Please share your strategy for the final day of the handicapping contest

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    Please share your strategy for the final day of the handicapping contest
    I'm interested in hearing everyone's strategies for the final day of the handicapping contest.

    My strategy:

    Pat Venditto is at -.31 units with 1 play left while I'm at -4.00 units with 1 play left. I've decided to go with Indiana Fever ML +315 and hope that Pat loses his final play. Otherwise, I'd have to pick a line around +550+ and I feel like I might as well resign as do that. I happen to think the Fever has a realistic chance to win their game and that's hard to find at such steep odds, imho. So, I've got to hope that Pat loses and I win. I feel that's more realistic than taking say, 42 M. Daniel +800 or something, imho.
  • thezbar
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-29-06
    • 6429

    #2
    Perhaps it not the wisest of moves to reveal this things till all plays are in but what the heck. I could have played this thing several ways but this was the plan I went for.
    I"m down but wanted to create a situation in which I can win. To advance to need the Lakers to win tonite And Golden Goat to miss with his final selection. By using lakers +4 as my seventh pick I'm getting a free square basically. If the money line bet fails I'm done regardless! Golden Goat has the power! I need to have things my way to advance.
    Comment
    • fearless
      Restricted User
      • 08-14-06
      • 4950

      #3
      Originally posted by thezbar
      Perhaps it not the wisest of moves to reveal this things till all plays are in but what the heck.
      It doesn't really matter for people like us because if our competitor picks a winner, they win automatically so it really doesn't change anything for us, imho. Thanks for your post.
      Comment
      • Willie Bee
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-14-06
        • 15726

        #4
        Having already sh¡t the bed with a bunch of nutty picks just having some fun, I'm going to just have a normal Tuesday here at work, congratulate Dark Horse when it's all official mañana and then move on to more important matters such as refereeing a my peepee is bigger than your peepee squabble between posters or reading through my PMs for more gems like the one I got the other day from a young man who claimed that ghosting was the only way to speak the truth You can't make this sh¡t up, folks.
        Comment
        • Cabo
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-07-06
          • 5275

          #5
          I'm in the same boat. I need 2 winners (1st pick @ +183, 2nd pick @ +200), and need my opponent to lose what ever game he selects. Not a pretty situation to be in.
          Comment
          • BigOrangeTitans
            SBR MVP
            • 11-23-07
            • 4504

            #6
            sit on my 4 unit lead and hope to god im not the guy who gets screwed by a third rate tennis match
            Comment
            • Richkas
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 02-03-08
              • 19396

              #7
              Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
              sit on my 4 unit lead and hope to god im not the guy who gets screwed by a third rate tennis match
              I hear ya. I think tennis was thrown in for 1 person.
              Comment
              • Red_Sux
                SBR MVP
                • 06-25-07
                • 1262

                #8
                picoman needs 1 unit to take the #1 spot, so he took a heavy chalk in tennis at -170.
                Comment
                • fearless
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-14-06
                  • 4950

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Richkas
                  I hear ya. I think tennis was thrown in for 1 person.
                  I think every option that's available to bettors in real life should be available in this contest. Shouldn't it be as realistic as possible?

                  I would like to see parlays, teasers, alternative point spreads and run lines, etc. That's the only way to make this a completely realistic competition, imho.
                  Comment
                  • Sportsgirl
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-10-06
                    • 4493

                    #10
                    1
                    Comment
                    • pico
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 04-05-07
                      • 27321

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Sportsgirl
                      Well, I'm at +1.84 with two plays left and my opponent, Pokernut, is at +1.41 with no plays left.

