "Cloudy but no chance of rain"
                    Comment
                    • Stacocakes
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-10-08
                      • 7126

                      #11
                      Gives me some time to get some macdonalds now
                      Comment
                      • ZXCVBNM123
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 06-12-08
                        • 188

                        #12
                        I hate rain during tennis tournaments but it gives me time to think for this one.

                        Baghdatis/Ivanovic/Radwanska parlay at about -145? Baghdatis and Ivanovic are playing no names, and Radwanska is playing a former junior champ that's on a good cinderella run, but Rad. is undefeated on grass this year, 6-0.

                        Then all the other potential upsets like Safin/Seppi, Lopez/Reynolds, and who knows about Ferrer/Ancic (big lean towards Ferrer, he's 2-0 head to head and Ancic struggled in 5 against someone named Petzschner).
                        Comment
                        • Stacocakes
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-10-08
                          • 7126

                          #13
                          rain has stopped
                          Comment
                          • Stacocakes
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-10-08
                            • 7126

                            #14
                            Always be weary of Baghdatis.He hasn't been playing well all year and has been known to have some very bad losses.I have backed him before and been burnt many times.Wouldn't lay anything over -150 with him
                            Comment
                            • Stacocakes
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-10-08
                              • 7126

                              #15
                              Rain back on again now.What the hell are degenerates supposed to do now.
                              I don't want to go to bed because then they will start play and I will sleep through it
                              Comment
                              • SBR Lou
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-02-07
                                • 37863

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Wheell
                                I'm not going to mince words here: -670 on Ivanovic vs Zheng is a negative EV play. You probably will win(aka, get away with it), but Ivanovic is not a great grass player. You probaly win in straight sets, but I wouldn't want to see you lose 13.4 units here.
                                I don't really consider it a negative EV play at this price. Say what you will of her game on grass (I think her power can mesh quite nicely with it when she's on her game), but she's in another class on it than her opponent and her weaponry also favors her higher than the odds here suggest. Had she steamrolled last match, I honestly feel these odds are somewhat higher so I'll take my chances in this situation.

                                Good luck today....
                                Comment
                                • fiveteamer
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-08
                                  • 10805

                                  #17
                                  crazyl, post the times when these matches are going off maayyyyynnn.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wheell
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-11-07
                                    • 1380

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by crazyl
                                    I don't really consider it a negative EV play at this price. Say what you will of her game on grass (I think her power can mesh quite nicely with it when she's on her game), but she's in another class on it than her opponent and her weaponry also favors her higher than the odds here suggest. Had she steamrolled last match, I honestly feel these odds are somewhat higher so I'll take my chances in this situation.

                                    Good luck today....
                                    If the play isn't negative EV at -670 then you should pound it now at -570 (or better) that is available. Again, you probably get away with it.

                                    GL
                                    Comment
                                    • Shark79
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-19-07
                                      • 11211

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by crazyl
                                      Ana Ivanovic -670
                                      vs Jie Zheng

                                      *STRONG PLAY*

                                      To win 2 units.

                                      Got to go with the girl in a straight set victory here. She just has too many weapons and she will not answer her sloppy play last round with another similarly bad game.

                                      Advised parlay if you wish- Ivanovic, Ferrer (he is -130). Ana is the best bet tomorrow morning in womens hands down. Her scare last game seems to have done wonders for this line.


                                      Crazy I spoke to her yesterday ... shes in great shape ... GL buddy!!
                                      Comment
                                      • SBR Lou
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-02-07
                                        • 37863

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by fiveteamer
                                        crazyl, post the times when these matches are going off maayyyyynnn.
                                        Only reason I didn't is because I figured it may get delayed, which it did, to 12:30PM EST.

                                        Ferrer goes off at 1:30EST.
                                        Comment
                                        • SBR Lou
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 08-02-07
                                          • 37863

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Shark79
                                          Crazy I spoke to her yesterday ... shes in great shape ... GL buddy!!
                                          I'm taking you outta my fave 5.
                                          Comment
                                          • betplom
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-20-06
                                            • 13444

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by SlickFazzer
                                            What times this go off Crazy?


                                            Click on the link: Launch SlamTracker on the Wimbledon page for live scores.
                                            Comment
                                            • Shark79
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-19-07
                                              • 11211

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by crazyl
                                              I'm taking you outta my fave 5.
                                              - -
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #24
                                                Anyone jumping on serena williams?I heard mauresmo is injured and will have a hard time playing this match.Pulled out of her doubles match already
                                                Comment
                                                • SBR Lou
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 08-02-07
                                                  • 37863

                                                  #25
                                                  Shark, don't buy into the hype.. This Chinese girl is going to be a whipping rod, Ana doesn't have two shaky games in a row anymore.. She is also mentally tough enough now to overcome adversity as it happens.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shark79
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-19-07
                                                    • 11211

                                                    #26
                                                    No plays today in tennis Crazy.

                                                    Im gonna wait for the weekend to start pounding the favs ... I dont see anyone rising to the plate and fading a fav after today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • pavyracer
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 04-12-07
                                                      • 82862

                                                      #27
                                                      Good luck crazyl. Too much chalk for me to risk.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DacBietViet
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-26-07
                                                        • 3257

                                                        #28
                                                        serena is an idiot. this girl is gonna blow my parlay off
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SBR Lou
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 08-02-07
                                                          • 37863

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DacBietViet
                                                          serena is an idiot. this girl is gonna blow my parlay off
                                                          How? It's on normal pace after some exchanged breaking. Not like you're trailing.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DacBietViet
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-26-07
                                                            • 3257

                                                            #30
                                                            about to trail. this stupid mofo
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SBR Lou
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 08-02-07
                                                              • 37863

                                                              #31
                                                              Pinny just got SMACKED.......

                                                              Ana now -700
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DacBietViet
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-26-07
                                                                • 3257

                                                                #32
                                                                how is that chinese girl betting her. upset in the making>?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Shark79
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 11-19-07
                                                                  • 11211

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The whole China population is on her.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • pavyracer
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-12-07
                                                                    • 82862

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Zheng is hitting lights out!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Wow dude. This is why you never take ANY match at greater than -200 in my opinion. Still got time to get back in it, but ick. I'm rotting for Ana, need a hottie to keep watching!
                                                                      Comment
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