SBR WSOP Grand Finale Props - WHO WILL WIN!?

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  • stikymess
    SBR MVP
    • 05-19-10
    • 3288

    #106
    Originally posted by Carseller4
    Tourney qualifiers 1. dngf 2. Ryangene 3. louiedog 4. frankzig 5. Carseller4 6. downsouth 7. lineman 8. barbone09 9. Slainte 10. chemicalbrother 11. head_strong 12. CreaturE 13. footballtime 14. tkim8404 15. dwaechte 16. jkilla990 17. aceking 18. mrmarket 19. vortexx00 20. coylo 21. wtt0315 Where is Wulfman14, no1here, thaddeusb??????? Oh......look Carseller4 and aceking are already qualified. Really should get qualified first, before talking smack.
    Wulf will get in no worries, look I'm just trying to make it more interesting. At the end of the day this is still a gambling forum.
    Comment
    • ThaddeusB
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 08-10-10
      • 8874

      #107
      Originally posted by Carseller4
      Tourney qualifiers

      [...]

      Where is Wulfman14, no1here, thaddeusb??????? Oh......look Carseller4 and aceking are already qualified.

      Really should get qualified first, before talking smack.
      I'm in now, so I can "officially" talk smack: You still aren't any good CS.
      Comment
      • downsouth
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-13-11
        • 11580

        #108
        Originally posted by ThaddeusB
        I'm in now, so I can "officially" talk smack: You still aren't any good CS.
        Comment
        • excel
          Restricted User
          • 03-25-10
          • 4270

          #109
          i'm +3000
          Comment
          • ThaddeusB
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-10-10
            • 8874

            #110
            Originally posted by excel
            i'm +3000
            They have me at +2000 which implies I have 5% to win. I WISH that was true. Even if I'm much better than the average player, I have maybe 1%. Even so, I'm a steal in comparison.

            Carseller (and others with +250) supposedly have 28% to win, which is off the charts ridiculous. The best player in a field of 10 would maybe be +250, in a field of 500+ the best player should be +5000 or worse. (Not a single player is priced that high.)
            Comment
            • Carseller4
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-22-09
              • 19627

              #111
              Originally posted by ThaddeusB
              I'm in now, so I can "officially" talk smack: You still aren't any good CS.
              Now you can talk smack! Congrats! Not too many people make me pause at the tables....but you are one of them.
              Comment
              • excel
                Restricted User
                • 03-25-10
                • 4270

                #112
                Are they using a formula or just randomly assigning odds?
                Comment
                • ThaddeusB
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-10-10
                  • 8874

                  #113
                  Originally posted by excel
                  Are they using a formula or just randomly assigning odds?
                  Its based on Dax's personal opinion apparently. Although, with the odds they are offering a random dart would work just as well. It is literally impossible to make a +EV bet. If Phil Ivey himself (or whomever you think is the world's best player) was in the field, he would be no better than +3000 realistically.
                  Comment
                  • senseionline
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-20-10
                    • 1819

                    #114
                    Originally posted by ThaddeusB
                    Its based on Dax's personal opinion apparently. Although, with the odds they are offering a random dart would work just as well. It is literally impossible to make a +EV bet. If Phil Ivey himself (or whomever you think is the world's best player) was in the field, he would be no better than +3000 realistically.

                    i think it also depend on how u do in daily poker all those people with odd offer win daily tourney at least once
                    Comment
                    • jmathes
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-19-09
                      • 2385

                      #115
                      great job guys, keep it up!
                      Comment
                      • Aman_Dage
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 04-23-11
                        • 48

                        #116
                        I am really enjoying the trash talk here. Most poker players are pu$%&*s so this is more than funny to me. Keep it up guys. The hardest part for me if I were to win would be not having that slider thing, the all in button, and that "what you have in your hand" guide. I would be at significant disadvantage at a live table. I will be in the poker tourney at Costa bash. You guys have been warned in advance if i bet less than the big blind.
                        Comment
                        • robmpink
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-09-07
                          • 13205

                          #117
                          Dax, with these odds it will only be a matter of time before you offer when will the world end and when will alien life form land in the us props.
                          Comment
                          • ThaddeusB
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-10-10
                            • 8874

                            #118
                            Originally posted by robmpink
                            Dax, with these odds it will only be a matter of time before you offer when will the world end and when will alien life form land in the us props.
                            And the odds would be something like:
                            This week +350
                            Next week +400
                            Next month +200
                            July +250
                            August +300
                            ....
                            January 2022 +350

                            Comment
                            • Jimmy Proffett
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-20-09
                              • 2729

                              #119
                              Everybody knows the winner of this event's gonna be a drooling button-masher that luckboxes through the early stages hitting inside straights and runner-runner flushes. Everybody should be @ +10000
                              Comment
                              • BeerDog99
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-22-10
                                • 4894

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Jimmy Proffett
                                drooling button-masher
                                LOL, that is funny.
                                Comment
                                • downsouth
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-13-11
                                  • 11580