                      I don't know about "strategy" as much as it would appear that I have to win at least one play today! I'll be calculating what a loss would do and how much of a dog or favorite I need to choose to cover a loss, should that happen.
                      your best strategy is to take 2 favs at -142 or higher. all you need is 1 win.
                      Comment
                      • Iwinyourmoney
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-18-07
                        • 18368

                        #12
                        Im up 4.7 units on mine. My opp. has one play left and his on a +500 tennis dog. I have 0 plays left and he has 1. 1 hit and Im out
                        Comment
                        • Arnold
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 12-17-07
                          • 906

                          #13
                          It will be interesting to see if anyone who is in a deep hole can pull out a win by picking a large dog. That would be quite a dramatic win.
                          Comment
                          • mofome
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-19-07
                            • 13003

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Arnold
                            It will be interesting to see if anyone who is in a deep hole can pull out a win by picking a large dog. That would be quite a dramatic win.

                            yeah thats what im watching for today myself.
                            Comment
                            • BigOrangeTitans
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-23-07
                              • 4504

                              #15
                              one is destined to hit... and when it does, I hope its far from me...
                              Comment
                              • Iwinyourmoney
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-18-07
                                • 18368

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BigOrangeTitans
                                one is destined to hit... and when it does, I hope its far from me...
                                x2!!!
                                Comment
                                • pico
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-05-07
                                  • 27321

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by mofome
                                  yeah thats what im watching for today myself.
                                  gambling mike got a +540 beaver ball ml long shot going on. i pretty much need a win to squad any chance of him pulling an upset.
                                  Comment
                                  • bettilimbroke999
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-04-08
                                    • 13254

                                    #18
                                    Pick a winner, if I do that I'm guaranteed on to the next rd., if not my opponent still has to nail his two dogs. If it were 5 star I'd be worried cuz he's used to nailin dogs every night (he told me roseann barr's a dime piece) . GL Cabo it's been a good match, so far you've caught me on a bit of a run but maybe it's time to sink my battleship.
                                    Comment
                                    • Richkas
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 02-03-08
                                      • 19396

                                      #19
                                      My guy has to hit 2 underdogs. I will just take the dog on the spread because he will be taking moneyline.
                                      Comment
                                      • bettilimbroke999
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-04-08
                                        • 13254

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Richkas
                                        My guy has to hit 2 underdogs. I will just take the dog on the spread because he will be taking moneyline.
                                        Lame
                                        Comment
                                        • Dark Horse
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-14-05
                                          • 13764

                                          #21
                                          To avoid that the person who is down could wait until 10 seconds before the window closes.
                                          Comment
                                          • Richkas
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 02-03-08
                                            • 19396

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by bettilimbroke999
                                            Lame

                                            I'm not doing that dude. I could though.
                                            Comment
                                            • bettilimbroke999
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 02-04-08
                                              • 13254

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Richkas
                                              I'm doing that dude. I could though.
                                              not doing that?
                                              Comment
                                              • Richkas
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-03-08
                                                • 19396

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by bettilimbroke999
                                                not doing that?

                                                thanks
                                                Comment
                                                • Arnold
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-17-07
                                                  • 906

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Richkas
                                                  My guy has to hit 2 underdogs. I will just take the dog on the spread because he will be taking moneyline.
                                                  You can also take his dogs if he has no other options and if it will not hurt your lead. But that is lame, too.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • pico
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 04-05-07
                                                    • 27321

                                                    #26
                                                    damn, my tennis chalk game is rescheduled for tomorrow. i am going with a different strategy. taking lakers ML. if i win, i'll lock up the 1st place in 1st round. if i lose, i'll be rooting for atlanta dreams to lose.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mofome
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-19-07
                                                      • 13003

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Richkas
                                                      My guy has to hit 2 underdogs. I will just take the dog on the spread because he will be taking moneyline.

                                                      we don't allow bets on the same team.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mofome
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-19-07
                                                        • 13003

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Arnold
                                                        It will be interesting to see if anyone who is in a deep hole can pull out a win by picking a large dog. That would be quite a dramatic win.


                                                        you gave dio quite the scare.

                                                        Comment
                                                        • Arnold
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-17-07
                                                          • 906

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by mofome
                                                          you gave dio quite the scare.

                                                          Yeah, the last day was the most exciting of all 7. I think this will be the trend in these tourneys.
                                                          Comment
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