Atlanta (-116 ML) over Florida

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  • vegasal
    SBR Rookie
    • 06-01-11
    • 47

    #1
    Atlanta (-116 ML) over Florida
    I like this play for today. after looking at the starting pitching matchup, it looks to me that Atlanta has the advantage there. Florida pitcher Volstad has a 2011 score rating of a (-63) and his last 3 starts (-17), and his last 3 starts against Atlanta his rating is (-2). While Atlanta pitcher Jurrjens has a 2011 score rating of a (+123) and his last 3 starts (+42), and his last 3 starts against Florida his rating is (+47). Both teams offenses has struggled recently though. Im going with Atlanta in this one.
  • rfr3sh
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 10229

    #2
    not being rude, but these stats are worthless for a couple of reasons

    a) if they are relevant they are in the line already
    b) you determined the favourite with these stats, but not there % chance to win
    Comment
    • vegasal
      SBR Rookie
      • 06-01-11
      • 47

      #3
      there are no true winning picks my friend. I'm only suggesting who i like to win and why i think so. the stats comes from game score pitching and by my own handicapping knowledge.
      Comment
      • clairvoyance
        Restricted User
        • 06-06-11
        • 115

        #4
        Originally posted by rfr3sh
        not being rude, but these stats are worthless for a couple of reasons

        a) if they are relevant they are in the line already
        b) you determined the favourite with these stats, but not there % chance to win
        Comment
        • Sportsbetting123
          SBR MVP
          • 03-01-08
          • 1400

          #5
          Tough call for me here. If I had to go with a side tonight, it would be Florida. Best of luck.
          Comment
          • TheLock
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-06-08
            • 14427

            #6
            ATL ML is squarest play on the board. Good luck.
            Comment
            • linedrivr
              SBR MVP
              • 01-04-10
              • 2223

              #7
              Originally posted by TheLock
              ATL ML is squarest play on the board. Good luck.
              the Yankees and Phillies would give them a run for the money for square champion tonight.
              Comment
              • ColdBeerHere
                SBR MVP
                • 03-25-11
                • 3626

                #8
                Originally posted by vegasal
                there are no true winning picks my friend. I'm only suggesting who i like to win and why i think so. the stats comes from game score pitching and by my own handicapping knowledge.
                Same here man...who cares if the play is square or not....If it's a winner go with it...I capped it for the Braves too....BOL
                Comment
                • TheLock
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 04-06-08
                  • 14427

                  #9
                  VegasAl are you also on NYY and PHI -1.5?
                  Comment
                  • pavyracer
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 04-12-07
                    • 82667

                    #10
                    Whoever scores the most runs wins tonight. Marlins have only scored 2 runs on a two run RBI single in the last 19 innings vs Braves.
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65107

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      Whoever scores the most runs wins tonight. Marlins have only scored 2 runs on a two run RBI single in the last 19 innings vs Braves.
                      and people say Pavy isnt sharp
                      Comment
                      • Dukebluejms
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-21-09
                        • 1633

                        #12
                        Hard to bet against Jurrjens here, but my gut says the fish win tonight.
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82667

                          #13
                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                          and people say Pavy isnt sharp
                          What I meant is you can't count on Marlins to get out of their hitting slump tonight. They may start hitting again tonight, tomorrow or next week. There is no reason of chasing them until they start hitting again.
                          Comment
                          • rm18
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-20-05
                            • 22292

                            #14
                            Teams with the best bullpens almost never the worst play on the board, but Braves lineup is whoreshit right now though.
                            Comment
                            • BRAVES1985
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-23-10
                              • 4250

                              #15
                              Originally posted by rm18
                              Teams with the best bullpens almost never the worst play on the board, but Braves lineup is whoreshit right now though.
                              and the marlins have been even worse

                              and they lost 7 in a row
                              Comment
                              • pavyracer
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-12-07
                                • 82667

                                #16
                                I'm not touching this game. It will probably be a 1 run game either way. I would rather bet black on roulette and take my chances there.
                                Comment
                                • BRAVES1985
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-23-10
                                  • 4250

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  i'm not touching this game. It will probably be a 1 run game either way. I would rather bet black on roulette and take my chances there.
                                  this
                                  Comment
                                  • RockyMiavia
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 06-02-11
                                    • 266

                                    #18
                                    One run lead it should have been 3 but it's okay. Lets go Atlanta and close out the Marlins. C'mon lets make it a perfect night.
                                    Comment
                                    • RockyMiavia
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 06-02-11
                                      • 266

                                      #19
                                      Congrats all.
                                      Comment
                                      • BRAVES1985
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-23-10
                                        • 4250

                                        #20
                                        Comment
                                        • lunchbawks
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-31-10
                                          • 12873

                                          #21
                                          Nice call. Jair is unbelievable
                                          Comment
                                          • vegasal
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 06-01-11
                                            • 47

                                            #22
                                            close game, but it was a win.
                                            Comment
                                            • BRAVES1985
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-23-10
                                              • 4250

                                              #23
                                              venters is fukin sick im still hard
                                              Comment
                                              • beerman2619
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-24-09
                                                • 7752

                                                #24
                                                Venters best reliever in the league Jair for Cy young kids
                                                Comment
                                                • mitmur1998
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 11-02-09
                                                  • 381

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice call. Close but still a winner
                                                  Comment
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