Final Bet of the Year: $3000 on Heat -200 to win Series; $1100 on Miami +2 game 1

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  • shawnkang
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-14-10
    • 547

    #36
    the only thing standing between the Heat and the championship is this fukkin thread. you're pathetic Goat.
    Comment
    • chantrain
      SBR MVP
      • 03-14-11
      • 3244

      #37
      I really hope Goat disappears after both his bets lose. There's a lot of terrible cappers on this forum but Goat Milk ranks right down there with the worst of them.
      Comment
      • ShogunRua
        SBR MVP
        • 12-23-09
        • 4668

        #38
        Originally posted by StraitShooter
        Man..I hate to say this but I doubt you have that much to bet..just chasing a sure winner to put you in the black with an outlandish figure
        Just an FYI, even if he wins both of these bets, it won't come close to covering what he's lost the last month or so.
        Comment
        • Tallcash21
          SBR High Roller
          • 05-06-11
          • 200

          #39
          Originally posted by ShogunRua
          Just an FYI, even if he wins both of these bets, it won't come close to covering what he's lost the last month or so.
          Regardless of what his bet is...you can attest to how much hes lost...what his picks were...and whether this is a tilt chase bet....and from the outside lookin in...and based on the pick...Bulls are a winner.
          Comment
          • JNic
            SBR MVP
            • 01-03-10
            • 4272

            #40
            gl i feel real good about the series too
            Comment
            • Intuitive_Edge
              SBR MVP
              • 07-22-09
              • 1644

              #41
              Good chance this thread isnt gonna end well
              Comment
              • Br0nxer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-25-11
                • 13665

                #42
                like both

                especially miami game 1
                Comment
                • darkghost
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-19-05
                  • 1721

                  #43
                  Good luck tomorrow! Let's hope to see a Mavs v. Heat final.
                  Comment
                  • politicin
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-14-11
                    • 1647

                    #44
                    Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                    oh wow
                    awww obama is all hurt i exposed him?
                    Comment
                    • pennsylvania209
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-02-09
                      • 333

                      #45
                      Why cant people bet normally anymore?
                      Comment
                      • ShogunRua
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-23-09
                        • 4668

                        #46
                        Originally posted by pennsylvania209
                        Why cant people bet normally anymore?
                        They do. People just don't post plays normally anymore. Here at SBR, if they are losing or down a bunch, they just chase with a 30x play like these and then 1) Update record to make it look like they aren't doing so bad or....2) Disappear for a little while and pretend they didn't lose.
                        Comment
                        • Bigmikesm
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-17-09
                          • 1616

                          #47
                          I like the Heat to win this series, but it won't come easy. Every game will be down to the wire.
                          Comment
                          • Jimb0311
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-27-10
                            • 481

                            #48
                            WTF!!! Should I just burn my ticket now??
                            Comment
                            • SEAHAWKHARRY
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-29-07
                              • 26068

                              #49
                              Buried
                              Comment
                              • raydog
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 11-07-07
                                • 6984

                                #50
                                fwiw...Airbets, as the gambling gods have stated, cant jinx a play...
                                Comment
                                • StraitShooter
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-22-09
                                  • 10464

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by shawnkang
                                  the only thing standing between the Heat and the championship is this fukkin thread. you're pathetic Goat.
                                  Comment
                                  • StraitShooter
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-22-09
                                    • 10464

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by ShogunRua
                                    They do. People just don't post plays normally anymore. Here at SBR, if they are losing or down a bunch, they just chase with a 30x play like these and then 1) Update record to make it look like they aren't doing so bad or....2) Disappear for a little while and pretend they didn't lose.
                                    and this thread is the #1 example

                                    sickening when a guy bets 20 bucks a game..gets down 500 bucks and all of a suden puts 500 bucks on a game

                                    bull shit

                                    I mean..I dont care how much people wager..I dont give a shit if a guy can just bet points..but dont come on here and bull shit about the amounts you are wagering. This is real life shit and money should not be treated like toilet paper..I have bet thousands on a game..I have made 1 dollar wagers..I have had nights when all I had to wager was borrowed points

                                    there is no need to impress anyone with these bull shit amounts. I can have 20 bucks on a game and still get the rush of that 40 dollar swing in my account
                                    Comment
                                    • Qtip
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 367

                                      #53
                                      -185, should've waited dood.
                                      Comment
                                      • ShogunRua
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-23-09
                                        • 4668

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by StraitShooter
                                        and this thread is the #1 example

                                        sickening when a guy bets 20 bucks a game..gets down 500 bucks and all of a suden puts 500 bucks on a game

                                        bull shit

                                        I mean..I dont care how much people wager..I dont give a shit if a guy can just bet points..but dont come on here and bull shit about the amounts you are wagering. This is real life shit and money should not be treated like toilet paper..I have bet thousands on a game..I have made 1 dollar wagers..I have had nights when all I had to wager was borrowed points

