52.38% sounds so easy, yet so hard...

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  • SlickFazzer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-22-08
    • 20209

    #1
    52.38% sounds so easy, yet so hard...
    The break even point for point spreads at -110.

    Win 54, 55 of every 100 games and you show a profit.

    Sounds easy.....but yet so difficult...
  • freeVICK
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-21-08
    • 7114

    #2
    never heard of anyone going broke from betting only dogs
    Comment
    • SBR Lou
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-02-07
      • 37863

      #3
      It is very difficult if you are running bad.
      Comment
      • trytrytry
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-13-06
        • 23659

        #4
        -105 is needed and exchanges and slow moving books...with those its really not that hard to win something.. of course you also need a book that pays! toss in a bonus, toss in player points winning can be done...
        Comment
        • rake922
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-23-07
          • 11692

          #5
          just bet against the nationals
          Comment
          • Nicky Santoro
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-08-08
            • 16103

            #6
            slicker, you dont have to win 52.38% if you play at matchy. most games that are -110 are +103, or +102, or +106, or even.. some at -101, or -102..


            just play at matchy and you will go from having to win 52.38%, to only having to win 50% to win money..


            If you could pick the right side more than half the time, you will retire.
            Comment
            • ManOfValue
              SBR MVP
              • 02-29-08
              • 1437

              #7
              Originally posted by rake922
              just bet against the nationals
              LOL... Seems like its the only charge that does not go up, looks around everything else is..
              Comment
              • TheLock
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 04-06-08
                • 14427

                #8
                Originally posted by rake922
                just bet against the nationals

                Comment
                • rake922
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-23-07
                  • 11692

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Nicky Santauro
                  slicker, you dont have to win 52.38% if you play at matchy. most games that are -110 are +103, or +102, or +106, or even.. some at -101, or -102..


                  just play at matchy and you will go from having to win 52.38%, to only having to win 50% to win money..


                  If you could pick the right side more than half the time, you will retire.
                  you can say it every day and people still don't do it.......

                  I saved about 100 bucks today getting beneficial lines I wouldn't get elsewhere...


                  At matchbook I got under 8.5 in Dbacks game with a price of +115 ... The same bet was +100 at two other books.
                  Comment
                  • SBR Lou
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-02-07
                    • 37863

                    #10
                    That's because Rake is sharper than a razors edge?
                    Comment
                    • Nicky Santoro
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 04-08-08
                      • 16103

                      #11
                      rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


                      i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


                      that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


                      what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)
                      Comment
                      • Wheell
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-11-07
                        • 1380

                        #12
                        Line shopping obviously lowers the vig. Access to Matchbook and Pinnacle lowers the vig. The issue is the sharpness of the lines. I can offer -101 on both sides of a true 50-50 event. If the lines are sharp it is very difficult to make much money and pick a lot of winners.

                        Thank goodness the lines are soft enough to keep everyone who posts on this board in a life of leisure.
                        Comment
                        • rake922
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-23-07
                          • 11692

                          #13
                          Wheell what books do you use
                          Comment
                          • durito
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 07-03-06
                            • 13173

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                            rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


                            i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


                            that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


                            what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)

                            Comment
                            • Chi_archie
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-22-08
                              • 63172

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Nicky Santoro
                              rakey, last year, i made 14,000 dollars. i know it's not much... wasn't a great year. but i looked at my books last year and saw that i laid an avg of -101, and with the amount of games i bet, i saw that had i played into a 20 cent line, instead of winning 14,000, i would have lost 134,000...


                              i saved 150 dimes by playing at matchy. had i lost 150k, i would not be here right now posting..


                              that's true btw.. i am not making any of this up..


                              what is everyone waiting for here. (JJGOLD)

                              WOW a 148k differential? unreal
                              Comment
                              • lakerboy
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 94383

                                #16
                                im at 80%
                                Comment
                                • durito
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-03-06
                                  • 13173

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                  im at 80%
                                  at -1000 odds maybe
                                  Comment
                                  • lakerboy
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 04-02-09
                                    • 94383

                                    #18
                                    no im serious durito i make wise wagers
                                    Comment
                                    • durito
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-03-06
                                      • 13173

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                      no im serious durito i make wise wagers
                                      Would you care to take Durito's challenge then?
                                      Comment
                                      • lakerboy
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-02-09
                                        • 94383

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by durito
                                        Would you care to take Durito's challenge then?
                                        what is it?
                                        Comment
                                        • durito
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-03-06
                                          • 13173

                                          #21
                                          I'll give you +400 odds you can't hit 80% or better over your next 50 or 100 wagers. You can lay up to -140. You can use any book on sbrlines.

                                          I will take any amount you wish to wager on said bet.
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerboy
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-02-09
                                            • 94383

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by durito
                                            I'll give you +400 odds you can't hit 80% or better over your next 50 or 100 wagers. You can lay up to -140. You can use any book on sbrlines.

                                            I will take any amount you wish to wager on said bet.

                                            i dont bet online i have a local
                                            Comment
                                            • durito
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-03-06
                                              • 13173

                                              #23
                                              What exactly does this have to do with my challenge?
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94383

                                                #24
                                                i only bet nba and nfl remember durito so when the nfl season starts i will take you up cool
                                                Comment
                                                • durito
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-03-06
                                                  • 13173

                                                  #25
                                                  even better lol

                                                  even nickay needs to see this
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lakerboy
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                    • 94383

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by durito
                                                    even better lol

                                                    even nickay needs to see this
                                                    laugh now but i will laugh last
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Matt Rain
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-13-07
                                                      • 5001

                                                      #27
                                                      lakerboy is special, I can feel it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • durito
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-03-06
                                                        • 13173

                                                        #28
                                                        No one wins Durito's challenges, except me of course. The odds are absurdly against you. This one, however, would be even greater than any before.

                                                        Even Robzilla only claimed he could hit 70%.

                                                        You do realize right, that if you can hit 54% combined with competent risk management, to borrow from RickySteve, you'll soon be shopping for yachts.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mmike032
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-08
                                                          • 8905

                                                          #29
                                                          wow another 80%er
                                                          and another to go down in flames
                                                          Comment
                                                          • lakerboy
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 04-02-09
                                                            • 94383

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by durito
                                                            No one wins Durito's challenges, except me of course. The odds are absurdly against you. This one, however, would be even greater than any before.

                                                            Even Robzilla only claimed he could hit 70%.

                                                            robzilla is a loser. my bookie hates me he only let me keep playing in the nba finals cause i got him more guys otherwise he was threatening to cut me off. i made over 67k in nba this playoffs alone- he called my run unprecedented- i went 12-3 in the finals alone
                                                            Comment
                                                            • durito
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-03-06
                                                              • 13173

                                                              #31
                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94383

                                                                #32
                                                                its okay you dont have to believe me my family cant figure out why the business is doing so well in this recession either
                                                                Comment
                                                                • durito
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-03-06
                                                                  • 13173

                                                                  #33
                                                                  So, Let's make it a bet on the NFL season.

                                                                  $100,000. Post up at matchbook.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94383

                                                                    #34
                                                                    no online- when the season starts i will start a thread and post my picks and when it ends we will see what my record is
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • durito
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-03-06
                                                                      • 13173

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Great, but I'm not betting unless you post up. Unless you want to do it for $100.
                                                                      Comment
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