AFL round 10

[pico]

going to post the line movements during the week.

wed night lines for reference

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Fri 5/30
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Fri 5/30 349 Adelaide Crows -41.5 -106 -997
03:10 AM 350 Essendon Bombers +41.5 -104 +817

Fri 5/30 351 Collingwood Magpies -26.5 -105 -420
09:10 PM 352 West Coast Eagles +26.5 -105 +360

Fri 5/30 353 Hawthorn Hawks -11.5 -103 -173
09:10 PM 354 Western Bulldogs +11.5 -107 +158

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Sat 5/31
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Sat 5/31 355 Brisbane Lions -24.5 -102 -361
02:10 AM 356 Kangaroos +24.5 -108 +311

Sat 5/31 357 Geelong Cats -39.5 -102 -700
02:10 AM 358 Carlton Blues +39.5 -108 +550

Sat 5/31 359 Sydney Swans -26.5 -109 -400
08:10 PM 360 Richmond Tigers +26.5 -101 +350

Sat 5/31 361 St Kilda Saints -22.5 +100 -300
09:10 PM 362 Melbourne Demons +22.5 -110 +260

Sat 5/31 363 Fremantle Dockers +101
11:40 PM 364 Port Adelaide Power -111

[pico]

Thur 5pm est

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Fri 5/30
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Fri 5/30 349 Adelaide Crows -40.5 -107 -1000
03:10 AM 350 Essendon Bombers +40.5 -103 +740

Fri 5/30 351 Collingwood Magpies -26.5 -101 -420
09:10 PM 352 West Coast Eagles +26.5 -109 +360

Fri 5/30 353 Hawthorn Hawks -8.5 +100 -147
09:10 PM 354 Western Bulldogs +8.5 -110 +135

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Sat 5/31
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Sat 5/31 355 Brisbane Lions -23.5 -108 -365
02:10 AM 356 Kangaroos +23.5 -102 +315

Sat 5/31 357 Geelong Cats -39.5 -101 -700
02:10 AM 358 Carlton Blues +39.5 -109 +550

Sat 5/31 359 Sydney Swans -25.5 -110 -400
08:10 PM 360 Richmond Tigers +25.5 +100 +350

Sat 5/31 361 St Kilda Saints -23.5 -111 -330
09:10 PM 362 Melbourne Demons +23.5 +101 +290

Sat 5/31 363 Fremantle Dockers -104
11:40 PM 364 Port Adelaide Power -106

[Rosa]

My best bet of the round:

Kangaroos +24.5

My Parlay: $10 to win $475.51

Essendon +41.5
Kangaroos +24.5
Carlton +39.5
Richmond +26.5
Melbourne +23.5
West Coast +26.5

GL

[pico]

good luck Rosa...too early for me to make bets. i'll wait til friday and see where the line moves.

[Rosa]

Essendon +41.5

My Mother told me she had a feeling Essendon were going to cause an upset. She was almost right.

Picoman, have you placed any bets yet?

[pico]

Essendon +41.5

My Mother told me she had a feeling Essendon were going to cause an upset. She was almost right.

Picoman, have you placed any bets yet?

nope. i usually bet before the start of the match. if you see a price jump before the match start...that is probably me

pop the limit with demons +47.5 last week....they were leading until q3. hawks were -1500 ml fav too. home field advantage is pretty big for some team. can you believe geelong cat got blown out last week...damn.

[jjgold]

are these games on tv or radio?

[Rosa]

I am Australian so I get to watch them on TV.

[jjgold]

Rosa where do you bet them?

[Rosa]

iasbet.com

[pico]

friday 11pm est

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Fri 5/30
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Fri 5/30 351 Collingwood Magpies -24.5 -106 -380
09:10 PM 352 West Coast Eagles +24.5 -104 +330

Fri 5/30 353 Hawthorn Hawks -5.5 -104 -133
09:10 PM 354 Western Bulldogs +5.5 -106 +121

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Sat 5/31
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Sat 5/31 355 Brisbane Lions -19.5 -103 -325
02:10 AM 356 Kangaroos +19.5 -107 +285

Sat 5/31 357 Geelong Cats -39.5 -113 -700
02:10 AM 358 Carlton Blues +39.5 +103 +550

Sat 5/31 359 Sydney Swans -24.5 -103 -360
08:10 PM 360 Richmond Tigers +24.5 -107 +310

Sat 5/31 361 St Kilda Saints -25.5 -107 -364
09:10 PM 362 Melbourne Demons +25.5 -103 +314

Sat 5/31 363 Fremantle Dockers -105
11:40 PM 364 Port Adelaide Power -105

[pico]

Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Western Bulldogs 30-May-2008 9:10 PM PST
Spread +5.5 for Game -106

game starts in 40 min. GL

[Rosa]

Hawthorne -130

[pico]

Hawthorne -130

damn it, we're betting against each other...oh well.

i might take the kangaroos later, but lions did blow out the other team in round 9. two good teams...who know.

[Rosa]

I'm going through a terrible run at the moment so it's a good thing for you I put my money on Hawthorne. We will see what happens. It should be a close game.

[pico]

I'm going through a terrible run at the moment so it's a good thing for you I put my money on Hawthorne. We will see what happens. It should be a close game.

