Baseball Dogs Last 60 Days

[jjgold]

487-311 61.03%

[SlickFazzer]

This is called a "license to print money"

[Nicky Santoro]

lol lol lol


good one, jj..


if they were really 61% over 798 games like you say, you'd be retired for life..

they are more like 42%, but even at 42%, you'e still up money over the last 798 games..


JJ, the avg dog is about +150... if they were really 487-311, at 1 dime a game at +150 per game, you'd be up 420,000 dollars...

[jjgold]

I got data at wagerline

[SlickFazzer]

lol lol lol


good one, jj..


if they were really 61% over 798 games like you say, you'd be retired for life..

they are more like 42%, but even at 42%, you'e still up money over the last 798 games..


JJ, the avg dog is about +150... if they were really 487-311, at 1 dime a game at +150 per game, you'd be up 420,000 dollars...

Nicky pull up your stats - what was the highest dog winning percentage over the last 10 years for 1 year? Bet someone got lucky, picked the right year to "dog it", bet 5 dimes on every dog that year and broke the bank...?

[diogee]

JJ I think your data may be for the favorites.

[AgainstAllOdds]

WRONG STATS...maybe thats why JJ loses so much

[diogee]

WRONG STATS...maybe thats why JJ loses so much

He is just trying to get everyone to blindly put tons of money on the dogs so he can get better prices on the favorites.

[Cannon]

Hanky loses no matter what he does.

[Nicky Santoro]

I got data at wagerline

jj, are you nuts, or what? i'll tell you what, if those stats are accurate, i will send you 10 dimes fedex tomorrow, because it would mean that i am richer than bill gates because i bet about 81% dogs and no way am i even up near that much.. nowhere near that..


61% dogs?????????????? dont i wish.. some poster said that it was the favorites.. that sounds more like it.. 39% dogs over the last 798 games sounds more like it.

[rake922]

http://www.wagerline.com/Handicapping/League-Trends.aspx?page=/pick-data/trends/mlb/season.html&t=0

That's the link for this season

[diogee]

He forgot to mention that was the record for dogs +1.5

[SlickFazzer]

But home dogs have been ass hot profitable this year.

116-95, 54.9%

I'd even take that at -110!

[Nicky Santoro]

dogs are hitting just over 44% this year, JJ, not 61%..


even at 44%, you would be up a very little..

[pat venditto]

im convinced betting home teams are the way to win

[BrUno0]

im convinced betting home teams are the way to win

i didn't notice any other ways besides that before

[SlickFazzer]

Can never go wrong with a nice home dog who is playing well, with a decent pitcher on the hill - and then hope like mighty hell that the relievers don't piss it all away for you....

[jjgold]

dogs are hitting just over 44% this year, JJ, not 61%..


even at 44%, you would be up a very little..

If that is true Nicky owes me 10 dimes because I never said what type of dogs. Can anyone verify this because then I can collect 10 dimes.

[treece]

If that is true Nicky owes me 10 dimes because I never said what type of dogs. Can anyone verify this because then I can collect 10 dimes.

See Nicky thats why they call him Clever Webber. Now pay the man his 10 dimes.

[Nicky Santoro]

jjgoldstein,


if that's the case, then hockey dogs hit close to 75% this year..


and even if you did play every dog this year in baseball at +1.5, and hit over 61%, you are down money.. the avg run line lays around -160, so you do the math..


487 wins x 1000 = +487,000
311 losses x 1600 = -497,600


you'd be still down over 10,000 dollars by betting every dog and winning at a 61% rate.

[jjgold]

But Nicky you said if my numbers were correct you would send me 10 dimes Fed Ex

Right??'

[Nicky Santoro]

you know what i meant JJgold.. every year the dogs at +1.5 end up around 60% and lose money. i even said dogs are 44%, which they are.. dogs at 61% this year are not having a great year, this is what they do every year. but you know damn right you thought they were 61% straight up.. that's what we were both talking about, and you know what i meant jj..


but i will make it up to you, when you come to East LA to visit me, i will take you out to the best sushi restaurant here and strip joints and a hooker on me, I swear, i will honor this for you..

so come on over.