Umm 5dimes has Chez Reavie @+754 to win PGA Deere Classic

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  • lemart5
    SBR MVP
    • 01-12-11
    • 2818

    #1
    Umm 5dimes has Chez Reavie @+754 to win PGA Deere Classic
    Guy is leading this tourney and you place those kind of odds on him this is atleast worth it.
  • Br0nxer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-25-11
    • 13665

    #2
    after round 2 pga win tournament bets are one of the hardest bets to win

    way too unpredictable

    guy probably wont even finish in top 10

    its a sucker bet

    -EV big time
    Comment
    • doublej95
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-26-10
      • 14094

      #3
      Originally posted by Br0nxer
      after round 2 pga win tournament bets are one of the hardest bets to win

      way too unpredictable

      guy probably wont even finish in top 10

      its a sucker bet

      -EV big time



      Comment
      • Glitch
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-08-09
        • 11795

        #4
        only up 2 strokes if anyones wondering.
        Comment
        • FindTheLock
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-27-10
          • 7194

          #5
          betting on a winner in a field of many is not a wise bet. Nascar and golf are not good things to bet on in my opinion, unless you do the head to head props.
          Comment
          • dzzznutz
            SBR Sharp
            • 06-08-11
            • 469

            #6
            no way this clown wins
            Comment
            • Roxxyfish
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-26-09
              • 12066

              #7
              Book it the winner of this tourney will be Brendon de Jonge, he will get his long deserved victory
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #8
                can't believe all the bashing on this pick.
                i think taylor is right, reavie has a better than 1 in 8.5 chance of winning the tournament, this course is so easy he could easily shoot 64 64 today/tomorrow and nobody would catch that.

                not saying he's going to win, but i think there's some value in the leader at 7.5-1, and you can hedge it with a side bet on a matchup against him today and tomorrow.
                Comment
                • milwaukee mike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-22-07
                  • 26914

                  #9
                  2 wisconsin guys, stricker and wilson, are lurking though...
                  Comment
                  • dzzznutz
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 06-08-11
                    • 469

                    #10
                    stricker owns these type of tournaments, ones that dont matter, i wanted to bet him on wednesday stoopid, always the bets you dont make stricker by 2 strokes
                    Comment
                    • raydog
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 11-07-07
                      • 6984

                      #11
                      mike, a lot of guys have absolutely no fukking clue how to bet golf and make me laugh when they throw out the +/-EV statements...absolutely no idea what they are talking about...they look at a price and decide in their gut if its +/-EV and then want to talk about it... ...gl boys
                      Comment
                      • lemart5
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-12-11
                        • 2818

                        #12
                        Hell it's worth it from the value side of things I already have Stricker @+175 to finish In the top 5 so it really wasn't a need for me to take him at +197 to win the tourney I'm
                        making money either way here.It's atleas worth a try here from a value standpoint guy shot a 62 yesteday with lights out putting .Also he is +.5 +111 listed for the 3rd round today.
                        Comment
                        • Roxxyfish
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 06-26-09
                          • 12066

                          #13
                          problem is that you yanks think the rest of the world cant play golf, again Brendon de Jonge on this course is the play nothing else
                          Originally posted by lemart5
                          Hell it's worth it from the value side of things I already have Stricker @+175 to finish I'm the top 5 so it really wasn't a need for me to take him at +197 to win the tourney I'm
                          making money either way here.It's atleas worth a try here from a value standpoint guy shot a 62 yesteday with lights out putting .Also he is +.5 +111 listed for the 3rd round today.
                          Comment
                          • Br0nxer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-25-11
                            • 13665

                            #14
                            Originally posted by raydog
                            mike, a lot of guys have absolutely no fukking clue how to bet golf and make me laugh when they throw out the +/-EV statements...absolutely no idea what they are talking about...they look at a price and decide in their gut if its +/-EV and then want to talk about it... ...gl boys
                            i have a clue pal.

                            been betting golf for a long time

                            and randomly betting the leader on the turn is a BAD BAD bet

                            i say it's less than 10% he wins

                            it is a SUCKER bet
                            Comment
                            • lemart5
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-12-11
                              • 2818

                              #15
                              Bronxer it not like im putting .
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #16
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • milwaukee mike
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 08-22-07
                                  • 26914

                                  #17
                                  put a little on reavie +750 and the same amount against him heads up yesterday.
                                  that is the way to do it, if he has a relatively bad round (which he did) i still broke even and have a freeroll in case he goes crazy and shoots 59 or something today.

                                  if he was still the leader and won the heads up yesterday, then readjust your strategy for sunday
                                  Comment
                                  • yisman
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 09-01-08
                                    • 75682

                                    #18
                                    Reavie buried.
                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                    [/quote]

                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                    Comment
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