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Soderling to beat Nadal +259

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  • Ace_of_Spades
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-14-09
    • 13518

    #1
    Soderling to beat Nadal +259
    The price on Nadal to win this match is insane, and i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis, but is there something wrong with the kid, besides not really playing his best. Could be a grind and go 4/5 sets.

    Soder +5.5 and ML.
  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
    i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis
    That is apparent since he has been over -300 all tournament. Not to mention most of his career @ RG outside of maybe finals.
    Comment
    • iceminers26
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-13-08
      • 15600

      #3
      check status on Sode's blister, it was bothering him pretty bad closing out his last match, just a heads up
      Comment
      • Ace_of_Spades
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-14-09
        • 13518

        #4
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        That is apparent since he has been over -300 all tournament. Not to mention most of his career @ RG outside of maybe finals.
        Really, isn't he usually like -2000 or -1000 in clay matches? I've totally forgotten
        Comment
        • lunchbawks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-31-10
          • 12873

          #5
          nadal plays through injuries, and wins. apparently a simple blister messes with Soderling's game?

          you need luck
          Comment
          • Cross
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-15-11
            • 5777

            #6
            Nadal will win, stay away from Soderling. No way Nadal loses to him again at the French, too much fight in that man!
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
              Really, isn't he usually like -2000 or -1000 in clay matches? I've totally forgotten
              Ah sorry mistook your statement. He's still massive favorites against most, but I think they are setting this based on the one upset two years ago and Nadal not being quite as dominant this season. But honestly, outside of Djokovic, no one touches him on clay in 2011.
              Comment
              • thirtytwo
                SBR MVP
                • 01-07-10
                • 1784

                #8
                I think he was around -300 against Federer in final of 2008 or 2009. Nothing even close since. But this line is even lower and money has been pouring in on Soderling so far.
                Off course theres one obvious reason, Soderling knocked him out in last years RG. But can he do it twice in a row? Epecially now that everyone kinda expects him to at least give Rafa a fight, including himself and Nadal... I would be very surprised if this happens. And if it does i would start seriously worrying about whats going on with Rafa at this stage of his career.
                Comment
                • cmendo2005
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-13-11
                  • 192

                  #9
                  Either way you look at it its a fake sport and you should bet on something better
                  Comment
                  • Aeiou1x2
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-11-11
                    • 528

                    #10
                    Thanks for brief explanation. I also was curious about the reason on Nadal's high value.
                    Comment
                    • trytrytry
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-13-06
                      • 23667

                      #11
                      like a long long long match in this one...lean underdog..
                      Comment
                      • MUHerd37
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 12816

                        #12
                        Nadal hasn't forgotten 2009. I like him to take it.
                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388208

                          #13
                          Nadal is still pretty sharp but off his game a little this clay season

                          Yes he won two events and got beat in the other two finals but I did notice he is not putting points away as easy and guys hanging around against him


                          His serve is weak too

                          Soderling a very good player but struggles in big matches

                          Me??? No play
                          Comment
                          • crustyme
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 09-29-10
                            • 16896

                            #14
                            wow jj with a breakdown on tennis.

                            still like nadal tho.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388208

                              #15
                              Cruster I know the game better than anyone here.
                              Comment
                              • swiss88
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 02-07-10
                                • 906

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades
                                The price on Nadal to win this match is insane, and i have never seen him at -285 on clay at the French Open. Don't watch much Tennis, but is there something wrong with the kid, besides not really playing his best. Could be a grind and go 4/5 sets.

                                Soder +5.5 and ML.
                                Yes I'm on Soderling ML as well. I've been watching both of them play these last few days and today's game reminds me of the last and only time Rafa lost here.
                                Maybe I'm wrong but I think Soderling has a great chance to win today and I like the price I'm getting. Should be a great game at least
                                Comment
                                • thespeculator
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-09-08
                                  • 2999

                                  #17
                                  just don't feel nadal is the same, but i still think he has to much for soderling him and novak are in a different league
                                  Comment
                                  • dRavidC
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-22-11
                                    • 2516

                                    #18
                                    you just get the feeling that nadal could potentially go up a few a gears and if that happens, soderling is no chance to even take a set off nadal. the game total at 37.5 is too high for my liking so the best decision here is a PASS!

                                    more value on the women's game totals imo




                                    Comment
                                    • Ace_of_Spades
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-14-09
                                      • 13518

                                      #19
                                      Taking over 37.5.
                                      Comment
                                      • zr2786
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 02-12-11
                                        • 171

                                        #20
                                        Nadal will win this match in 4 sets! Hes too good at Roland Garros!
                                        Comment
                                        • robot
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 05-22-11
                                          • 43

                                          #21
                                          I like +5.5, less ML.
                                          Good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • jstblaze
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-05-07
                                            • 767

                                            #22
                                            I have trouble seeing Nadal losing.

                                            Even one set. They will all be close sets but Nadal takes them all.
                                            Comment
                                            • WileOut
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-04-07
                                              • 3844

                                              #23
                                              I think line is right I would pass. Soderling +5.5 games if anything.
                                              Comment
                                              • Regul8er
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-06-07
                                                • 10666

                                                #24
                                                Not bad value in my opinion. Soderling is playing as well as he ever has right now.
                                                Comment
                                                • firedawg
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 10-08-08
                                                  • 39230

                                                  #25
                                                  is this match on tv?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jollyoscars
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-25-10
                                                    • 470

                                                    #26
                                                    soderling definitely has it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • yisman
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                      • 75682

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by thirtytwo
                                                      Off course theres one obvious reason, Soderling knocked him out in last years RG. But can he do it twice in a row?
                                                      That was two years ago. Nadal won the French Open last year.

                                                      Originally posted by cmendo2005
                                                      Either way you look at it its a fake sport and you should bet on something better
                                                      Either way you look at it you're a troll.
                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                      [/quote]

                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                      Comment
                                                      • yisman
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 09-01-08
                                                        • 75682

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by dRavidC
                                                        you just get the feeling that nadal could potentially go up a few a gears and if that happens, soderling is no chance to even take a set off nadal. the game total at 37.5 is too high for my liking so the best decision here is a PASS!
                                                        No chance to take a set? What odds are you offering? Soderling has a chance to take a set regardless of how well Nadal is playing, and I've not been impressed with Nadal of late.

                                                        If Soderling has "no chance" to take a set, you could bet Nadal 3-0 at +175 or so. But you're passing.
                                                        [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                        [/quote]

                                                        [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iceminers26
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-13-08
                                                          • 15600

                                                          #29
                                                          Nadal -5 games, this will be a beat down IMO
                                                          Comment
                                                          • firedawg
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 10-08-08
                                                            • 39230

                                                            #30
                                                            is it on tv?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • and24
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-11-10
                                                              • 334

                                                              #31
                                                              nadal trys to warm up in the first sets, 9,5 over in first set @-135 will be my choice.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • scottie2005
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-15-10
                                                                • 649

                                                                #32
                                                                Tough match to cap, Nadal been too inconsistent in his play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mikejamm
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 08-24-09
                                                                  • 11066

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by firedawg
                                                                  is it on tv?
                                                                  Espn 3
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RollPlayer
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 07-26-10
                                                                    • 779

                                                                    #34
                                                                    A lot of value on Soderling here, i like it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • yisman
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 09-01-08
                                                                      • 75682

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Bodog has +275, but I waited too long and they closed betting at 9:55 for no apparent reason.
                                                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                      [/quote]

                                                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                      Comment
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