                                        there is no need to impress anyone with these bull shit amounts. I can have 20 bucks on a game and still get the rush of that 40 dollar swing in my account
                                        Internet reputations are important to some people. You just have to realize which people are making these fake bets. It's not too hard if you pay attention.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #55
                                          Good luck Goat, but this is desperation stuff. This series is the toughest one to call so far, I'd keep my risk limited to 1-2 units.
                                          Comment
                                          • JR007
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-21-10
                                            • 5279

                                            #56
                                            ........Goatie......you may find your "nuts' this series...Do not think that they are" under your tail "though
                                            Comment
                                            • HedBustah1
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 12-05-09
                                              • 653

                                              #57
                                              Good luck, I think the heat win the series as well unfortunately
                                              Comment
                                              • nj6
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 05-09-10
                                                • 669

                                                #58
                                                goat milk is a dumbass, in the beginning of the season he thought d rose wouldnt be a superstar let alone the mvp of the league
                                                Comment
                                                • dj_destroyer
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-28-10
                                                  • 3856

                                                  #59
                                                  -200 is a bad price... you're ripping yourself off.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Goat Milk
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                    • 25850

                                                    #60
                                                    This is one of the easiest bets I've ever made. If its a air bet why would i bet on -200 when you can get -190 or -180 at different places online. I saw one guy say he got the Heat series at even money. yeah ok.

                                                    My bookie is not stupid. Anyone here can think what they want, at the end of the day, what your thinking has no affect on me.

                                                    Good luck to all. Chicago has no chance in this series.
                                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                    Comment
                                                    • goldengreek
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-25-07
                                                      • 8340

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                      The is my biggest bet of the year by far and it will be my last one probably, maybe a bet in the finals when that comes around. Miami is going to win this series in 5 games most likely. I have absolutely no doubts that the Bulls won't win more than 2 games in this series. I'm not going to do a writeup because in multiple threads started far before the playoffs started I've already discussed reasons for Miami will win the title this year, and reasons why Chicago will fall short in the Conference Finals. If you want to know any of my reasoning, simply read these posts.


                                                      Yes -200 on the series is a terrible price but this is what my bookie has and I think he knows very well too that Miami will not lose this series, and it probably won't even be close. It's taxing a little, but so be it. I am extremely confident.


                                                      This is the first series bet I've made in a while. I have futures on the Heat winning the championship but the closer I look at Dallas the harder I think this task will be. The reasons I gave before the season even started for why Miami would be BOston panned out exactly as I said it would. It will be the same case with Chicago.

                                                      If I hadn't lost so much the past few months I would put 5-6k on this series price, that's how confident I am with this bet. If I had as much money to throw around as pro gamblers like LakerMan or JJ Gold, I would literally put 20k on this series.

                                                      I recommend that anyone that has some spare money from work to throw it on this series or game 1.

                                                      I am convinced that Miami is going to win the first game of this series, and destroy any hopes the Bulls have for winning this series. The first game is tomorrow and Miami should win by a few buckets at least.


                                                      Play 1: Risking $3000 on Miami -200 to win the series

                                                      Play 2: Risking $1100 on Miami +2 (-110) to win Game 1



                                                      THANK YOU GOD !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


                                                      20* BULLS TO WIN THE SERIES + 165
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 25850

                                                        #62
                                                        Wade (champonshiP), Lebron has been in the NBA finals, Conferences finals multiple years as well. The same goes for guys like Big Z, Haslem (championship), Howard, Dampier (finals appearance), Bibby (conf. finals), and maybe others I've forgotten. Boozer (WCF appearance), Kover (WCF appearance) and Thibbedeu (championship, finals apperance) are the three most experienced guys on the Bulls team. I'm not discounting the coaching. Tom is a way better coach than Eric.

                                                        However, this really just boils down to X's and O's. In the finals, I expect Spolstra to get exposed, and it will be up to the playoffs to make up for that lack of successful encouragement.

                                                        The Bulls are going to rely on Keith Bogans and Brewer to guard Dwayne Wade in this series. While this may seem solid, both of these guys have had trouble in the past defending Wade. Wade is originally from Chicago, and has had some his best PLAYOFF performances against the Bulls in the past. The same goes for Lebron, who will be guarded by Luol Deng. Deng in my opinion is the Bulls best perimeter defender, and can handle Lebron at times, but when he has the jump shot going, similar to Durant, Rose, or any other star, there is no one in the world that can defend Lebron. Deng I believe can make it hard for him at times, but to be frank, that's not enough when you have another top tier option in Dwayne Wade. 2 of the 3 best players on the planet on one team (and no, it can't be argued that Rose is better than Wade because He's done it for 1 season, and Wade even put up way better numbers in the past than Rose just did when he was the only option on a team). So miami has the 2 best players on the court.