                                  #121
                                  Originally posted by Jimmy Proffett
                                  Everybody knows the winner of this event's gonna be a drooling button-masher that luckboxes through the early stages hitting inside straights and runner-runner flushes. Everybody should be @ +10000

                                  So your saying I have a the complete package neccesary to take this down.
                                  Comment
                                  • LVBOUND
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-25-08
                                    • 2658

                                    #122
                                    Dax,

                                    Where is my line man. I've won 4 of 8 tourneys and finished 11 in last month main event.
                                    Comment
                                    • LVBOUND
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-25-08
                                      • 2658

                                      #123
                                      Dax........what's up.
                                      Comment
                                      • LVBOUND
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-25-08
                                        • 2658

                                        #124
                                        Just read this entire thread and didn't see my name mentioned once. I can't believe I can't get any love. I just crush these tourneys every week. Just look at my badges.
                                        Comment
                                        • BeerDog99
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-22-10
                                          • 4894

                                          #125
                                          LOL,

                                          I will be the first to name LVBOUND as a strong contender for this WSOP final tourney!
                                          Comment
                                          • Dax
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-21-11
                                            • 2270

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by LVBOUND
                                            Dax........what's up.
                                            Don't worry I'll get odds for ya in a bit... Lemme get settled in and I'll post that up for ya.

                                            Be Cool.

                                            D.
                                            Comment
                                            • BeerDog99
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-10
                                              • 4894

                                              #127
                                              So, forgive the Noob question, how do we monitor the lines and the bets on this? I would be real interested if the odds change on people (and why).

                                              Because I am not an experience bettor nor odds maker, I put some small bets down on some people but I am not sure what bets are active, is there any way to look at your active/pending bets?
                                              Comment
                                              • Fishhead
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 08-11-05
                                                • 40179

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by ThaddeusB
                                                Its based on Dax's personal opinion apparently. Although, with the odds they are offering a random dart would work just as well. It is literally impossible to make a +EV bet. If Phil Ivey himself (or whomever you think is the world's best player) was in the field, he would be no better than +3000 realistically.

                                                I would not bet IVEY at anything less than +6000

                                                NOBODY in the world should be less than +6000 to win this seat.
                                                Comment
                                                • Dax
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-21-11
                                                  • 2270

                                                  #129
                                                  OK I adjusted the lines a bit... Make sure to check out your new odds.

                                                  Be Cool.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Slim
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-08
                                                    • 4722

                                                    #130
                                                    Dax can you put the Ice Hockey World Championships lines up? They got them at Bookmaker and the games are on Versus. Nothing else to bet on this afternoon really besides the english soccer game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Carseller4
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-22-09
                                                      • 19627

                                                      #131
                                                      Better adjust my line....just finished 1st in the 8:00 tourney!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Cuse0323
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 30169

                                                        #132
                                                        How many times did you suck out with the worse hand this time?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nyjets15
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-27-11
                                                          • 873

                                                          #133
                                                          Took less than a minute to get them to the casino I see
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Carseller4
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-22-09
                                                            • 19627

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Cuse0323
                                                            How many times did you suck out with the worse hand this time?
                                                            Actually took out 3 people with KK. The pot was about 40K! I think there was 7 people left at the time. Had to do it.....was not folding KK.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • garretman
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-15-11
                                                              • 27

                                                              #135
                                                              this is just to funny hope u can cover the spread
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mvp123
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-24-06
                                                                • 1736

                                                                #136
                                                                carseller you keep on doing what you doing because regardless of what anyone says or thinks you are doing good and you have the badges to prove it ......like they say how come the cream always comes to the top , lucky somewhat does help but you got game , dont worry about what the doubters say
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wulfman14
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                                  • 8869

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by Carseller4
                                                                  Better adjust my line....just finished 1st in the 8:00 tourney!!!
                                                                  i have to admit the fact that you keep on winning makes me realize there is more than luck involved. yes you are very lucky but you also must be doing something right taking all these tourneys down.

                                                                  perhaps SBR feels sorry that you have stiffed over 9000+ in points and are paying them back slowly so they adjusted the card randomizer software in your favor.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Carseller4
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-22-09
                                                                    • 19627

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by Wulfman14
                                                                    i have to admit the fact that you keep on winning makes me realize there is more than luck involved. yes you are very lucky but you also must be doing something right taking all these tourneys down.

                                                                    perhaps SBR feels sorry that you have stiffed over 9000+ in points and are paying them back slowly so they adjusted the card randomizer software in your favor.


                                                                    I wish they would randomize blackjack in my favor......

                                                                    BTW I'm not stiffing....at one point I had 29 lenders and about 9K worth of debt. I am now down to 15 lenders and 5800 worth of debt. Progress is being made.....can't have a stiff represent SBR at the WSOP!

                                                                    Off tomorrow.....playing the 1:00 PM. Come get some!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • robmpink
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-09-07
                                                                      • 13205

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Ha, they have me posted +2000. I understand the basics somewhat in poker. I feel honored that I see people with higher odds.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BGboothA
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-07-08
                                                                        • 4202

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Man been gone for a few weeks and don't even make the list
                                                                        Comment
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