1st half injury in WNBA NY-LA

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  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #1
    1st half injury in WNBA NY-LA
    Plennete Pierson gimps around after taking a shot in the ribs. Her team plays 20 seconds without her, and doesn't notice her hunched over on the far half-court. She is a starter, and has 171 minutes on the season, 3rd highest of any NY player.

    She sucks. Her defensive rating is 12 points worse than the team average. NY's OEF/DEF differential is -7 (meaning they are a below average team). Pierson's is -17, meaning she is pretty bad for a starter.

    If she doesn't come back in the first half, look to play NY for the second half. If the game is tied, take NY +3.5 or +4, regardless of her status, for the second half.
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #2
    Looks like she shook it off... NY+4.5 h2 is the right side.
    Comment
    • vyomguy
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-08-09
      • 5794

      #3
      game tied
      Comment
      • Justin7
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-31-06
        • 8577

        #4
        Small play on ov79.5 h2 also. Market hasn't approved much of +4.5 so far.
        Comment
        • yisman
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-01-08
          • 75682

          #5
          Not completely sure I understand your logic, but I went ahead and bet NY +5.

          As for the total, books are offering either 80.5 or 81 right now.

          actually, did get 80 at BetJam. Pinnacle has 81.
          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
          [/quote]

          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
          Comment
          • Emily_Haines
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-14-09
            • 15917

            #6
            ny always seems to play la tough plus pondexter is finally making some shots.
            Comment
            • Emily_Haines
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-14-09
              • 15917

              #7
              dam u can get +5.5 now
              Comment
              • Justin7
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 07-31-06
                • 8577

                #8
                Originally posted by yisman
                Not completely sure I understand your logic, but I went ahead and bet NY +5.

                As for the total, books are offering either 80.5 or 81 right now.

                actually, did get 80 at BetJam. Pinnacle has 81.
                I thought NY was the right side. In my world of bad lines, Pick'em would be a better line than +7 or +7.5. The WNBA market is inefficient. The closing line in this sport is often crap. NY is right for the game, and *if* you accept this, taking NY+5 for h2 is better than +7.5 for the game.

                If that player were injured, I think a backup would do at least as well. If the oddsmakers adjusted for the injury of a starter, I think they would add value to a NY bet.
                Comment
                • Bluehorseshoe
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-13-06
                  • 15003

                  #9
                  NY here.

                  Lost Wash. Won Phoenix and Chicago.
                  Comment
                  • flipside2469
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-09-11
                    • 736

                    #10
                    Anyone taking ml?
                    Comment
                    • Bell Curves
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-20-11
                      • 348

                      #11
                      Took NY +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.
                      Comment
                      • yisman
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-01-08
                        • 75682

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Justin7
                        I thought NY was the right side. In my world of bad lines, Pick'em would be a better line than +7 or +7.5. The WNBA market is inefficient. The closing line in this sport is often crap. NY is right for the game, and *if* you accept this, taking NY+5 for h2 is better than +7.5 for the game.
                        Certainly it would be, but I'm not sure if factoring in the opening line is the right thing to do when deciding whether to take +5 2h.

                        If that player were injured, I think a backup would do at least as well. If the oddsmakers adjusted for the injury of a starter, I think they would add value to a NY bet.
                        I see what you're saying. Unfortunate that she came back. She's doing well tonight, though.

                        I ended up betting +5 and over 80. I didn't hang around long enough for it to get to 5.5.
                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                        [/quote]

                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                        Comment
                        • flipside2469
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-09-11
                          • 736

                          #13
                          Phew. 5.5 wins by the hook. Good call Justin.
                          Comment
                          • Bell Curves
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-20-11
                            • 348

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Bell Curves
                            Took NY +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.
                            Double push, I should have gotten a better line.
                            Comment
                            • Justin7
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 07-31-06
                              • 8577

                              #15
                              Originally posted by flipside2469
                              Phew. 5.5 wins by the hook. Good call Justin.
                              I'm glad you won. I dropped 2 g's by being a chump, and not knowing which way the line would move. Fortunately, the side covered for the game.
                              Comment
                              • xXxBallin21xXx
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-11-09
                                • 590

                                #16
                                over 80 , got me sweatin at the end
                                Comment
                                • Bell Curves
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 06-20-11
                                  • 348

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Justin7
                                  I'm glad you won. I dropped 2 g's by being a chump, and not knowing which way the line would move. Fortunately, the side covered for the game.
                                  There were plenty of chances for NY to score one basket at the end. Though beat IMO.
                                  Comment
                                  • panik
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-08-09
                                    • 1108

                                    #18
                                    Great calll . I didnt tail though too bad.
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #19
                                      Wish I had gotten the +5.5!
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
                                      • Bell Curves
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 06-20-11
                                        • 348

                                        #20
                                        Wish I had gotten the o80.5
                                        Comment
                                        • minet123
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 02-17-07
                                          • 10280

                                          #21
                                          Great call justin
                                          Comment
                                          • Whippit
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 04-29-10
                                            • 3065

                                            #22
                                            ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas

                                            what u think about that
                                            Comment
                                            • CarpeDime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-01-09
                                              • 7873

                                              #23
                                              i tailed the full game side pick


                                              thanks J7
                                              Comment
                                              • Whippit
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-29-10
                                                • 3065

                                                #24
                                                ur welcome
                                                Comment
                                                • yisman
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                  • 75682

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Whippit
                                                  ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas what u think about that
                                                  Originally posted by Whippit
                                                  ko'd liberty +7 pregame suckas what u think about that
                                                  Originally posted by Whippit
                                                  ur welcome
                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                  [/quote]

                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Scorpion
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-04-05
                                                    • 7797

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by bell curves
                                                    took ny +5 and o81. Let's see how that goes.
                                                    push/push
                                                    Comment
                                                    • marcojuiceman
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-25-11
                                                      • 2870

                                                      #27
                                                      won that 2 pick parlay over and new york
                                                      Comment
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