AFL can end in a draw, right. i saw a score of 130-130 in the earlier rounds. so ML bets is a push, right?

[Rosa]

Yes, it can end as a draw. They don't offer a draw as a bet type so it would have to be a push.

[pico]

i was gonna take WB ML plus money...then i realized it can end in a draw, so i end up taking the spread. i ****ing hate pushes.

[pico]

56-32 HT. is hawks going for another 4th q come back? it is not going to be easy this round, demon was the worst ranked team in AFL.

[pico]

74 - 106 WB damn i should've taken the ML

[pico]

Lines effective: 5/30/2008 11:51:10 PM PST

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Sat 5/31
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Sat 5/31 355 Brisbane Lions -19.5 -112 -310
02:10 AM 356 Kangaroos +19.5 +102 +270

Sat 5/31 357 Geelong Cats -39.5 -105 -750
02:10 AM 358 Carlton Blues +39.5 -105 +575

Sat 5/31 359 Sydney Swans -24.5 -104 -360
08:10 PM 360 Richmond Tigers +24.5 -106 +310

Sat 5/31 361 St Kilda Saints -25.5 -107 -370
09:10 PM 362 Melbourne Demons +25.5 -103 +320

Sat 5/31 363 Fremantle Dockers -105
11:40 PM 364 Port Adelaide Power -105

[pico]

trying to do some write up for the 2 early games for sat.

geelong, the defending champs finally came home after a blow out defeat against the #7 ranked collingwood. in round 10 geelong is facing #9 ranked carlton blues with -39.5 pts spread. geelong is a great home team, this is the week they have to show up to be taken seriously as the defending champs.

the blues edged the #15 fremantle at home in round 9 by 9 pts. now they're on the road facing the cats. this could easily be a blow out. the cats need to score 7 goals to cover or 6 goals and 4 behinds. this shouldn't be a problem for the cats if they get hot. i expect them to win by 60 pts or more in this game.

pick: cats -37.5


the lions is facing the kangaroos at home. if the lions lose in round 10, they'll be knocked out of the top 8. they're a great home team. in round 9 they beat #10 ranked st kilda 141-95. but this round they're facing #6 ranked kangaroos. the line opened at -24.5 and now is -19.5...that is almost one goal movement. money are going towards the NMFC, which makes sense because NMFC beat #3 ranked WB 113-110 at WB in round 9...that is a quiet admirable win. this game is going to be very interesting to watch...we're having two great teams that are getting hot. should be a very competitive game.

in round 9, NMFC proved that they can win on the road, but will their streak continue in round 10? i think so. WB just beat #1 ranked hawks couple of hours earlier. NMFC can certainly keep the game close, if not win outright. however, the line got betted down almost by a whole goal. +19.5 might be enough for the Roos to cover. I also expect them to win it, so i am also taking a shot at NMFC ML at +270.

pick NMFC +19.5

[pico]

Selection 1:
Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Kangaroos 31-May-2008 2:10 AM PST
Spread +19.5 for Game +102


Selection 2:
Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Kangaroos 31-May-2008 2:10 AM PST
Money Line for Game +270


Selection 3:
Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Geelong Cats 31-May-2008 2:10 AM PST
Spread -39.5 for Game -105


Selection 4:
Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Geelong Cats 31-May-2008 2:10 AM PST
Money Line for Game -750


GL...1.5 hrs til the start of the game.

[Rosa]

Congrats on the WB win. Hopefully we can both cash in on the Kangaroos.

[jjgold]

Nice info guys, keep this thread around for the season. It might get some of us americans to bet it.

[pico]

geelong cat did win by more than 50 pts, but the roos is kind of disappointing. lions is pretty good at home...keep that in mind next round.

3 more games to go today. will add my pick later.

[pico]

line before the start of the first game

Lines effective: 5/31/2008 07:22:09 PM PST

Aussie Rules (AFL) Football - Sat 5/31
Game Spread Money Line Total Points More

Sat 5/31 359 Sydney Swans -23.5 -103 -360
08:10 PM 360 Richmond Tigers +23.5 -107 +310

Sat 5/31 361 St Kilda Saints -26.5 -106 -390
09:10 PM 362 Melbourne Demons +26.5 -104 +340

Sat 5/31 363 Fremantle Dockers -106
11:40 PM 364 Port Adelaide Power -104

[Netprofit]

how would u explain the line shift from 26.5 to 23.5 in the Swans Tigers game?

[pico]

Straight Bet

Selection 1:
Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
Richmond Tigers 31-May-2008 8:10 PM PST
Spread +23.5 for Game -109

i wish the line is +24.5...if tigers lost by 4 goals...i'd be pissed.

GL...15 mins til game time.

[pico]

how would u explain the line shift from 26.5 to 23.5 in the Swans Tigers game?

people are betting on the tigers.

[Netprofit]

it is still 23.5 at bookmaker.com

[pico]

it is still 23.5 at bookmaker.com

it is 23.5 everywhere. it was 26 on wed.

[Netprofit]

already doomed after 15 minutes

[pico]

already doomed after 15 minutes

yep. blow out.

[pico]

Aussie Rules (AFL), Football
St Kilda Saints 31-May-2008 9:10 PM PST
Spread -26.5 for Game -105