                                                        Rose is going to get his but he's going to be guarded by about 4 different defenders. Bibby, Chalmers, Rose, and James. That's a lot of guys at a lot of different sizes, speeds, and lengths that can make it difficult for Rose.

                                                        Lets remember that the Jazz team that got to the WCF was very similar to this Bulls team. Bulls have a little better defense, but this team is structured the same way. A dominant scoring pg in D will, and they had Brewer, they had Korver and Boozer, they had Raja Ball (i.e. similar to Bogans), CJ miles- similar to deng, not as good. But you get the picture. They were never getting to the NBA championship.

                                                        Also lets remember that Boozer is one of the worst PF defenders in the NBA. Bosh will be a factor in this series, and with constant collapsing on Wade and James, Bosh is going to get wide open shots on a consistant basis and he loves those midrange jump shots. Let Noah go ahead and guard Bosh there'll be no one left to clog the paint.

                                                        The Bulls have a significant advantage in the paint with their bigs, but we have to take into account foul trouble. You got the two leading free throw shooters in the league on 1 team, puting pressure on the refs every possession. Its likely that Noah and Boozer are in foul trouble in some of these games. Plus Wade and James both averaged nearly 10 rebounds a piece in the Boston series. These guys are fully capable and explosive enough to grab rebounds over 7 footers when its needed.

                                                        The Bulls bench also has an advantage here. Guys like CJ Watson, Ashik, Gibson, Brewer have proven their toughness in the playoffs. However, the Bulls are seriously lacking in that guy off the bench that can create offense whenever he wants. They need Watson to be that guy for them. The Heat bench hasn't even been utilized. Think about Haslem, who is one of the best on the defensive end when he's healthy, chalmers, big bodies like Big Z, Dampier, Maglore, HOward, all who have signifcant playoff EXPERIENCE. Mike Miller has been no where to be found. These guys are going to get theirs eventually. Remember that in the end, these guys are NBA players, they won't keep missing WIDE OPEN jump shots on a consistant basis. In the end, they still are in the NBA. Just remember that.

                                                        So while Chicago might rely on packing in the paint and Rose creating most of the offense, they just don't have the offensive weapons to keep up with MIami in a playoff series of 7 games. Miami is going to pack in the paint too and force Rose to give it up. Bogans and Deng proven they can make outside shots, but the Heat are some of the best at closing out the three point line, and if you miss a deep 2, they are off to the races most likely with Wade and James.

                                                        So Miami has a significant advantage on the fast break. What we saw in the BOston series is that MIami is ruthless on the defensive end when you let them get their defense set. That's why Doc Rivers was begging Rondo to PUSH the ball and get Miami off Balance. Chicago must do this to have any sort of success. WHen the jitters are going, a lot of young pgs just bring it up slowly and think thats its easier to get a bucket like that when its not.
                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                        Comment
                                                        • illmatick
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-05-09
                                                          • 5456

                                                          #63
                                                          oh look, it's a write-up.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • donkdown
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 07-09-09
                                                            • 4423

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                            This is one of the easiest bets I've ever made. If its a air bet why would i bet on -200 when you can get -190 or -180 at different places online. I saw one guy say he got the Heat series at even money. yeah ok.

                                                            My bookie is not stupid. Anyone here can think what they want, at the end of the day, what your thinking has no affect on me.

                                                            Good luck to all. Chicago has no chance in this series.

                                                            u just answered why u did this cuz u want ppl to think otherwise. Bro u r making a mockery of yourself!! Just say u like Heat and hope for the best.. ill gurantee if u win the game 1 bet u will be back in here betting next game!! Good Luck though!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • hawley
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-10-10
                                                              • 14270

                                                              #65
                                                              GM you are 1-25 in your recent plays

                                                              even if you win these two plays you are so buried its not even funny

                                                              You don't have $30 let alone $3000 to put on this.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • rfr3sh
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-07-09
                                                                • 10229

                                                                #66
                                                                lol i love how he says his bookie offers -200 only cuz he knows the heat will win not because all the fukkin squares are riding there asses
                                                                Comment
                                                                • frostno98
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-11-07
                                                                  • 9769

                                                                  #67
                                                                  I would not follow this guy on any of his plays. He's been buried every single time on these so call expert analysisI doubt he even got 400 dollars on these game.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • gangeriver
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-23-09
                                                                    • 2138

                                                                    #68
                                                                    wrong odds, I think bulls should be fav. this serie is remind me the giants-phillies series. underrated dog and overrated fav.
                                                                    I take bulls series prices +170 and bulls -2 good luck everyone. I belive that Bulls will win the 2011 title.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BettingWizard
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-28-09
                                                                      • 6522

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • onetrickpony
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 08-23-10
                                                                        • 9434

                                                                        #70
                                                                        guy is such a auto fade
                                                                        Comment
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