My Advice on Celtics/Lakers Side in Game 3 is >>>

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    My Advice on Celtics/Lakers Side in Game 3 is >>>
    PASS!

    I am very confident that the Lakers will win this game straight up (although as you see from my thread yesterday, I now think the Celtics will win the series), but there is no way I could lay either 9.5 points or -550 on the Money Line. On the flip side, while it obviously looks very tempting to take the Celtics with all of these points, the Lakers do fall into the Game 3 home faves down 0-2 angle that is over 60% in the playoffs since 1990, and has lost just once this season.

    Ergo, PASS.
  • capitalist pig
    SBR MVP
    • 01-25-07
    • 4998

    #2
    Im passing too, just going to watch and enjoy the rest of the Finals.

    later
    Comment
    • Francis Sollozzo
      SBR MVP
      • 11-15-07
      • 2381

      #3
      I'm doing a 4pt teaser

      NBA Boston +12.5

      Euro SWEDEN +4
      Comment
      • gordon gekko
        SBR MVP
        • 05-01-08
        • 2842

        #4
        Lakers are going to win it's just a matter of by how much, I am also passing.
        Comment
        • Francis Sollozzo
          SBR MVP
          • 11-15-07
          • 2381

          #5
          Matchbook has 4k Lakers -9 -110
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Francis,

            I highly doubt you could tease soccer, but if you can, let me know where!
            Comment
            • Francis Sollozzo
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-07
              • 2381

              #7
              Comment
              • Panic
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 01-06-08
                • 10367

                #8
                Gotta take the C's+ the pt's here. I really just think the Lakers are overmatched. Much like they were against Detroit in '04. You really don't like the Celtic's in this situation, LT?
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  I can't go against the Game 3 home fave down 0-2 angle.

                  Actually it is Game 3 Home Favorites of -4 or more down 0-2. That angle is 63-41, 60.6% ATS since 1990 and 7-1 this year. But I agree that laying those points is crazy too.
                  Comment
                  • InTheHole
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 04-28-08
                    • 15243

                    #10
                    I have the UNDER 195 1/2
                    Comment
                    • ManOfValue
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-29-08
                      • 1437

                      #11
                      +9½ ...
                      Comment
                      • gordon gekko
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-01-08
                        • 2842

                        #12
                        Lakers win by 15.
                        Comment
                        • Shark79
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-19-07
                          • 11211

                          #13
                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                          Francis,

                          I highly doubt you could tease soccer, but if you can, let me know where!
                          I was about to mention that ... what a joke!!
                          Comment
                          • Shark79
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-19-07
                            • 11211

                            #14
                            Im just gonna watch this one out ... if the line moves in favor of Boston (which I doubt) I will reconsider
                            Comment
                            • treece
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-28-07
                              • 6298

                              #15
                              +9.5 looks like vegas is giving money away. But i know better i'll wait till i can get -9 or better with the lakeshow. I wouldn't be surprised if the lakers win by 20+.
                              Comment
                              • FreeFall
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-20-08
                                • 3365

                                #16
                                +505 on the bos ML is hard to ignore
                                Comment
                                • SexyMit
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-06
                                  • 6139

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Francis Sollozzo
                                  I'm doing a 4pt teaser

                                  NBA Boston +12.5

                                  Euro SWEDEN +4
                                  I would do it the other way. Lakers -5.5 I think they are going to beat the shit out of Boston and -5.5 is better then them covering 12.5. Think they win by 15 or 20 tonight.
                                  If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                  I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                  Comment
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